2018 Richie (through 7 weeks)

3-4 (0.429), 732.00 points

8th place

3.30 expected wins (0.472)

38-53 all-play record (0.418)

+8.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 95.06 103.12 Pulley -8.06
2 L 119.04 121.51 Kevin -2.47
3 L 73.75 114.48 Rob -40.73
4 W 135.93 124.69 Babel 11.24
5 W 90.57 81.38 Ed 9.19
6 L 96.10 113.47 Matt -17.37
7 W 121.55 95.62 Derrek 25.93
8 Rabbit
9 Dave
10 Pat
11 Mike R.
12 Schertz
13 Scott

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012345670.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692300.0%106.9423076923077141.2307692307692310.0%171.3653846153846141.23076923076923234.7%235.7884615384615272.030.0%300.2115384615385141.2307692307692340.0%364.6346153846155141.2307692307692350.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.2307692307692370.3%42.519230769230774140.5641730979289204.1%106.9423076923077132.98276022566816118.1%171.3653846153846105.1540017440263320.0%235.788461538461522.7692307692307736329.5%300.211538461538582.34599507067537411.4%364.6346153846155118.4725932824216151.7%429.0576923076924137.7446885759816360.0%493.4807692307693141.138671106980677Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845185.727810650887618th109.6307692307692163.24260355029585211th207.5153846153846230.698224852071310th305.4208.213017751479349th403.28461538461534185.7278106508876511th501.16923076923075230.69822485207169th599.053846153846185.727810650887679th11.746153846153845185.727810650887619th109.6307692307692185.7278106508876212th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272312th305.4253.18343195266272410th403.28461538461534208.2130177514793510th501.16923076923075208.213017751479368th599.053846153846163.2426035502958579th11.746153846153845185.727810650887618th109.6307692307692163.24260355029585211th207.5153846153846230.698224852071310th305.4208.2130177514793410th403.28461538461534208.2130177514793510th501.16923076923075208.213017751479369th599.053846153846185.72781065088767Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 DeAndre Hopkins WR
2.11 25 Amari Cooper WR
3.04 32 Joe Mixon K RB
4.11 53 Tom Brady QB
5.04 60 Kyle Rudolph TE
6.11 81 Randall Cobb WR
7.04 88 Derrick Henry K RB
8.11 109 Duke Johnson, Jr. RB
9.04 116 Jordy Nelson WR
10.11 137 DeSean Jackson WR
11.04 144 Los Angeles DEF
12.11 165 John Brown WR
13.04 172 D'Onta Foreman RB
14.11 193 Rob Kelley RB
15.04 200 Jeremy Hill RB
16.11 221 Mason Crosby K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.00038.54065934065934141.2307692307692310.00098.76043956043955141.2307692307692320.000158.98021978021976141.2307692307692330.842219.1999999999999682.9084822878088140.261279.4197802197802123.1605152187649150.000339.6395604395604141.2307692307692360.749399.859340659340689.3860821665905770.34138.54065934065934117.5920521650753310.72198.7604395604395591.3179979199114320.032158.98021978021976139.024952816623430.000219.1999999999999624.5861953448483940.000279.4197802197802105.090261206760650.358339.6395604395604116.4783595543374260.000399.859340659340637.54139510241197Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567040.12307692307692141.2307692307692310102.8153846153846141.2307692307692320165.50769230769228141.23076923076923310228.1999999999999687.9763313609467444290.8923076923077119.9289940828402350353.5846153846154141.2307692307692369416.276923076923193.301775147928997540.12307692307692114.6035502958579918102.815384615384698.6272189349112421165.50769230769228135.9053254437869830228.1999999999999634.7218934911242540290.892307692307798.6272189349112451353.5846153846154135.9053254437869860416.276923076923145.3727810650887457All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2018 Richie 3-4 8th 104.57 0.472 19.96 5-8 11th
1 971 2020 Richie 4-3 5th 99.68 0.476 20.28 7-6 7th
2 961 2019 Scott 2-5 13th 99.06 0.480 19.61 4-9 14th
3 957 2024 Kevin 2-5 12th 99.08 0.482 19.49 5-9 11th
4 950 2024 Dave 4-3 7th 99.46 0.483 23.44 9-5 3rd
5 950 2009 Allen 2-5 11th 94.89 0.471 14.66 6-7 7th
6 945 2012 Rob 2-5 11th 95.22 0.474 12.93 3-10 13th
7 945 2013 Mike R. 4-3 6th 94.87 0.468 24.18 7-6 6th 5th place
8 943 2022 Rabbit 4-3 6th 94.97 0.475 26.68 8-6 5th 5th place
9 937 2009 Pat 4-3 4th 100.92 0.489 26.97 6-7 8th
10 935 2023 Dave 4-3 6th 100.91 0.493 23.95 6-8 10th