2017 Matt (through 12 weeks)

4-8 (0.333), 1,017.78 points (84.82 average)

13th place

4.27 expected wins (0.356)

54-102 all-play record (0.346)

+0.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 77.11 95.74 Kevin -18.63
2 L 78.20 93.62 Rob -15.42
3 L 73.28 118.90 Richie -45.62
4 W 118.61 86.95 Pulley 31.66
5 W 94.49 68.41 Allen 26.08
6 W 92.25 89.55 Babel 2.70
7 L 65.24 85.16 Ed -19.92 Slapped Heartbeat
8 L 83.86 104.24 Derrek -20.38
9 L 66.68 92.41 Rabbit -25.73
10 W 106.80 65.23 Schertz 41.57
11 L 72.46 119.39 Dave -46.93
12 L 88.80 122.00 Pat -33.20
13 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.23076923076923326.7%188.7100591715976372.040.0%228.35502958579883141.2307692307692350.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.2%30.130177514792905140.819325870763702.0%69.77514792899409136.1668581215117818.7%109.42011834319527118.59039632170546219.9%149.0650887573964489.7172534177551930.0%188.710059171597632.7692307692307736422.9%228.3550295857988381.88188267276608513.0%268.0107.430776838745665.0%307.64497041420117128.2091085022145571.3%347.28994082840245137.8371877261788580.2%386.93491124260356140.6440675068350390.0%426.5798816568048141.16663256583735100.0%466.2248520710059141.22677621308844110.0%505.8698224852071141.2306618724378812Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek11th11.746153846153845230.698224852071112th65.13776223776223253.18343195266272214th118.52937062937062298.1538461538461339th171.92097902097902185.727810650887649th225.3125874125874185.727810650887659th278.7041958041958185.7278106508876611th332.09580419580413230.698224852071712th385.4874125874125253.18343195266272813th438.87902097902094275.6686390532544913th492.27062937062936275.66863905325441013th545.6622377622377275.66863905325441113th599.053846153846275.66863905325441212th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th65.13776223776223275.6686390532544214th118.52937062937062298.15384615384613312th171.92097902097902253.1834319526627248th225.3125874125874163.2426035502958558th278.7041958041958163.24260355029585610th332.09580419580413208.2130177514793711th385.4874125874125230.698224852071812th438.87902097902094253.18343195266272911th492.27062937062936230.6982248520711012th545.6622377622377253.183431952662721113th599.053846153846275.66863905325441211th11.746153846153845230.698224852071112th65.13776223776223253.18343195266272213th118.52937062937062275.668639053254439th171.92097902097902185.727810650887648th225.3125874125874163.2426035502958558th278.7041958041958163.24260355029585611th332.09580419580413230.698224852071712th385.4874125874125253.18343195266272812th438.87902097902094253.18343195266272913th492.27062937062936275.66863905325441012th545.6622377622377253.183431952662721113th599.053846153846275.668639053254412Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.05 5 Jordy Nelson WR
2.10 24 Marshawn Lynch RB
3.05 33 Allen Robinson II WR
4.10 52 Cam Newton QB
5.05 61 Tyler Eifert TE
6.10 80 Doug Martin RB
7.05 89 Michael Thomas K WR
8.10 108 Tevin Coleman K RB
9.05 117 Kenny Britt WR
10.10 136 Andy Dalton QB
11.05 145 Taylor Gabriel WR
12.10 164 Baltimore DEF
13.05 173 Evan Engram TE
14.10 192 Breshad Perriman WR
15.05 201 Devontae Booker RB
16.10 220 Adam Vinatieri K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.00025.994871794871795141.2307692307692310.00061.12307692307692141.2307692307692320.00096.25128205128203141.2307692307692330.853131.3794871794871782.2053610113676340.480166.5076923076923108.024142576641450.440201.63589743589745110.73888014870260.000236.76410256410256141.2307692307692370.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692380.000307.0205128205128141.2307692307692390.702342.1487179487179492.66270675564385100.000377.2769230769231141.23076923076923110.000412.4051282051282141.23076923076923120.23325.994871794871795125.0909713808184410.24861.12307692307692124.052107989755820.18996.25128205128203128.1353769201002430.000131.3794871794871723.1799527919660340.000166.507692307692374.8175159225135550.000201.6358974358974580.2469910666347660.107236.76410256410256133.7990180243845770.313271.89230769230767119.5357312559740480.123307.0205128205128132.721457716176390.000342.1487179487179444.09464428051848100.183377.2769230769231128.56972500934347110.396412.4051282051282113.7914715743030512Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112027.062179487179485141.230769230769231063.6326923076923141.2307692307692320100.20320512820511141.23076923076923312136.7737179487179477.3254437869822548173.344230769230798.6272189349112455209.91474358974358114.6035502958579960246.4852564102564141.2307692307692370283.0557692307692141.2307692307692380319.62628205128203141.2307692307692399356.1967948717948593.30177514792899100392.7673076923077141.23076923076923110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312327.062179487179485125.254437869822481363.6326923076923125.2544378698224824100.20320512820511119.9289940828402330136.7737179487179413.4201183431952740173.344230769230756.0236686390532450209.9147435897435887.9763313609467460246.4852564102564141.2307692307692373283.0557692307692125.2544378698224881319.62628205128203135.9053254437869890356.1967948717948545.372781065088745103392.7673076923077125.25443786982248113429.3378205128205125.2544378698224812All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2017 Matt 4-8 13th 84.82 0.356 15.52 5-8 11th
1 976 2022 Pat 6-6 10th 88.96 0.359 15.85 8-6 6th 6th place
2 969 2008 Matt 2-10 12th 83.04 0.363 20.13 3-10 12th
3 968 2010 Pat 3-9 12th 84.74 0.365 21.61 3-10 12th
4 964 2017 Allen 4-8 12th 85.88 0.369 12.97 5-8 12th
5 964 2008 Katie 4-8 11th 81.86 0.345 17.51 5-8 10th
6 963 2016 Derrek 2-10 14th 88.77 0.345 15.58 3-10 14th
7 962 2009 Pulley 4-8 12th 88.76 0.362 19.83 4-9 12th
8 961 2023 Richie 3-9 13th 89.84 0.349 12.62 4-10 13th
9 953 2022 Babel 3-9 14th 86.80 0.337 16.02 3-11 14th
10 953 2015 Derrek 6-6 7th 83.34 0.338 18.13 7-6 7th