2022 Derrek (through 4 weeks)

2-2 (0.500), 395.98 points

7th place

1.92 expected wins (0.479)

25-27 all-play record (0.481)

-6.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 137.10 91.48 Matt 45.62 Team Blangums
2 L 84.98 93.01 Ed -8.03
3 W 79.38 74.12 Mike R. 5.26
4 L 94.52 127.48 Dave -32.96
5 Pat
6 Rob
7 Kevin
8 Babel
9 Matt
10 Richie
11 Schertz
12 Scott
13 Pulley
14 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%012340.0%61.846153846153854141.2307692307692300.0%164.92307692307693141.23076923076923145.1%268.0000000000000672.020.0%371.0769230769231141.2307692307692330.0%474.1538461538462141.2307692307692341.1%61.846153846153854139.53904709489092031.3%164.9230769230769393.1711174761194610.0%268.000000000000062.7692307692307736219.9%371.0769230769231110.679348255099932.7%474.1538461538462137.091278347719174Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234Rank by WeekWeek1st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381116th207.5153846153846118.2721893491124129th403.28461538461534185.727810650887638th599.053846153846163.2426035502958541st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381116th207.5153846153846118.2721893491124127th403.28461538461534140.7573964497041537th599.053846153846140.7573964497041541st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381115th207.515384615384695.786982248520728th403.28461538461534163.2426035502958537th599.053846153846140.757396449704154Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.12 12 Jonathan Taylor K RB
2.03 17 D.J. Moore WR
3.12 40 Antonio Gibson RB
4.03 45 Patrick Mahomes II QB
5.12 68 DeAndre Hopkins WR
6.03 73 Hunter Renfrow WR
7.12 96 Justin Jefferson K WR
8.03 101 Dawson Knox TE
9.12 124 Alexander Mattison RB
10.03 129 Michael Carter RB
11.12 152 Raheem Mostert RB
12.03 157 Tampa Bay DEF
13.12 180 Matt Ryan QB
14.03 185 Daniel Carlson K
15.12 208 Tyrion Davis-Price RB
16.03 213 Sony Michel RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012340.96461.1230769230769274.480238900954610.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692320.213271.89230769230767126.5055937168543930.000377.276923076923141.2307692307692340.00061.123076923076927.7297085711399810.293166.5076923076923120.914402242537520.000271.89230769230767111.7804182029395630.448377.276923076923110.243408758018084Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312341363.632692307692372.010173.34423076923076141.2307692307692322283.0557692307692130.5798816568047330392.76730769230767141.230769230769234063.63269230769232.769230769230773615173.34423076923076114.6035502958579920283.0557692307692119.9289940828402335392.76730769230767114.603550295857994All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2022 Derrek 2-2 7th 99.00 0.479 22.66 8-6 4th 4th place
1 993 2014 Matt 1-3 11th 98.67 0.481 21.07 7-6 6th 4th place
2 980 2021 Pat 1-3 10th 98.53 0.473 20.13 3-11 12th
3 966 2014 Pat 2-2 8th 98.01 0.478 8.65 5-8 11th
4 958 2018 Richie 1-3 12th 105.95 0.486 23.59 5-8 11th
5 957 2020 Rabbit 1-3 10th 109.26 0.480 23.11 6-7 10th
6 949 2015 Schertz 3-1 4th 95.26 0.493 18.38 9-4 2nd 2nd place
7 947 2015 Ed 2-2 7th 95.72 0.463 26.00 4-9 12th
8 946 2008 Matt 1-3 11th 92.94 0.490 18.72 3-10 12th
9 946 2020 Derrek 2-2 8th 103.30 0.466 18.13 8-5 5th 5th place
10 945 2024 Kevin 1-3 12th 99.35 0.505 24.07 5-9 11th