2009 Pat (through 7 weeks)

4-3 (0.571), 706.44 points

4th place

3.42 expected wins (0.489)

38-39 all-play record (0.494)

+8.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 79.52 116.27 Matt -36.75
2 L 77.91 106.68 Rabbit -28.77 Slapped Heartbeat
3 W 107.48 102.29 Kevin 5.19
4 L 87.73 91.72 Dave -3.99
5 W 113.92 93.89 Pulley 20.03
6 W 158.64 115.12 Mike R. 43.52 Team Blangums
7 W 81.24 73.82 Derrek 7.42
8 Babel
9 Rob
10 Ed
11 Allen
12 Matt
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012345670.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692300.0%106.9423076923077141.2307692307692310.0%171.3653846153846141.2307692307692320.0%235.78846153846152141.23076923076923330.8%300.211538461538581.5173140219749540.0%364.6346153846155141.2307692307692350.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.2307692307692370.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692302.4%106.9423076923077136.55437243580946116.3%171.3653846153846109.55515757018574235.7%235.7884615384615272.030.0%300.211538461538521.803858813180682412.3%364.6346153846155117.3061712553715152.3%429.0576923076924136.7286116249376660.2%493.4807692307693140.90823734585937Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek10th11.746153846153845245.006993006993112th109.6307692307692298.15384615384613210th207.5153846153846245.006993006993310th305.4245.00699300699349th403.28461538461534218.4335664335664557th501.16923076923075165.286713286713368th599.053846153846191.8601398601399710th11.746153846153845245.006993006993112th109.6307692307692298.15384615384613211th207.5153846153846271.5804195804196311th305.4271.5804195804196411th403.28461538461534271.580419580419655th501.16923076923075112.1398601398601664th599.05384615384685.56643356643357710th11.746153846153845245.006993006993112th109.6307692307692298.15384615384613210th207.5153846153846245.006993006993310th305.4245.00699300699349th403.28461538461534218.4335664335664553rd501.1692307692307558.99300699300701567th599.053846153846165.28671328671337Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.05 5 Brian Westbrook K RB
2.08 20 Marques Colston WR
3.05 29 Willie Parker RB
4.08 44 Matt Ryan QB
5.05 53 Santana Moss WR
6.08 68 Ray Rice RB
7.05 77 Carson Palmer QB
8.08 92 Anthony Gonzalez K WR
9.05 101 Muhsin Muhammad WR
10.08 116 LeSean McCoy RB
11.05 125 Zach Miller TE
12.08 140 New England DEF
13.05 149 Jason Elam K
14.08 164 Hakeem Nicks WR
15.05 173 Tony Scheffler TE
16.08 188 Carolina DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.00038.54065934065934141.2307692307692310.00098.76043956043955141.2307692307692320.672158.9802197802197694.9247214009551830.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692340.773279.419780219780288.0066102089509551.005339.639560439560472.060.233399.8593406593406125.1631976078364270.21338.54065934065934126.5536023081902210.19198.76043956043955128.045743937838220.000158.9802197802197648.61867357114114430.336219.19999999999996118.0981330735183840.000279.419780219780234.7824511871326850.000339.63956043956042.769230769230773660.000399.8593406593406109.095625984903637Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234567040.12307692307692141.2307692307692310102.8153846153846141.23076923076923210165.5076923076922878.293706293706330228.19999999999996141.23076923076923410290.892307692307778.2937062937063511353.584615384615472.062416.2769230769231128.643356643356647240.12307692307692128.6433566433566410102.8153846153846141.2307692307692320165.5076923076922815.3566433566433633228.19999999999996122.3496503496503540290.892307692307715.3566433566433650353.58461538461542.769230769230773660416.2769230769231116.055944055944057All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Pat 4-3 4th 100.92 0.489 26.97 6-7 8th
1 986 2023 Dave 4-3 6th 100.91 0.493 23.95 6-8 10th
2 980 2012 Allen 3-4 6th 101.08 0.497 25.07 6-7 8th
3 975 2024 Dave 4-3 7th 99.46 0.483 23.44 9-5 3rd
4 973 2013 Rob 4-3 4th 102.43 0.497 29.91 8-5 2nd 2nd place
5 973 2010 Matt 2-5 9th 100.54 0.501 27.72 5-8 9th
6 965 2013 Schertz 4-3 5th 96.87 0.489 18.12 6-7 9th
7 965 2019 Rabbit 4-3 6th 101.35 0.499 33.62 6-7 7th
8 963 2024 Kevin 2-5 12th 99.08 0.482 19.49 5-9 11th
9 961 2014 Mike R. 3-4 8th 98.36 0.502 25.31 6-7 7th
10 959 2019 Scott 2-5 13th 99.06 0.480 19.61 4-9 14th