2020 Derrek (through 9 weeks)

4-5 (0.444), 838.37 points

11th place

3.74 expected wins (0.416)

51-66 all-play record (0.436)

-1.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 120.29 89.64 Mike R. 30.65
2 W 120.45 115.27 Ed 5.18
3 L 94.86 115.20 Pulley -20.34
4 L 77.59 103.54 Rob -25.95
5 L 72.78 94.18 Babel -21.40
6 W 117.52 105.43 Pat 12.09
7 W 79.49 65.33 Dave 14.16
8 L 53.06 87.50 Kevin -34.44 Slapped Heartbeat
9 L 102.33 115.69 Matt -13.36
10 Richie
11 Schertz
12 Scott
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%01234567890.0%36.07692307692308141.2307692307692300.0%87.61538461538464141.2307692307692310.0%139.15384615384616141.2307692307692320.0%190.6923076923077141.23076923076923333.7%242.2307692307692572.040.0%293.7692307692308141.2307692307692350.0%345.3076923076923141.2307692307692360.0%396.8461538461538141.2307692307692370.0%448.3846153846154141.2307692307692380.0%499.9230769230769141.2307692307692390.1%36.07692307692308140.9406629464209602.0%87.61538461538464137.06558085611567111.0%139.15384615384616118.6721727783506227.8%190.692307692307784.1137653750198530.0%242.230769230769252.7692307692307736419.5%293.7692307692308101.1605560470604555.2%345.3076923076923130.5389313409126860.6%396.8461538461538139.94922593206270.0%448.3846153846154141.1753463275718480.0%499.9230769230769141.230769230769239Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557612nd85.1596153846153628.33136094674557625th158.573076923076995.7869822485207310th231.98653846153846208.2130177514793412th305.4253.18343195266272510th378.8134615384615208.2130177514793610th452.226923076923208.2130177514793712th525.6403846153845253.18343195266272812th599.053846153846253.1834319526627292nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557611st85.159615384615365.84615384615381125th158.573076923076995.786982248520738th231.98653846153846163.24260355029585411th305.4230.69822485207159th378.8134615384615185.727810650887666th452.226923076923118.2721893491124179th525.6403846153845185.7278106508876811th599.053846153846230.69822485207192nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557613rd85.1596153846153650.81656804733728425th158.573076923076995.7869822485207310th231.98653846153846208.2130177514793412th305.4253.18343195266272511th378.8134615384615230.698224852071611th452.226923076923230.698224852071713th525.6403846153845275.6686390532544812th599.053846153846253.183431952662729Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.12 12 Christian McCaffrey K RB
2.03 17 Adam Thielen WR
3.12 40 Jonathan Taylor RB
4.03 45 T.Y. Hilton WR
5.12 68 Diontae Johnson WR
6.03 73 Tyler Higbee TE
7.12 96 Robbie Chosen WR
8.03 101 Daniel Jones QB
9.12 124 James Conner K RB
10.03 129 Justin Jefferson WR
11.12 152 Pittsburgh DEF
12.03 157 Benny Snell, Jr. RB
13.12 180 Nyheim Hines RB
14.03 185 Denzel Mims WR
15.12 208 Jimmy Garoppolo QB
16.03 213 Matt Prater K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567890.81031.8495726495726584.3023215525448710.81278.6871794871794884.1673783545279320.000125.5247863247863139.7815578224364430.000172.36239316239318139.7815578224364440.000219.2139.7815578224364450.776266.0376068376068686.6188464518357860.171312.8752136752136128.080144042542470.000359.7128205128205139.7815578224364480.000406.5504273504273139.7815578224364490.00031.8495726495726528.8230852826533110.00078.6871794871794828.55319888661942720.410125.5247863247863111.695790749984930.148172.36239316239318129.643236086238740.096219.2133.2192308336877650.000266.0376068376068633.4561350812351260.000312.8752136752136116.378730262648367-0.011359.7128205128205140.5061635266028580.533406.5504273504273103.295576673439Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891233.1572649572649677.325443786982251981.917948717948793.3017751479289920130.67863247863247141.2307692307692330179.4393162393162141.2307692307692340228.2141.23076923076923512276.9606837606837677.3254437869822563325.7213675213675125.2544378698224870374.4820512820512141.2307692307692380423.242735042735141.230769230769239033.1572649572649613.420118343195271081.917948717948745.37278106508874524130.67863247863247119.9289940828402331179.4393162393162135.9053254437869841228.2135.9053254437869850276.9606837606837613.4201183431952760325.7213675213675109.2781065088757470374.4820512820512141.2307692307692389423.24273504273593.301775147928999All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2020 Derrek 4-5 11th 93.15 0.416 22.64 8-5 5th 5th place
1 992 2016 Allen 4-5 11th 94.13 0.416 20.91 4-9 13th
2 992 2015 Ed 3-6 11th 92.52 0.418 21.31 4-9 12th
3 987 2024 Matt 5-4 7th 94.44 0.419 21.58 8-6 6th
4 980 2014 Ed 4-5 9th 92.20 0.414 16.12 6-7 8th
5 977 2019 Scott 2-7 14th 94.20 0.425 23.47 4-9 14th
6 973 2014 Schertz 5-4 6th 92.78 0.411 15.14 5-8 13th
7 968 2019 Babel 5-4 7th 97.22 0.412 18.77 8-5 5th 5th place
8 967 2016 Babel 4-5 10th 94.81 0.425 18.58 7-6 6th 6th place
9 965 2012 Babel 4-5 8th 91.98 0.425 17.04 6-7 6th 2nd place
10 962 2023 Ed 6-3 4th 94.66 0.425 15.82 11-3 1st 2nd place