2023 Dave (through 7 weeks)

4-3 (0.571), 706.34 points

6th place

3.45 expected wins (0.493)

43-48 all-play record (0.473)

-21.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 83.70 63.20 Derrek 20.50
2 L 85.05 93.59 Ed -8.54
3 W 120.41 72.32 Scott 48.09
4 L 71.98 109.71 Rob -37.73
5 L 87.27 101.66 Babel -14.39
6 W 113.32 86.17 Rabbit 27.15
7 W 144.61 110.68 Pat 33.93 Team Blangums
8 Pulley
9 Mike R.
10 Derrek
11 Matt
12 Schertz
13 Richie
14 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012345670.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692300.0%106.9423076923077141.2307692307692310.0%171.3653846153846141.2307692307692320.0%235.78846153846152141.23076923076923332.1%300.211538461538580.1701797448683240.0%364.6346153846155141.2307692307692350.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.2307692307692370.1%42.519230769230774141.1179397739450702.0%106.9423076923077137.40226229518942114.6%171.3653846153846113.46410303101156236.4%235.7884615384615272.030.0%300.211538461538519.109590258967415412.5%364.6346153846155117.5557615106505752.1%429.0576923076924137.1852669634100760.1%493.4807692307693140.996845925038947Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585111th109.6307692307692230.69822485207129th207.5153846153846185.7278106508876311th305.4230.698224852071412th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272511th501.16923076923075230.69822485207167th599.053846153846140.7573964497041576th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124118th109.6307692307692163.2426035502958526th207.5153846153846118.2721893491124139th305.4185.7278106508876410th403.28461538461534208.2130177514793510th501.16923076923075208.213017751479366th599.053846153846118.2721893491124178th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958519th109.6307692307692185.727810650887628th207.5153846153846163.24260355029585311th305.4230.698224852071411th403.28461538461534230.698224852071511th501.16923076923075230.69822485207166th599.053846153846118.272189349112417Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
7

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.12 12 Travis Kelce K TE
2.03 17 A.J. Brown K WR
3.12 40 Joe Burrow QB
4.03 45 James Conner RB
5.12 68 Michael Pittman, Jr. WR
6.03 73 Javonte Williams RB
7.12 96 Zay Flowers WR
8.03 101 Darnell Mooney WR
9.12 124 Jeff Wilson, Jr. RB
10.03 129 Justin Tucker K
11.12 152 Philadelphia DEF
12.03 157 Derek Carr QB
13.12 180 Clyde Edwards-Helaire RB
14.03 185 Van Jefferson WR
15.12 208 Leonard Fournette RB
16.03 213 Jalin Hyatt WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.24738.54065934065934124.1030489068196510.00098.76043956043955141.2307692307692320.828158.9802197802197683.9078370274318130.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692340.000279.4197802197802141.2307692307692350.738339.639560439560490.1354242793132160.962399.859340659340674.6573698321189270.00038.54065934065934106.9753285828700910.26998.76043956043955122.6029731454175620.000158.9802197802197626.58490482409439430.104219.19999999999996134.0467329312653540.303279.4197802197802120.2278531898642550.000339.639560439560439.04007932785721460.000399.85934065934068.0839704334686087Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567640.12307692307692109.2781065088757410102.8153846153846141.2307692307692329165.5076923076922893.3017751479289930228.19999999999996141.2307692307692340290.8923076923077141.23076923076923511353.584615384615482.6508875739645613416.276923076923172.07040.1230769230769277.3254437869822511102.8153846153846135.9053254437869820165.5076923076922845.37278106508874531228.19999999999996135.9053254437869842290.8923076923077130.5798816568047350353.584615384615424.07100591715975260416.27692307692312.76923076923077367All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2023 Dave 4-3 6th 100.91 0.493 23.95 6-8 10th
1 989 2012 Allen 3-4 6th 101.08 0.497 25.07 6-7 8th
2 986 2009 Pat 4-3 4th 100.92 0.489 26.97 6-7 8th
3 975 2010 Matt 2-5 9th 100.54 0.501 27.72 5-8 9th
4 975 2013 Rob 4-3 4th 102.43 0.497 29.91 8-5 2nd 2nd place
5 973 2024 Dave 4-3 7th 99.46 0.483 23.44 9-5 3rd
6 969 2014 Mike R. 3-4 8th 98.36 0.502 25.31 6-7 7th
7 967 2010 Pulley 5-2 4th 94.67 0.495 22.22 8-5 4th 5th place
8 966 2019 Rabbit 4-3 6th 101.35 0.499 33.62 6-7 7th
9 964 2011 Ed 4-3 6th 101.91 0.503 18.12 9-4 1st 3rd place
10 964 2013 Schertz 4-3 5th 96.87 0.489 18.12 6-7 9th