2022 Derrek (through 4 weeks)

2-2 (0.500), 395.98 points (99.00 average)

7th place

1.92 expected wins (0.481)

25-27 all-play record (0.481)

-6.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 137.10 91.48 Matt 45.62 Team Blangums
2 L 84.98 93.01 Ed -8.03
3 W 79.38 74.12 Mike R. 5.26
4 L 94.52 127.48 Dave -32.96
5 Pat
6 Rob
7 Kevin
8 Babel
9 Matt
10 Richie
11 Schertz
12 Scott
13 Pulley
14 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%012340.0%61.846153846153854141.2307692307692300.0%164.92307692307693141.23076923076923145.6%268.0000000000000671.9999999999999920.0%371.0769230769231141.2307692307692330.0%474.1538461538462141.2307692307692340.9%61.846153846153854139.86414346243083031.0%164.9230769230769394.2223291263182410.0%268.000000000000062.769230769230745219.9%371.0769230769231111.08386694649232.6%474.1538461538462137.295501912931744Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234Rank by WeekWeek1st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381116th207.5153846153846118.2721893491124129th403.28461538461534185.727810650887638th599.053846153846163.2426035502958541st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381116th207.5153846153846118.2721893491124127th403.28461538461534140.7573964497041537th599.053846153846140.7573964497041541st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381115th207.515384615384695.786982248520728th403.28461538461534163.2426035502958537th599.053846153846140.757396449704154Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.12 12 Jonathan Taylor K RB
2.03 17 D.J. Moore WR
3.12 40 Antonio Gibson RB
4.03 45 Patrick Mahomes II QB
5.12 68 DeAndre Hopkins WR
6.03 73 Hunter Renfrow WR
7.12 96 Justin Jefferson K WR
8.03 101 Dawson Knox TE
9.12 124 Alexander Mattison RB
10.03 129 Michael Carter RB
11.12 152 Raheem Mostert RB
12.03 157 Tampa Bay DEF
13.12 180 Matt Ryan QB
14.03 185 Daniel Carlson K
15.12 208 Tyrion Davis-Price RB
16.03 213 Sony Michel RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012340.97061.1230769230769274.043596076556210.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692320.199271.89230769230767127.4228938875449930.000377.276923076923141.2307692307692340.00061.123076923076926.85642292234317110.289166.5076923076923121.2232496515994220.000271.89230769230767113.6150185443207530.464377.276923076923109.122776825800074Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312341363.632692307692372.010173.34423076923076141.2307692307692322283.0557692307692130.5798816568047330392.76730769230767141.230769230769234063.63269230769232.769230769230773615173.34423076923076114.6035502958579920283.0557692307692119.9289940828402335392.76730769230767114.603550295857994All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2022 Derrek 2-2 7th 99.00 0.481 22.66 8-6 4th 4th place
1 975 2021 Pat 1-3 10th 98.53 0.472 20.13 3-11 12th
2 974 2014 Matt 1-3 11th 98.67 0.491 21.07 7-6 6th 4th place
3 967 2014 Pat 2-2 8th 98.01 0.481 8.65 5-8 11th
4 962 2008 Matt 1-3 11th 92.94 0.484 18.72 3-10 12th
5 961 2015 Schertz 3-1 4th 95.26 0.489 18.38 9-4 2nd 2nd place
6 958 2018 Richie 1-3 12th 105.95 0.487 23.59 5-8 11th
7 954 2016 Ed 2-2 9th 101.14 0.497 20.69 6-7 9th
8 952 2024 Kevin 1-3 12th 99.35 0.503 24.07 5-9 11th
9 951 2020 Rabbit 1-3 10th 109.26 0.484 23.11 6-7 10th
10 951 2018 Rabbit 2-2 8th 107.29 0.488 22.02 7-6 7th