2014 Schertz (through 9 weeks)

5-4 (0.556), 834.99 points

6th place

3.70 expected wins (0.411)

51-66 all-play record (0.436)

-23.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 83.62 157.21 Dave -73.59
2 W 74.81 72.63 Ed 2.18
3 W 96.28 75.96 Mike R. 20.32
4 W 100.39 87.58 Babel 12.81
5 W 107.18 89.05 Allen 18.13
6 W 120.48 60.70 Kevin 59.78 Team Blangums
7 L 78.03 84.05 Matt -6.02
8 L 99.95 153.86 Rabbit -53.91
9 L 74.25 82.06 Rob -7.81
10 Pat
11 Derrek
12 Pulley
13 Richie

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567890.0%36.07692307692308141.2307692307692300.0%87.61538461538464141.2307692307692310.0%139.15384615384616141.2307692307692320.0%190.6923076923077141.2307692307692330.0%242.23076923076925141.23076923076923418.2%293.769230769230897.9500563092999250.0%345.3076923076923141.2307692307692360.0%396.8461538461538141.2307692307692370.0%448.3846153846154141.2307692307692380.0%499.9230769230769141.2307692307692390.3%36.07692307692308140.4674307946761503.5%87.61538461538464132.89795760926796113.8%139.15384615384616108.47616841210294226.9%190.692307692307777.34247510328844329.2%242.2307692307692572.040.0%293.769230769230854.6693433878306456.6%345.3076923076923125.6426506918039161.3%396.8461538461538138.0810015846426570.1%448.3846153846154140.9012384855476580.0%499.9230769230769141.216922817093589Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789Rank by WeekWeek11th11.746153846153845230.698224852071113th85.15961538461536275.6686390532544211th158.5730769230769230.698224852071311th231.98653846153846230.698224852071410th305.4208.213017751479357th378.8134615384615140.7573964497041568th452.226923076923163.2426035502958578th525.6403846153845163.2426035502958589th599.053846153846185.7278106508876911th11.746153846153845230.698224852071111th85.15961538461536230.69822485207128th158.5730769230769163.2426035502958534th231.9865384615384673.3017751479289943rd305.450.81656804733728453rd378.813461538461550.81656804733728464th452.22692307692373.3017751479289975th525.640384615384595.786982248520786th599.053846153846118.27218934911241911th11.746153846153845230.698224852071113th85.15961538461536275.6686390532544211th158.5730769230769230.698224852071310th231.98653846153846208.2130177514793410th305.4208.213017751479357th378.8134615384615140.7573964497041568th452.226923076923163.2426035502958578th525.6403846153845163.2426035502958588th599.053846153846163.242603550295859Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Matt Forte RB
2.13 27 Vincent Jackson WR
3.02 30 Pierre Garcon WR
4.13 55 Vernon Davis TE
5.02 58 Tom Brady QB
6.13 83 Ben Tate K RB
7.02 86 Terrance West RB
8.13 111 Justin Hunter WR
9.02 114 Jay Cutler QB
10.13 139 St. Louis DEF
11.02 142 Matt Prater K
12.13 167 Jonathan Grimes RB
13.02 170 Michael Crabtree K WR
14.13 195 Brandon Bostick TE
15.02 198 C.J. Anderson RB
16.13 223 Harry Douglas WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567890.00031.84957264957265141.2307692307692310.14278.68717948717948131.4337376346568620.460125.5247863247863109.409898046798930.524172.36239316239318104.9551276038472340.652219.296.1024077695121750.838266.0376068376068683.2494859047715260.000312.8752136752136141.2307692307692370.000359.7128205128205141.2307692307692380.000406.5504273504273141.2307692307692390.25431.84957264957265123.6606177801187610.00078.68717948717948121.6367060385445220.000125.524786324786377.5890268628285630.000172.3623931623931868.6794859769252440.000219.250.9740463082551150.000266.0376068376068625.26820257877382460.178312.8752136752136128.8881545243987770.515359.7128205128205105.5915233814117680.135406.5504273504273131.911034467830269Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789033.15726495726496141.230769230769231281.9179487179487130.5798816568047325130.67863247863247114.6035502958579935179.4393162393162114.60355029585799410228.287.97633136094674513276.9606837606837672.060325.7213675213675141.2307692307692370374.4820512820512141.2307692307692380423.242735042735141.230769230769239333.15726495726496125.254437869822481081.9179487179487119.9289940828402320130.6786324786324787.9763313609467430179.439316239316287.9763313609467440228.234.7218934911242550276.960683760683762.769230769230773665325.7213675213675114.6035502958579975374.4820512820512114.6035502958579983423.242735042735125.254437869822489All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2014 Schertz 5-4 6th 92.78 0.411 15.14 5-8 13th
1 989 2014 Ed 4-5 9th 92.20 0.414 16.12 6-7 8th
2 982 2021 Pat 1-8 13th 94.67 0.406 15.29 3-11 12th
3 973 2016 Allen 4-5 11th 94.13 0.416 20.91 4-9 13th
4 973 2015 Ed 3-6 11th 92.52 0.418 21.31 4-9 12th
5 973 2020 Derrek 4-5 11th 93.15 0.416 22.64 8-5 5th 5th place
6 972 2019 Babel 5-4 7th 97.22 0.412 18.77 8-5 5th 5th place
7 972 2013 Pat 4-5 10th 90.57 0.402 16.23 5-8 12th
8 968 2014 Kevin 2-7 14th 91.39 0.400 17.41 4-9 14th
9 967 2010 Kevin 2-7 11th 87.50 0.406 16.19 5-8 10th
10 964 2024 Matt 5-4 7th 94.44 0.419 21.58 8-6 6th