2016 Allen (through 9 weeks)

4-5 (0.444), 847.20 points (94.13 average)

11th place

3.80 expected wins (0.422)

52-65 all-play record (0.444)

-12.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 72.19 85.25 Richie -13.06 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 106.42 91.85 Dave 14.57
3 W 136.95 98.49 Mike R. 38.46 Team Blangums
4 W 105.54 93.80 Pulley 11.74
5 L 77.03 129.47 Schertz -52.44
6 L 75.57 76.61 Babel -1.04
7 L 70.14 89.78 Pat -19.64
8 W 104.28 86.50 Ed 17.78
9 L 99.08 110.71 Matt -11.63
10 Rob
11 Kevin
12 Rabbit
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567890.0%36.07692307692308141.2307692307692300.0%87.61538461538464141.2307692307692310.0%139.15384615384616141.2307692307692320.0%190.6923076923077141.23076923076923331.9%242.2307692307692572.040.0%293.7692307692308141.2307692307692350.0%345.3076923076923141.2307692307692360.0%396.8461538461538141.2307692307692370.0%448.3846153846154141.2307692307692380.0%499.9230769230769141.2307692307692390.1%36.07692307692308141.002365457506302.2%87.61538461538464136.44478302578867111.5%139.15384615384616116.32344801152625226.6%190.692307692307783.3847091825088630.0%242.230769230769252.7692307692307736420.1%293.769230769230897.5493516195675956.5%345.3076923076923127.1148278979913561.1%396.8461538461538138.8724528144608770.1%448.3846153846154141.037383436951780.0%499.9230769230769141.224640438947749Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789Rank by WeekWeek14th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613112th85.15961538461536253.1834319526627228th158.5730769230769163.2426035502958537th231.98653846153846140.7573964497041549th305.4185.7278106508876510th378.8134615384615208.2130177514793610th452.226923076923208.213017751479379th525.6403846153845185.7278106508876810th599.053846153846208.2130177514793914th11.746153846153845298.1538461538461319th85.15961538461536185.727810650887626th158.5730769230769118.2721893491124132nd231.9865384615384628.33136094674557648th305.4163.2426035502958559th378.8134615384615185.7278106508876610th452.226923076923208.213017751479379th525.6403846153845185.7278106508876811th599.053846153846230.698224852071914th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613112th85.15961538461536253.1834319526627228th158.5730769230769163.2426035502958537th231.98653846153846140.7573964497041549th305.4185.7278106508876510th378.8134615384615208.2130177514793610th452.226923076923208.2130177514793711th525.6403846153845230.698224852071810th599.053846153846208.21301775147939Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Ezekiel Elliott RB
2.13 27 Russell Wilson K QB
3.02 30 Eric Decker WR
4.13 55 Rashad Jennings RB
5.02 58 Tyler Lockett WR
6.13 83 Isaiah Crowell RB
7.02 86 Marvin Jones, Jr. WR
8.13 111 DeAndre Washington RB
9.02 114 Jordan Reed K TE
10.13 139 Mohamed Sanu WR
11.02 142 Kansas City DEF
12.13 167 Wendell Smallwood RB
13.02 170 Jaelen Strong WR
14.13 195 Paul Perkins RB
15.02 198 Brock Osweiler QB
16.13 223 Josh Brown K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567890.00031.84957264957265141.2307692307692310.63678.6871794871794897.2204084699488120.936125.524786324786376.4470009420595530.618172.3623931623931898.4336574136045540.000219.2141.2307692307692350.000266.03760683760686141.2307692307692360.000312.8752136752136141.2307692307692370.584359.7128205128205100.8226141963070180.000406.5504273504273141.2307692307692390.11531.84957264957265133.3026309475401710.00078.6871794871794853.21004770912837520.000125.524786324786311.66323265334986630.000172.3623931623931855.6365455964398740.174219.2129.2121422446778650.151266.03760683760686130.761769430293960.087312.8752136752136135.2015644376308570.000359.712820512820560.414459161844880.502406.5504273504273106.492812691789949Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789033.15726495726496141.230769230769231981.917948717948793.30177514792899213130.6786324786324772.038179.439316239316298.6272189349112440228.2141.2307692307692350276.96068376068376141.2307692307692360325.7213675213675141.2307692307692378374.482051282051298.6272189349112480423.242735042735141.230769230769239033.15726495726496141.230769230769231081.917948717948745.37278106508874520130.678632478632472.769230769230773630179.439316239316256.0236686390532443228.2125.2544378698224853276.96068376068376125.2544378698224861325.7213675213675135.9053254437869870374.482051282051256.0236686390532487423.242735042735103.952662721893499All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Allen 4-5 11th 94.13 0.422 20.91 4-9 13th
1 990 2024 Matt 5-4 7th 94.44 0.418 21.58 8-6 6th 6th place
2 989 2019 Scott 2-7 14th 94.20 0.425 23.47 4-9 14th
3 988 2015 Ed 3-6 11th 92.52 0.420 21.31 4-9 12th
4 985 2023 Ed 6-3 4th 94.66 0.424 15.82 11-3 1st 2nd place
5 979 2012 Babel 4-5 8th 91.98 0.425 17.04 6-7 6th 2nd place
6 978 2020 Derrek 4-5 11th 93.15 0.415 22.64 8-5 5th 5th place
7 977 2016 Babel 4-5 10th 94.81 0.430 18.58 7-6 6th 6th place
8 973 2019 Ed 3-6 11th 97.58 0.428 22.27 5-8 11th
9 968 2014 Schertz 5-4 6th 92.78 0.415 15.14 5-8 13th
10 967 2018 Richie 5-4 7th 100.40 0.426 21.28 5-8 11th