2024 Dave (through 7 weeks)

4-3 (0.571), 696.20 points

7th place

3.38 expected wins (0.483)

45-46 all-play record (0.495)

+12.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 87.63 89.93 Schertz -2.30
2 W 131.40 107.38 Scott 24.02
3 W 73.72 60.07 Matt 13.65
4 L 69.73 136.88 Mike R. -67.15
5 L 99.05 135.05 Babel -36.00
6 W 101.54 84.40 Derrek 17.14
7 W 133.13 117.49 Ed 15.64 Team Blangums
8 Rob
9 Schertz
10 Pat
11 Rabbit
12 Pulley
13 Richie
14 Kevin
16 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012345670.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692300.0%106.9423076923077141.2307692307692310.0%171.3653846153846141.2307692307692320.0%235.78846153846152141.23076923076923331.6%300.211538461538580.7550532206902340.0%364.6346153846155141.2307692307692350.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.2307692307692370.1%42.519230769230774141.0532606762732802.3%106.9423076923077136.88592552934355116.7%171.3653846153846109.16973371975106236.1%235.7884615384615272.030.0%300.211538461538520.279337210611217411.5%364.6346153846155119.1244640022181951.6%429.0576923076924138.1487000210352760.1%493.4807692307693141.091299184770667Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek11th11.746153846153845230.69822485207115th109.630769230769295.786982248520729th207.5153846153846185.7278106508876310th305.4208.2130177514793412th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272510th501.16923076923075208.213017751479368th599.053846153846163.24260355029585711th11.746153846153845230.69822485207117th109.6307692307692140.7573964497041527th207.5153846153846140.7573964497041539th305.4185.7278106508876410th403.28461538461534208.213017751479359th501.16923076923075185.727810650887667th599.053846153846140.75739644970415711th11.746153846153845230.69822485207115th109.630769230769295.786982248520729th207.5153846153846185.7278106508876310th305.4208.2130177514793411th403.28461538461534230.698224852071510th501.16923076923075208.213017751479368th599.053846153846163.242603550295857Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Justin Jefferson K WR
2.11 25 Bijan Robinson K RB
3.04 32 Mark Andrews TE
4.11 53 George Pickens WR
5.04 60 Kyler Murray QB
6.11 81 Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR
7.04 88 Nick Chubb RB
8.11 109 Joshua Palmer WR
9.04 116 Ty Chandler RB
10.11 137 Khalil Herbert RB
11.04 144 Justin Tucker K
12.11 165 Kansas City DEF
13.04 172 Xavier Legette WR
14.11 193 Dameon Pierce RB
15.04 200 Troy Franklin WR
16.11 221 Will Levis QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.00038.54065934065934141.2307692307692310.91098.7604395604395578.2283989811895320.122158.98021978021976132.776608486720130.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692340.000279.4197802197802141.2307692307692350.538339.6395604395604103.9796995519254260.920399.859340659340677.5238179417430970.31138.54065934065934119.7077666260200710.00098.7604395604395515.2260287316098320.000158.98021978021976124.3224477426709930.086219.19999999999996135.276734755723640.495279.4197802197802106.9798510747296150.000339.639560439560466.7286298730816260.000399.859340659340613.8168666527169537Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567040.12307692307692141.23076923076923112102.815384615384677.3254437869822523165.50769230769228125.2544378698224830228.19999999999996141.2307692307692340290.8923076923077141.2307692307692358353.584615384615498.62721893491124613416.276923076923172.07340.12307692307692125.2544378698224810102.815384615384613.4201183431952720165.50769230769228109.2781065088757432228.19999999999996130.5798816568047344290.8923076923077119.9289940828402350353.584615384615456.0236686390532460416.27692307692312.76923076923077367All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2024 Dave 4-3 7th 99.46 0.483 23.44 9-5 3rd
1 988 2024 Kevin 2-5 12th 99.08 0.482 19.49 5-9 11th
2 984 2019 Scott 2-5 13th 99.06 0.480 19.61 4-9 14th
3 979 2020 Richie 4-3 5th 99.68 0.476 20.28 7-6 7th
4 975 2009 Pat 4-3 4th 100.92 0.489 26.97 6-7 8th
5 973 2023 Dave 4-3 6th 100.91 0.493 23.95 6-8 10th
6 968 2013 Schertz 4-3 5th 96.87 0.489 18.12 6-7 9th
7 963 2012 Babel 3-4 7th 96.96 0.488 14.63 6-7 6th 2nd place
8 963 2012 Allen 3-4 6th 101.08 0.497 25.07 6-7 8th
9 959 2022 Rabbit 4-3 6th 94.97 0.475 26.68 8-6 5th 5th place
10 954 2014 Mike R. 3-4 8th 98.36 0.502 25.31 6-7 7th