2025 Matt (through 13 weeks)

3-10 (0.231), 1,179.44 points (90.73 average)

12th place

5.15 expected wins (0.396)

64-105 all-play record (0.379)

+14.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 96.51 93.14 Richie 3.37
2 W 112.82 88.30 Derrek 24.52
3 L 89.30 91.75 Babel -2.45
4 L 72.48 112.26 Rob -39.78
5 L 116.91 118.77 Pulley -1.86
6 L 67.25 129.12 Scott -61.87
7 L 69.40 108.99 Dave -39.59
8 L 71.92 92.65 Kevin -20.73 Slapped Heartbeat
9 L 87.07 91.30 Ed -4.23
10 L 92.04 99.76 Richie -7.72
11 L 63.32 126.80 Schertz -63.48
12 L 118.02 137.09 Rabbit -19.07
13 W 122.40 71.62 Pat 50.78
14 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%39.42857142857143141.2307692307692300.0%89.97802197802199141.2307692307692310.0%140.5274725274725141.2307692307692329.2%191.07692307692307118.2704960770190930.0%241.6263736263736141.2307692307692340.0%292.1758241758242141.2307692307692350.0%342.7252747252747141.2307692307692360.0%393.27472527472526141.2307692307692370.0%443.8241758241758141.2307692307692380.0%494.3736263736264141.2307692307692390.0%544.9230769230769141.23076923076923100.0%595.4725274725274141.23076923076923110.0%646.0219780219779141.23076923076923120.0%696.5714285714286141.23076923076923130.0%39.42857142857143141.1865063752510400.3%89.97802197802199140.429817114360812.4%140.5274725274725135.329316026312220.0%191.0769230769230795.31022292326895320.6%241.626373626373689.73579000516942427.7%292.175824175824272.0523.0%342.725274725274783.80052849081267612.0%393.27472527472526111.2959467709581773.9%443.8241758241758131.368402207618680.8%494.3736263736264139.1875178927307490.1%544.9230769230769140.9689152214848100.0%595.4725274725274141.2108528563012110.0%646.0219780219779141.2299544207891120.0%696.5714285714286141.2307555836400813Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek6th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124112nd60.6884615384615328.33136094674557628th109.6307692307692163.24260355029585312th158.5730769230769253.1834319526627249th207.5153846153846185.7278106508876511th256.4576923076923230.698224852071613th305.4275.6686390532544713th354.3423076923077275.6686390532544812th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272913th452.226923076923275.66863905325441013th501.16923076923075275.66863905325441112th550.1115384615384253.183431952662721212th599.053846153846253.18343195266272136th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124112nd60.6884615384615328.33136094674557627th109.6307692307692140.75739644970415310th158.5730769230769208.2130177514793410th207.5153846153846208.2130177514793512th256.4576923076923253.18343195266272614th305.4298.15384615384613714th354.3423076923077298.15384615384613814th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613914th452.226923076923298.153846153846131014th501.16923076923075298.153846153846131114th550.1115384615384298.153846153846131212th599.053846153846253.18343195266272136th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124113rd60.6884615384615350.81656804733728429th109.6307692307692185.7278106508876312th158.5730769230769253.18343195266272410th207.5153846153846208.2130177514793512th256.4576923076923253.18343195266272613th305.4275.6686390532544713th354.3423076923077275.6686390532544813th403.28461538461534275.6686390532544912th452.226923076923253.183431952662721012th501.16923076923075253.183431952662721111th550.1115384615384230.6982248520711210th599.053846153846208.213017751479313Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
1
1
10

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Lamar Jackson QB
2.06 20 Davante Adams WR
3.09 37 George Kittle K TE
4.06 48 Calvin Ridley WR
5.09 65 Matthew Golden WR
6.06 76 Jaylen Warren RB
7.09 93 Zach Charbonnet RB
8.06 104 Christian Kirk WR
9.09 121 Bucky Irving K RB
10.06 132 J.J. McCarthy QB
11.09 149 Wan'Dale Robinson WR
12.06 160 Najee Harris RB
13.09 177 Kyle Williams WR
14.06 188 Green Bay DEF
15.09 205 Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB
16.03 213 Jake Elliott T K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.48635.88639053254438107.5832558356373210.72783.10532544378790.8982438562757720.000130.3242603550296141.2307692307692330.000177.54319526627222141.2307692307692340.000224.76213017751482141.2307692307692350.000271.9810650887574141.2307692307692360.000319.2141.2307692307692370.000366.41893491124256141.2307692307692380.000413.6378698224852141.2307692307692390.000460.85680473372776141.23076923076923100.000508.07573964497044141.23076923076923110.000555.294674556213141.23076923076923120.833602.513609467455683.57890358745951130.00035.8863905325443873.9357424405054110.00083.10532544378740.56571848178232620.340130.3242603550296117.7044678437208330.139177.54319526627222131.6035798556414440.778224.7621301775148287.3572357352878450.079271.9810650887574135.757430276909560.103319.2134.118437761325370.129366.41893491124256132.3188416322959480.297413.6378698224852120.6855253880567390.397460.85680473372776113.77774015019989100.052508.07573964497044137.65296642334457110.793555.29467455621386.29982530401733120.000602.513609467455625.92703794414980213Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111213836.89822485207198.6272189349112411185.4485207100591782.650887573964520133.99881656804732141.2307692307692330182.5491124260355141.2307692307692340231.09940828402367141.2307692307692350279.6497041420119141.2307692307692360328.20000000000005141.2307692307692370376.75029585798814141.2307692307692380425.30059171597634141.2307692307692390473.8508875739645141.23076923076923100522.4011834319526141.23076923076923110570.9514792899408141.230769230769231210619.50177514792987.9763313609467413036.89822485207156.023668639053241085.4485207100591724.07100591715975223133.99881656804732125.2544378698224832182.5491124260355130.5798816568047347231.09940828402367103.9526627218934953279.6497041420119125.2544378698224864328.20000000000005119.9289940828402370376.75029585798814141.2307692307692382425.30059171597634130.5798816568047393473.8508875739645125.25443786982248101522.4011834319526135.905325443786981110570.951479289940887.97633136094674120619.50177514792934.7218934911242513All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2025 Matt 3-10 12th 90.73 0.396 20.41 4-10 11th
1 991 2025 Derrek 3-10 13th 90.52 0.398 18.36 3-11 14th
2 977 2014 Richie 6-7 9th 91.79 0.405 19.55 6-7 9th
3 977 2009 Pat 6-7 8th 94.89 0.396 23.39 6-7 8th
4 977 2023 Dave 6-7 9th 94.50 0.399 21.80 6-8 10th
5 977 2008 Katie 5-8 10th 86.46 0.396 23.17 5-8 10th
6 976 2022 Richie 5-8 13th 92.01 0.399 14.36 6-8 13th
7 974 2019 Richie 5-8 12th 92.67 0.388 20.00 5-8 12th
8 974 2025 Richie 7-6 7th 88.51 0.399 26.49 8-6 6th
9 973 2014 Derrek 5-8 12th 89.22 0.390 24.54 5-8 12th
10 969 2010 Kevin 5-8 10th 90.35 0.406 15.22 5-8 10th