2017 Matt (through 12 weeks)

4-8 (0.333), 1,017.78 points

13th place

4.23 expected wins (0.353)

54-102 all-play record (0.346)

+1.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 77.11 95.74 Kevin -18.63
2 L 78.20 93.62 Rob -15.42
3 L 73.28 118.90 Richie -45.62
4 W 118.61 86.95 Pulley 31.66
5 W 94.49 68.41 Allen 26.08
6 W 92.25 89.55 Babel 2.70
7 L 65.24 85.16 Ed -19.92 Slapped Heartbeat
8 L 83.86 104.24 Derrek -20.38
9 L 66.68 92.41 Rabbit -25.73
10 W 106.80 65.23 Schertz 41.57
11 L 72.46 119.39 Dave -46.93
12 L 88.80 122.00 Pat -33.20
13 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.23076923076923327.0%188.7100591715976372.0000000000000140.0%228.35502958579883141.2307692307692350.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.2%30.130177514792905140.8376412234258302.0%69.77514792899409136.12792397818119.0%109.42011834319527118.16235508346801220.4%149.0650887573964489.0107869613651430.0%188.710059171597632.769230769230802422.7%228.3550295857988383.0103018294148512.6%268.0108.8325672625544264.7%307.64497041420117129.0677108100887371.2%347.28994082840245138.1462823501155480.2%386.93491124260356140.7119205309034690.0%426.5798816568048141.1755124756721100.0%466.2248520710059141.2274086865063110.0%505.8698224852071141.2306806178924612Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek11th11.746153846153845230.698224852071112th65.13776223776223253.18343195266272214th118.52937062937062298.1538461538461339th171.92097902097902185.727810650887649th225.3125874125874185.727810650887659th278.7041958041958185.7278106508876611th332.09580419580413230.698224852071712th385.4874125874125253.18343195266272812th438.87902097902094253.18343195266272913th492.27062937062936275.66863905325441013th545.6622377622377275.66863905325441113th599.053846153846275.66863905325441212th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th65.13776223776223275.6686390532544214th118.52937062937062298.15384615384613312th171.92097902097902253.1834319526627248th225.3125874125874163.2426035502958558th278.7041958041958163.24260355029585610th332.09580419580413208.2130177514793711th385.4874125874125230.698224852071812th438.87902097902094253.18343195266272911th492.27062937062936230.6982248520711012th545.6622377622377253.183431952662721113th599.053846153846275.66863905325441211th11.746153846153845230.698224852071112th65.13776223776223253.18343195266272213th118.52937062937062275.668639053254439th171.92097902097902185.727810650887648th225.3125874125874163.2426035502958558th278.7041958041958163.24260355029585611th332.09580419580413230.698224852071712th385.4874125874125253.18343195266272812th438.87902097902094253.18343195266272913th492.27062937062936275.66863905325441012th545.6622377622377253.183431952662721113th599.053846153846275.668639053254412Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.05 5 Jordy Nelson WR
2.10 24 Marshawn Lynch RB
3.05 33 Allen Robinson II WR
4.10 52 Cam Newton QB
5.05 61 Tyler Eifert TE
6.10 80 Doug Martin RB
7.05 89 Michael Thomas K WR
8.10 108 Tevin Coleman K RB
9.05 117 Kenny Britt WR
10.10 136 Andy Dalton QB
11.05 145 Taylor Gabriel WR
12.10 164 Baltimore DEF
13.05 173 Evan Engram TE
14.10 192 Breshad Perriman WR
15.05 201 Devontae Booker RB
16.10 220 Adam Vinatieri K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.00025.994871794871795141.2307692307692310.00061.12307692307692141.2307692307692320.00096.25128205128203141.2307692307692330.868131.3794871794871781.1162612830373740.483166.5076923076923107.7880628891791250.442201.63589743589745110.6518438882194660.000236.76410256410256141.2307692307692370.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692380.000307.0205128205128141.2307692307692390.696342.1487179487179493.06004632268585100.000377.2769230769231141.23076923076923110.000412.4051282051282141.23076923076923120.22325.994871794871795125.788972026004210.23561.12307692307692124.9480204627939320.17896.25128205128203128.902765651944930.000131.3794871794871721.00175333530553740.000166.507692307692374.3453565475889950.000201.6358974358974580.072918545669760.112236.76410256410256133.4484497774057870.312271.89230769230767119.6409342463183580.123307.0205128205128132.7438687379593690.000342.1487179487179444.88932341460247100.172377.2769230769231129.32324143355004110.388412.4051282051282114.3565764504700712Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112027.062179487179485141.230769230769231063.6326923076923141.2307692307692320100.20320512820511141.23076923076923312136.7737179487179477.3254437869822548173.344230769230798.6272189349112455209.91474358974358114.6035502958579960246.4852564102564141.2307692307692370283.0557692307692141.2307692307692380319.62628205128203141.2307692307692399356.1967948717948593.30177514792899100392.7673076923077141.23076923076923110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312327.062179487179485125.254437869822481363.6326923076923125.2544378698224824100.20320512820511119.9289940828402330136.7737179487179413.4201183431952740173.344230769230756.0236686390532450209.9147435897435887.9763313609467460246.4852564102564141.2307692307692373283.0557692307692125.2544378698224881319.62628205128203135.9053254437869890356.1967948717948545.372781065088745103392.7673076923077125.25443786982248113429.3378205128205125.2544378698224812All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2017 Matt 4-8 13th 84.82 0.353 15.52 5-8 11th
1 976 2008 Katie 4-8 11th 81.86 0.357 17.51 5-8 10th
2 965 2022 Pat 6-6 10th 88.96 0.361 15.85 8-6 6th 6th place
3 965 2017 Allen 4-8 12th 85.88 0.365 12.97 5-8 12th
4 964 2016 Derrek 2-10 14th 88.77 0.343 15.58 3-10 14th
5 963 2023 Richie 3-9 13th 89.84 0.347 12.62 4-10 13th
6 961 2022 Babel 3-9 14th 86.80 0.338 16.02 3-11 14th
7 959 2010 Pat 3-9 12th 84.74 0.367 21.61 3-10 12th
8 956 2019 Rob 4-8 14th 89.44 0.340 15.94 5-8 13th
9 954 2015 Derrek 6-6 7th 83.34 0.335 18.13 7-6 7th
10 954 2014 Allen 5-7 13th 86.15 0.332 15.77 6-7 10th