2024 Scott (through 12 weeks)

4-8 (0.333), 1,113.52 points

12th place

4.99 expected wins (0.416)

67-89 all-play record (0.429)

+19.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 122.31 102.58 Mike R. 19.73
2 L 107.38 131.40 Dave -24.02
3 W 115.58 102.58 Kevin 13.00
4 L 53.28 104.27 Derrek -50.99 Slapped Heartbeat
5 L 91.21 106.53 Rob -15.32
6 W 120.40 106.88 Rabbit 13.52
7 L 64.34 105.57 Schertz -41.23
8 W 129.65 92.54 Ed 37.11
9 L 91.28 99.00 Pulley -7.72
10 L 85.60 87.83 Babel -2.23
11 L 64.87 119.05 Matt -54.18 Slapped Heartbeat
12 L 67.62 123.11 Mike R. -55.49
13 Pat
14 Richie

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.23076923076923322.8%188.7100591715976391.3070377146043540.0%228.35502958579883141.2307692307692350.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.2112953887010500.2%69.77514792899409140.7748253950823611.9%109.42011834319527137.027301874484329.0%149.06508875739644121.5822935597959930.0%188.7100591715976341.383306198439485431.6%228.3550295857988372.0523.4%268.089.9412242596809269.1%307.64497041420117121.3113271273157671.7%347.28994082840245137.450925048850680.1%386.93491124260356140.9323075974958890.0%426.5798816568048141.22077944119889100.0%466.2248520710059141.23065057232662110.0%505.8698224852071141.2307692307692312Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557612nd65.1377622377622328.33136094674557621st118.529370629370625.84615384615381134th171.9209790209790273.3017751479289946th225.3125874125874118.2721893491124154th278.704195804195873.3017751479289967th332.09580419580413140.7573964497041574th385.487412587412573.3017751479289986th438.87902097902094118.2721893491124197th492.27062937062936140.757396449704151012th545.6622377622377253.183431952662721112th599.053846153846253.18343195266272122nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557616th65.13776223776223118.2721893491124122nd118.5293706293706228.33136094674557638th171.92097902097902163.2426035502958548th225.3125874125874163.2426035502958558th278.7041958041958163.2426035502958569th332.09580419580413185.727810650887678th385.4874125874125163.24260355029585810th438.87902097902094208.2130177514793910th492.27062937062936208.21301775147931011th545.6622377622377230.6982248520711112th599.053846153846253.18343195266272122nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557612nd65.1377622377622328.33136094674557621st118.529370629370625.84615384615381137th171.92097902097902140.7573964497041549th225.3125874125874185.727810650887657th278.7041958041958140.75739644970415610th332.09580419580413208.213017751479378th385.4874125874125163.2426035502958589th438.87902097902094185.7278106508876910th492.27062937062936208.21301775147931012th545.6622377622377253.183431952662721112th599.053846153846253.1834319526627212Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
8
9
10

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.07 7 A.J. Brown WR
2.08 22 Deebo Samuel, Sr. WR
3.07 35 David Montgomery RB
4.08 50 Kyle Pitts TE
5.07 63 James Cook K RB
6.08 78 Christian Watson WR
7.07 91 Jordan Love QB
8.08 106 Anthony Richardson K QB
9.07 119 Blake Corum RB
10.08 134 Zach Charbonnet RB
11.07 147 New York DEF
12.08 162 Josh Downs WR
13.07 175 Harrison Butker K
14.08 190 Cade Otton TE
15.07 203 Marvin Mims, Jr. WR
16.08 218 Justice Hill RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.83225.99487179487179583.1067862711364110.00061.12307692307692140.2947225654970720.75696.2512820512820388.2989831052042430.000131.37948717948717140.2947225654970740.000166.5076923076923140.2947225654970750.814201.6358974358974584.3258237887001660.000236.76410256410256140.2947225654970770.885271.8923076923076779.415811565179580.000307.0205128205128140.2947225654970790.000342.14871794871794140.29472256549707100.000377.2769230769231140.29472256549707110.000412.4051282051282140.29472256549707120.00025.99487179487179525.9188499767757610.63361.1230769230769296.7645214216192120.00096.2512820512820336.303243644911423-0.007131.37948717948717140.7627458981331540.346166.5076923076923116.4722946222331950.000201.6358974358974528.35692501190325760.031236.76410256410256138.1666474810992370.000271.8923076923076718.53690056486192480.348307.0205128205128116.3707081624362290.265342.14871794871794122.1046994487546100.035377.2769230769231137.89575025497396110.055412.4051282051282136.518689355503812Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011121227.06217948717948577.325443786982251063.6326923076923141.23076923076923210100.2032051282051187.9763313609467430136.77371794871794141.2307692307692340173.3442307692307141.23076923076923511209.9147435897435882.650887573964560246.4852564102564141.23076923076923712283.055769230769277.3254437869822580319.62628205128203141.2307692307692390356.19679487179485141.23076923076923100392.7673076923077141.23076923076923110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312027.06217948717948513.420118343195271963.632692307692393.3017751479289920100.2032051282051134.7218934911242530136.77371794871794141.2307692307692343173.3442307692307125.2544378698224850209.9147435897435824.07100591715975261246.4852564102564135.9053254437869870283.055769230769213.4201183431952785319.62628205128203114.6035502958579993356.19679487179485125.25443786982248100392.7673076923077141.23076923076923111429.3378205128205135.9053254437869812All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2024 Scott 4-8 12th 92.79 0.416 25.11 5-9 12th
1 990 2019 Dave 5-7 11th 93.07 0.416 21.11 6-7 10th
2 976 2017 Richie 5-7 10th 89.17 0.420 26.16 6-7 8th
3 975 2022 Richie 5-7 13th 92.65 0.414 14.76 6-8 13th
4 968 2012 Schertz 4-8 10th 90.21 0.426 25.74 5-8 9th
5 965 2014 Richie 5-7 10th 91.70 0.406 20.35 6-7 9th
6 965 2014 Kevin 3-9 14th 91.95 0.431 23.80 4-9 14th
7 954 2021 Mike R. 3-9 10th 94.15 0.432 21.12 4-10 11th
8 947 2019 Scott 4-8 12th 94.23 0.436 21.73 4-9 14th
9 947 2015 Ed 3-9 13th 88.69 0.401 21.40 4-9 12th
10 946 2023 Dave 6-6 8th 96.76 0.431 21.17 6-8 10th