2025 Richie (through 13 weeks)

7-6 (0.538), 1,150.59 points (88.51 average)

7th place

5.18 expected wins (0.399)

66-103 all-play record (0.391)

-13.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 93.14 96.51 Matt -3.37
2 L 33.06 98.05 Pat -64.99 Slapped Heartbeat
3 W 75.66 70.35 Rob 5.31
4 W 127.70 106.95 Ed 20.75
5 W 82.78 66.03 Mike R. 16.75
6 L 59.75 110.81 Kevin -51.06
7 L 62.05 99.93 Babel -37.88
8 W 92.82 81.84 Derrek 10.98
9 W 123.61 88.99 Pulley 34.62
10 W 99.76 92.04 Matt 7.72
11 L 74.50 93.28 Rabbit -18.78
12 W 113.74 87.31 Dave 26.43
13 L 112.02 130.42 Schertz -18.40
14 Scott
15 # Rob

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%39.42857142857143141.2307692307692300.0%89.97802197802199141.2307692307692310.0%140.5274725274725141.2307692307692320.0%191.07692307692307141.2307692307692330.0%241.6263736263736141.2307692307692340.0%292.1758241758242141.2307692307692350.0%342.7252747252747141.23076923076923612.2%393.27472527472526111.4540871000310270.0%443.8241758241758141.2307692307692380.0%494.3736263736264141.2307692307692390.0%544.9230769230769141.23076923076923100.0%595.4725274725274141.23076923076923110.0%646.0219780219779141.23076923076923120.0%696.5714285714286141.23076923076923130.0%39.42857142857143141.2030901947665600.2%89.97802197802199140.6428135975976412.0%140.5274725274725136.3396675393106528.5%191.07692307692307120.49021617157037320.3%241.626373626373691.80320988654222428.4%292.175824175824272.0523.9%342.725274725274782.8697143876481260.0%393.2747252747252681.6774049692928173.7%443.8241758241758132.1508411535594480.7%494.3736263736264139.6263546395370890.1%544.9230769230769141.07629903601628100.0%595.4725274725274141.22352111398777110.0%646.0219780219779141.23062385040816120.0%696.5714285714286141.2307684061294713Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415114th60.68846153846153298.15384615384613214th109.6307692307692298.15384615384613314th158.5730769230769298.15384615384613414th207.5153846153846298.15384615384613514th256.4576923076923298.15384615384613614th305.4298.15384615384613714th354.3423076923077298.15384615384613813th403.28461538461534275.6686390532544912th452.226923076923253.183431952662721012th501.16923076923075253.183431952662721111th550.1115384615384230.6982248520711210th599.053846153846208.2130177514793138th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585114th60.68846153846153298.15384615384613213th109.6307692307692275.6686390532544311th158.5730769230769230.69822485207147th207.5153846153846140.7573964497041559th256.4576923076923185.7278106508876611th305.4230.69822485207178th354.3423076923077163.2426035502958587th403.28461538461534140.7573964497041595th452.22692307692395.7869822485207107th501.16923076923075140.75739644970415116th550.1115384615384118.27218934911241127th599.053846153846140.75739644970415137th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415114th60.68846153846153298.15384615384613214th109.6307692307692298.15384615384613314th158.5730769230769298.15384615384613414th207.5153846153846298.15384615384613514th256.4576923076923298.15384615384613614th305.4298.15384615384613714th354.3423076923077298.15384615384613814th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613914th452.226923076923298.153846153846131014th501.16923076923075298.153846153846131113th550.1115384615384275.66863905325441212th599.053846153846253.1834319526627213Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
1
4
7

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 A.J. Brown WR
3.10 38 Breece Hall RB
4.05 47 Xavier Worthy WR
5.10 66 Joe Mixon RB
6.05 75 Rashee Rice WR
7.10 94 Justin Fields QB
7.13 97 Brock Bowers K T TE
8.05 103 Tyrone Tracy, Jr. K RB
9.10 122 Darnell Mooney K WR
10.05 131 Denver DEF
11.10 150 Brock Purdy QB
12.05 159 Jake Bates K
13.10 178 Jaylen Wright RB
14.05 187 Blake Corum RB
15.10 206 Miles Sanders RB
16.05 215 Jonnu Smith TE

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.00035.88639053254438141.2307692307692310.00083.105325443787141.2307692307692320.170130.3242603550296129.4754611122198830.878177.5431952662722280.4683027790489740.241224.76213017751482124.5237000255222750.000271.9810650887574141.2307692307692360.000319.2141.2307692307692370.411366.41893491124256112.7892391296828780.845413.637869822485282.7374814239117990.519460.85680473372776105.27670618868186100.000508.07573964497044141.23076923076923110.745555.29467455621389.62675064219385120.000602.5136094674556141.23076923076923130.41635.88639053254438112.4082150717046910.00983.105325443787140.6122425600718820.000130.3242603550296117.7201529936705530.000177.5431952662722219.70583632732869740.000224.76213017751482107.8166308202753250.037271.9810650887574138.69271566987360.046319.2138.0769145337028570.000366.4189349112425684.347709028596580.000413.637869822485224.2441936170543590.000460.8568047337277669.32264314659449100.160508.07573964497044130.17444726580425110.000555.29467455621338.02273205361847120.705602.513609467455692.4042346054053613Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111213036.898224852071141.230769230769231085.44852071005917141.2307692307692321133.99881656804732135.90532544378698310182.549112426035587.9763313609467443231.09940828402367125.2544378698224850279.6497041420119141.2307692307692360328.20000000000005141.2307692307692377376.75029585798814103.95266272189349811425.3005917159763482.650887573964596473.8508875739645109.27810650887574100522.4011834319526141.23076923076923118570.951479289940898.62721893491124120619.501775147929141.2307692307692313736.898224852071103.952662721893491085.44852071005917141.2307692307692320133.99881656804732130.5798816568047330182.549112426035534.7218934911242540231.09940828402367109.2781065088757451279.6497041420119135.9053254437869861328.20000000000005135.9053254437869870376.7502958579881466.6745562130177580425.3005917159763424.07100591715975290473.850887573964577.32544378698225102522.4011834319526130.57988165680473110570.951479289940856.02366863905324129619.50177514792993.3017751479289913All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2025 Richie 7-6 7th 88.51 0.399 26.49 8-6 6th
1 980 2008 Katie 5-8 10th 86.46 0.396 23.17 5-8 10th
2 976 2014 Derrek 5-8 12th 89.22 0.390 24.54 5-8 12th
3 975 2025 Derrek 3-10 13th 90.52 0.398 18.36 3-11 14th
4 974 2025 Matt 3-10 12th 90.73 0.396 20.41 4-10 11th
5 966 2023 Dave 6-7 9th 94.50 0.399 21.80 6-8 10th
6 964 2013 Richie 6-7 10th 89.91 0.411 23.56 6-7 10th
7 963 2009 Pat 6-7 8th 94.89 0.396 23.39 6-7 8th
8 962 2015 Pat 6-7 9th 86.31 0.388 22.32 6-7 9th
9 962 2015 Derrek 7-6 7th 89.66 0.383 27.98 7-6 7th
10 961 2014 Richie 6-7 9th 91.79 0.405 19.55 6-7 9th