2008 Matt (through 12 weeks)

2-10 (0.167), 996.53 points

12th place

4.48 expected wins (0.374)

48-84 all-play record (0.364)

+30.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 84.10 106.97 Ed -22.87
2 L 80.30 107.26 Derrek -26.96
3 L 82.07 91.49 Dave -9.42
4 W 125.27 69.67 Katie 55.60 Team Blangums
5 L 87.28 110.69 Pulley -23.41
6 L 91.73 114.39 Rob -22.66
7 L 69.03 92.40 Mike R. -23.37
8 L 66.02 113.14 Rabbit -47.12 Slapped Heartbeat
9 L 72.43 108.37 Kevin -35.94
10 L 79.36 118.90 Babel -39.54
11 L 45.28 86.30 Allen -41.02
12 W 113.66 109.43 Ed 4.23
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692316.3%109.42011834319527125.1545619331076220.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.2307692307692340.0%228.35502958579883141.2307692307692350.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.162639874902200.9%69.77514792899409139.0473124495296710.0%109.42011834319527109.078354635446217.8%149.0650887573964495.52293574881344327.0%188.7100591715976372.0425.0%228.3550295857988377.24290783320252515.0%268.0102.7342843584601966.1%307.64497041420117125.7213691654631671.6%347.28994082840245137.0299526243237680.3%386.93491124260356140.4801500478225890.0%426.5798816568048141.1465606440718100.0%466.2248520710059141.2254454217015110.0%505.8698224852071141.230626310089312Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek6th11.746153846153845138.71328671328675111th65.13776223776223271.5804195804196212th118.52937062937062298.1538461538461336th171.92097902097902138.7132867132867547th225.3125874125874165.286713286713358th278.7041958041958191.860139860139969th332.09580419580413218.43356643356645710th385.4874125874125245.006993006993810th438.87902097902094245.006993006993911th492.27062937062936271.58041958041961011th545.6622377622377271.58041958041961110th599.053846153846245.006993006993129th11.746153846153845218.43356643356645111th65.13776223776223271.5804195804196212th118.52937062937062298.15384615384613311th171.92097902097902271.5804195804196411th225.3125874125874271.5804195804196511th278.7041958041958271.5804195804196612th332.09580419580413298.15384615384613712th385.4874125874125298.15384615384613812th438.87902097902094298.15384615384613912th492.27062937062936298.153846153846131012th545.6622377622377298.153846153846131112th599.053846153846298.15384615384613126th11.746153846153845138.71328671328675110th65.13776223776223245.006993006993211th118.52937062937062271.580419580419636th171.92097902097902138.7132867132867547th225.3125874125874165.286713286713358th278.7041958041958191.860139860139968th332.09580419580413191.8601398601399710th385.4874125874125245.006993006993810th438.87902097902094245.006993006993911th492.27062937062936271.58041958041961011th545.6622377622377271.58041958041961110th599.053846153846245.00699300699312Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Tom Brady QB
2.07 19 Larry Johnson RB
3.06 30 Chad Ochocinco WR
4.07 43 Reggie Bush RB
5.06 54 Roy Williams WR
6.07 67 Jerricho Cotchery WR
7.06 78 Kevin Smith RB
8.07 91 Nate Burleson WR
9.06 102 Owen Daniels TE
10.07 115 Ricky Williams RB
11.06 126 Nick Folk K
12.07 139 Aaron Rodgers QB
13.06 150 Dallas DEF
14.07 163 Kevin Walter WR
15.06 174 Buffalo DEF
16.07 187 Robert Meachem WR
Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.00025.994871794871795141.2307692307692310.00061.12307692307692141.2307692307692320.00096.25128205128203141.2307692307692330.958131.3794871794871774.8887980453558340.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692350.000201.63589743589745141.2307692307692360.000236.76410256410256141.2307692307692370.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692380.000307.0205128205128141.2307692307692390.000342.14871794871794141.23076923076923100.000377.2769230769231141.23076923076923110.835412.405128205128283.41195578059498120.34625.994871794871795117.2659383049648910.28861.12307692307692121.2775045456841220.31696.25128205128203119.3683172129905530.000131.379487179487178.54682685994242840.395166.5076923076923113.8680394211828950.462201.63589743589745109.2314416132127860.172236.76410256410256129.3460938683771870.147271.89230769230767131.0848180463659780.200307.0205128205128127.368721273801790.277342.14871794871794122.02754242638517100.087377.2769230769231135.23275481084903110.000412.405128205128225.5931423304207212Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456789101112027.062179487179485141.230769230769231063.6326923076923141.2307692307692320100.20320512820511141.23076923076923311136.7737179487179472.040173.3442307692307141.2307692307692350209.91474358974358141.2307692307692360246.4852564102564141.2307692307692370283.0557692307692141.2307692307692380319.62628205128203141.2307692307692390356.19679487179485141.23076923076923100392.7673076923077141.230769230769231110429.337820512820578.293706293706312627.062179487179485103.468531468531471263.6326923076923128.6433566433566424100.20320512820511116.0559440559440530136.773717948717942.769230769230773645173.3442307692307109.7622377622377653209.91474358974358122.3496503496503561246.4852564102564134.9370629370629370283.0557692307692141.2307692307692383319.62628205128203122.3496503496503592356.19679487179485128.64335664335664101392.7673076923077134.93706293706293110429.337820512820515.3566433566433612All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2008 Matt 2-10 12th 83.04 0.374 20.13 3-10 12th
1 982 2013 Richie 5-7 11th 86.56 0.374 21.33 6-7 10th
2 977 2010 Pat 3-9 12th 84.74 0.367 21.61 3-10 12th
3 970 2014 Derrek 5-7 12th 87.76 0.373 24.99 5-8 12th
4 968 2009 Pulley 4-8 12th 88.76 0.369 19.83 4-9 12th
5 968 2015 Pat 5-7 11th 85.47 0.382 23.03 6-7 9th
6 963 2011 Pat 5-7 10th 88.34 0.376 25.14 5-8 11th
7 958 2014 Schertz 5-7 11th 90.16 0.374 14.21 5-8 13th
8 958 2017 Allen 4-8 12th 85.88 0.365 12.97 5-8 12th
9 957 2008 Katie 4-8 11th 81.86 0.357 17.51 5-8 10th
10 957 2016 Pat 7-5 5th 89.61 0.369 16.58 7-6 7th