2023 Dave (through 13 weeks)

6-7 (0.462), 1,228.50 points (94.50 average)

9th place

5.18 expected wins (0.398)

64-105 all-play record (0.379)

-15.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 83.70 63.20 Derrek 20.50
2 L 85.05 93.59 Ed -8.54
3 W 120.41 72.32 Scott 48.09
4 L 71.98 109.71 Rob -37.73
5 L 87.27 101.66 Babel -14.39
6 W 113.32 86.17 Rabbit 27.15
7 W 144.61 110.68 Pat 33.93 Team Blangums
8 L 115.48 149.12 Pulley -33.64
9 W 92.23 84.46 Mike R. 7.77
10 L 70.05 90.10 Derrek -20.05 Slapped Heartbeat
11 W 85.01 73.67 Matt 11.34
12 L 92.00 108.98 Schertz -16.98
13 L 67.39 106.11 Richie -38.72
14 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.2307692307692340.0%212.7802197802198141.23076923076923523.0%249.593406593406684.41406099879860.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.2172630240105200.2%65.52747252747253140.7350526797358712.0%102.34065934065934136.3349250449911428.8%139.15384615384613119.4141598485803320.8%175.9670329670329689.80795136902515428.1%212.780219780219871.9999999999999950.0%249.593406593406627.597352766826788612.0%286.4065934065934111.6297308434700674.0%323.2197802197802131.276935589789980.9%360.032967032967139.0828635037563390.1%396.8461538461538140.94194917151668100.0%433.6593406593406141.20793934913598110.0%470.4725274725274141.229813240763120.0%507.2857142857143141.2307530229397213Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585112th60.68846153846153253.1834319526627229th109.6307692307692185.7278106508876311th158.5730769230769230.698224852071412th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272511th256.4576923076923230.69822485207167th305.4140.7573964497041577th354.3423076923077140.7573964497041587th403.28461538461534140.7573964497041599th452.226923076923185.7278106508876109th501.16923076923075185.72781065088761110th550.1115384615384208.21301775147931210th599.053846153846208.2130177514793136th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124118th60.68846153846153163.2426035502958526th109.6307692307692118.2721893491124139th158.5730769230769185.7278106508876410th207.5153846153846208.2130177514793510th256.4576923076923208.213017751479366th305.4118.2721893491124177th354.3423076923077140.7573964497041588th403.28461538461534163.2426035502958598th452.226923076923163.24260355029585107th501.16923076923075140.75739644970415118th550.1115384615384163.24260355029585129th599.053846153846185.7278106508876138th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958519th60.68846153846153185.727810650887628th109.6307692307692163.24260355029585311th158.5730769230769230.698224852071411th207.5153846153846230.698224852071511th256.4576923076923230.69822485207166th305.4118.2721893491124176th354.3423076923077118.2721893491124187th403.28461538461534140.7573964497041598th452.226923076923163.24260355029585108th501.16923076923075163.242603550295851110th550.1115384615384208.21301775147931210th599.053846153846208.213017751479313Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
7
8
11
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.12 12 Travis Kelce K TE
2.03 17 A.J. Brown K WR
3.12 40 Joe Burrow QB
4.03 45 James Conner RB
5.12 68 Michael Pittman, Jr. WR
6.03 73 Javonte Williams RB
7.12 96 Zay Flowers WR
8.03 101 Darnell Mooney WR
9.12 124 Jeff Wilson, Jr. RB
10.03 129 Justin Tucker K
11.12 152 Philadelphia DEF
12.03 157 Derek Carr QB
13.12 180 Clyde Edwards-Helaire RB
14.03 185 Van Jefferson WR
15.12 208 Leonard Fournette RB
16.03 213 Jalin Hyatt WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.21924.64378698224852126.101797667540310.00057.069822485207105141.2307692307692320.80889.4958579881656885.3129938344972630.000121.92189349112428141.2307692307692340.000154.34792899408282141.2307692307692350.715186.773964497041491.7650592265390460.960219.274.7419889529571970.000251.62603550295853141.2307692307692380.377284.0520710059171115.1432652313708690.000316.4781065088757141.23076923076923100.245348.9041420118343124.2682162890604110.000381.33017751479287141.23076923076923120.000413.75621301775146141.23076923076923130.00024.64378698224852110.9728261043113810.24757.069822485207105124.125864014252720.00089.4958579881656829.39521843822528530.078121.92189349112428135.8349444547098440.286154.34792899408282121.400372542736850.000186.773964497041442.2993492223088560.000219.28.25320867514514670.751251.6260355029585389.2661944179156680.000284.052071005917189.0557612319725190.071316.4781065088757136.28591774680535100.000348.9041420118343107.30566334735158110.369381.33017751479287115.67251968013883120.054413.75621301775146137.505184219674813Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111213625.655621301775145109.278106508875741059.413017751479295141.230769230769232993.1704142011834293.3017751479289930126.92781065088758141.2307692307692340160.6852071005917141.23076923076923511194.4426035502958482.6508875739645613228.272.070261.9573964497041141.2307692307692388295.714792899408398.6272189349112490329.47218934911234141.23076923076923103363.2295857988165125.25443786982248110396.9869822485207141.23076923076923120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313025.65562130177514577.325443786982251159.413017751479295135.905325443786982093.1704142011834245.37278106508874531126.92781065088758135.9053254437869842160.6852071005917130.5798816568047350194.4426035502958424.07100591715975260228.22.769230769230773677261.9573964497041103.9526627218934980295.714792899408356.0236686390532490329.47218934911234141.23076923076923100363.2295857988165109.27810650887574112396.9869822485207130.57988165680473121430.74437869822486135.9053254437869813All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2023 Dave 6-7 9th 94.50 0.398 21.80 6-8 10th
1 991 2009 Pat 6-7 8th 94.89 0.396 23.39 6-7 8th
2 973 2022 Richie 5-8 13th 92.01 0.399 14.36 6-8 13th
3 972 2014 Richie 6-7 9th 91.79 0.405 19.55 6-7 9th
4 968 2019 Richie 5-8 12th 92.67 0.388 20.00 5-8 12th
5 960 2008 Katie 5-8 10th 86.46 0.396 23.17 5-8 10th
6 957 2014 Derrek 5-8 12th 89.22 0.390 24.54 5-8 12th
7 955 2010 Kevin 5-8 10th 90.35 0.406 15.22 5-8 10th
8 955 2023 Schertz 5-8 11th 95.55 0.418 21.30 6-8 9th
9 954 2013 Richie 6-7 10th 89.91 0.411 23.56 6-7 10th
10 948 2024 Scott 5-8 11th 92.89 0.419 24.12 5-9 12th