2025 Derrek (through 13 weeks)

3-10 (0.231), 1,176.70 points (90.52 average)

13th place

5.18 expected wins (0.398)

71-98 all-play record (0.420)

+8.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 103.80 89.67 Pulley 14.13
2 L 88.30 112.82 Matt -24.52
3 W 119.37 95.32 Kevin 24.05
4 L 71.12 146.34 Babel -75.22 Slapped Heartbeat
5 L 73.23 83.03 Schertz -9.80
6 L 114.40 117.55 Dave -3.15
7 L 94.90 166.57 Mike R. -71.67
8 L 81.84 92.82 Richie -10.98
9 L 93.37 93.89 Pat -0.52
10 W 107.37 68.07 Scott 39.30
11 L 103.30 105.08 Ed -1.78
12 L 58.25 124.16 Pulley -65.91 Slapped Heartbeat
13 L 67.45 71.49 Rob -4.04
14 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%39.42857142857143141.2307692307692300.0%89.97802197802199141.2307692307692310.0%140.5274725274725141.2307692307692329.6%191.07692307692307115.6448401453684930.0%241.6263736263736141.2307692307692340.0%292.1758241758242141.2307692307692350.0%342.7252747252747141.2307692307692360.0%393.27472527472526141.2307692307692370.0%443.8241758241758141.2307692307692380.0%494.3736263736264141.2307692307692390.0%544.9230769230769141.23076923076923100.0%595.4725274725274141.23076923076923110.0%646.0219780219779141.23076923076923120.0%696.5714285714286141.23076923076923130.0%39.42857142857143141.1474666220259500.5%89.97802197802199139.9937959937619512.9%140.5274725274725133.6287547184712720.0%191.0769230769230790.05891105996776319.7%241.626373626373688.69199199373105426.0%292.175824175824272.0522.5%342.725274725274781.40523646662902612.8%393.27472527472526107.2142277519806674.7%443.8241758241758128.640947233241181.1%494.3736263736264138.2684623586512890.2%544.9230769230769140.80448912843337100.0%595.4725274725274141.19564414293103110.0%646.0219780219779141.22931673430963120.0%696.5714285714286141.2307478373131513Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek4th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th60.68846153846153208.213017751479326th109.6307692307692118.27218934911241310th158.5730769230769208.2130177514793412th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272510th256.4576923076923208.213017751479369th305.4185.7278106508876710th354.3423076923077208.2130177514793810th403.28461538461534208.2130177514793910th452.226923076923208.21301775147931010th501.16923076923075208.21301775147931110th550.1115384615384208.21301775147931211th599.053846153846230.698224852071134th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th60.68846153846153208.213017751479325th109.630769230769295.786982248520739th158.5730769230769185.7278106508876413th207.5153846153846275.6686390532544511th256.4576923076923230.698224852071612th305.4253.18343195266272713th354.3423076923077275.6686390532544813th403.28461538461534275.6686390532544912th452.226923076923253.183431952662721012th501.16923076923075253.183431952662721112th550.1115384615384253.183431952662721213th599.053846153846275.6686390532544134th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th60.68846153846153208.213017751479326th109.6307692307692118.27218934911241311th158.5730769230769230.698224852071413th207.5153846153846275.6686390532544510th256.4576923076923208.213017751479369th305.4185.7278106508876710th354.3423076923077208.2130177514793810th403.28461538461534208.2130177514793910th452.226923076923208.21301775147931010th501.16923076923075208.21301775147931110th550.1115384615384208.21301775147931211th599.053846153846230.69822485207113Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
12

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Christian McCaffrey RB
2.13 27 TreVeyon Henderson RB
3.02 30 DK Metcalf WR
4.13 55 Jakobi Meyers WR
5.02 58 Jerry Jeudy WR
6.13 83 Cooper Kupp WR
7.02 86 Ladd McConkey K WR
8.13 111 Colston Loveland TE
9.02 114 Justin Herbert QB
10.13 139 Austin Ekeler RB
11.02 142 Minnesota DEF
12.13 167 Ricky Pearsall K WR
13.02 170 MarShawn Lloyd RB
14.13 195 Will Shipley RB
15.02 198 Cam Ward QB
16.13 223 Wil Lutz K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.57935.88639053254438101.1242102687363310.00083.105325443787141.2307692307692320.817130.324260355029684.641353898027930.000177.54319526627222141.2307692307692340.000224.76213017751482141.2307692307692350.000271.9810650887574141.2307692307692360.000319.2141.2307692307692370.000366.41893491124256141.2307692307692380.000413.6378698224852141.2307692307692390.643460.8568047337277696.68414818116864100.000508.07573964497044141.23076923076923110.000555.294674556213141.23076923076923120.000602.5136094674556141.23076923076923130.00035.8863905325443861.0176513067034410.32183.105325443787118.9956614220035120.000130.324260355029628.05193856528657630.118177.54319526627222133.0824954332697440.146224.76213017751482131.1227940068350250.754271.981065088757489.065340229121460.465319.2109.0369017933777270.226366.41893491124256125.5787957855397180.425413.6378698224852111.8098603987309590.000460.8568047337277652.13752713156805100.571508.07573964497044101.67080084380913110.029555.294674556213139.2029102677334120.085602.5136094674556135.3577821633587613Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112131036.89822485207187.976331360946741085.44852071005917141.23076923076923211133.9988165680473282.650887573964530182.5491124260355141.2307692307692340231.09940828402367141.2307692307692350279.6497041420119141.2307692307692360328.20000000000005141.2307692307692370376.75029585798814141.2307692307692380425.30059171597634141.23076923076923910473.850887573964587.97633136094674100522.4011834319526141.23076923076923110570.9514792899408141.23076923076923120619.501775147929141.2307692307692313036.89822485207134.721893491124251385.44852071005917125.2544378698224820133.9988165680473224.07100591715975230182.5491124260355141.2307692307692342231.09940828402367130.5798816568047359279.649704142011993.3017751479289967328.20000000000005103.9526627218934973376.75029585798814125.2544378698224886425.30059171597634109.2781065088757490473.850887573964534.72189349112425108522.401183431952698.62721893491124110570.9514792899408141.23076923076923122619.501775147929130.5798816568047313All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2025 Derrek 3-10 13th 90.52 0.398 18.36 3-11 14th
1 991 2025 Matt 3-10 12th 90.73 0.396 20.41 4-10 11th
2 984 2022 Richie 5-8 13th 92.01 0.399 14.36 6-8 13th
3 980 2014 Richie 6-7 9th 91.79 0.405 19.55 6-7 9th
4 978 2010 Kevin 5-8 10th 90.35 0.406 15.22 5-8 10th
5 976 2023 Dave 6-7 9th 94.50 0.399 21.80 6-8 10th
6 975 2025 Richie 7-6 7th 88.51 0.399 26.49 8-6 6th
7 969 2008 Katie 5-8 10th 86.46 0.396 23.17 5-8 10th
8 968 2009 Pat 6-7 8th 94.89 0.396 23.39 6-7 8th
9 967 2019 Richie 5-8 12th 92.67 0.388 20.00 5-8 12th
10 966 2014 Derrek 5-8 12th 89.22 0.390 24.54 5-8 12th