2016 Allen (through 9 weeks)

4-5 (0.444), 847.20 points

11th place

3.74 expected wins (0.416)

52-65 all-play record (0.444)

-13.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 72.19 85.25 Richie -13.06 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 106.42 91.85 Dave 14.57
3 W 136.95 98.49 Mike R. 38.46 Team Blangums
4 W 105.54 93.80 Pulley 11.74
5 L 77.03 129.47 Schertz -52.44
6 L 75.57 76.61 Babel -1.04
7 L 70.14 89.78 Pat -19.64
8 W 104.28 86.50 Ed 17.78
9 L 99.08 110.71 Matt -11.63
10 Rob
11 Kevin
12 Rabbit
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567890.0%36.07692307692308141.2307692307692300.0%87.61538461538464141.2307692307692310.0%139.15384615384616141.2307692307692320.0%190.6923076923077141.23076923076923331.7%242.2307692307692572.040.0%293.7692307692308141.2307692307692350.0%345.3076923076923141.2307692307692360.0%396.8461538461538141.2307692307692370.0%448.3846153846154141.2307692307692380.0%499.9230769230769141.2307692307692390.1%36.07692307692308140.9798083370852702.4%87.61538461538464135.97010801600612112.2%139.15384615384616114.54843087281463227.5%190.692307692307781.1984059345086330.0%242.230769230769252.7692307692307736419.1%293.769230769230899.4869688962935655.8%345.3076923076923128.5019365018081360.9%396.8461538461538139.2327508685281470.1%448.3846153846154141.0765623620481580.0%499.9230769230769141.22614259429579Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789Rank by WeekWeek14th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613112th85.15961538461536253.1834319526627229th158.5730769230769185.727810650887637th231.98653846153846140.7573964497041549th305.4185.7278106508876510th378.8134615384615208.2130177514793610th452.226923076923208.213017751479379th525.6403846153845185.7278106508876810th599.053846153846208.2130177514793914th11.746153846153845298.1538461538461319th85.15961538461536185.727810650887626th158.5730769230769118.2721893491124132nd231.9865384615384628.33136094674557648th305.4163.2426035502958559th378.8134615384615185.7278106508876610th452.226923076923208.213017751479379th525.6403846153845185.7278106508876811th599.053846153846230.698224852071914th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613112th85.15961538461536253.1834319526627228th158.5730769230769163.2426035502958537th231.98653846153846140.7573964497041549th305.4185.7278106508876510th378.8134615384615208.2130177514793610th452.226923076923208.2130177514793711th525.6403846153845230.698224852071810th599.053846153846208.21301775147939Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Ezekiel Elliott RB
2.13 27 Russell Wilson K QB
3.02 30 Eric Decker WR
4.13 55 Rashad Jennings RB
5.02 58 Tyler Lockett WR
6.13 83 Isaiah Crowell RB
7.02 86 Marvin Jones, Jr. WR
8.13 111 DeAndre Washington RB
9.02 114 Jordan Reed K TE
10.13 139 Mohamed Sanu WR
11.02 142 Kansas City DEF
12.13 167 Wendell Smallwood RB
13.02 170 Jaelen Strong WR
14.13 195 Paul Perkins RB
15.02 198 Brock Osweiler QB
16.13 223 Josh Brown K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567890.00031.84957264957265141.2307692307692310.62678.6871794871794897.9217637254406720.937125.524786324786376.3865851810697530.610172.3623931623931898.9786352846103340.000219.2141.2307692307692350.000266.03760683760686141.2307692307692360.000312.8752136752136141.2307692307692370.584359.7128205128205100.7969089347946980.000406.5504273504273141.2307692307692390.10631.84957264957265133.912217788777210.00078.6871794871794854.6127582201121120.000125.524786324786311.5424011313702730.000172.3623931623931856.7265013384514440.159219.2130.252942067781250.139266.03760683760686131.582554674478560.088312.8752136752136135.12818829233870.000359.712820512820560.3630486388201380.493406.5504273504273107.081317238244379Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789033.15726495726496141.230769230769231981.917948717948793.30177514792899213130.6786324786324772.038179.439316239316298.6272189349112440228.2141.2307692307692350276.96068376068376141.2307692307692360325.7213675213675141.2307692307692378374.482051282051298.6272189349112480423.242735042735141.230769230769239033.15726495726496141.230769230769231081.917948717948745.37278106508874520130.678632478632472.769230769230773630179.439316239316256.0236686390532443228.2125.2544378698224853276.96068376068376125.2544378698224861325.7213675213675135.9053254437869870374.482051282051256.0236686390532487423.242735042735103.952662721893499All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Allen 4-5 11th 94.13 0.416 20.91 4-9 13th
1 992 2020 Derrek 4-5 11th 93.15 0.416 22.64 8-5 5th 5th place
2 991 2024 Matt 5-4 7th 94.44 0.419 21.58 8-6 6th
3 989 2015 Ed 3-6 11th 92.52 0.418 21.31 4-9 12th
4 980 2014 Ed 4-5 9th 92.20 0.414 16.12 6-7 8th
5 977 2019 Scott 2-7 14th 94.20 0.425 23.47 4-9 14th
6 976 2019 Babel 5-4 7th 97.22 0.412 18.77 8-5 5th 5th place
7 973 2016 Babel 4-5 10th 94.81 0.425 18.58 7-6 6th 6th place
8 973 2014 Schertz 5-4 6th 92.78 0.411 15.14 5-8 13th
9 969 2023 Ed 6-3 4th 94.66 0.425 15.82 11-3 1st 2nd place
10 966 2021 Pat 1-8 13th 94.67 0.406 15.29 3-11 12th