2025 Matt (through 12 weeks)

2-10 (0.167), 1,057.04 points (88.09 average)

14th place

4.27 expected wins (0.356)

54-102 all-play record (0.346)

+21.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 96.51 93.14 Richie 3.37
2 W 112.82 88.30 Derrek 24.52
3 L 89.30 91.75 Babel -2.45
4 L 72.48 112.26 Rob -39.78
5 L 116.91 118.77 Pulley -1.86
6 L 67.25 129.12 Scott -61.87
7 L 69.40 108.99 Dave -39.59
8 L 71.92 92.65 Kevin -20.73 Slapped Heartbeat
9 L 87.07 91.30 Ed -4.23
10 L 92.04 99.76 Richie -7.72
11 L 63.32 126.80 Schertz -63.48
12 L 118.02 137.09 Rabbit -19.07
13 Pat
14 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%41.37278106508876141.2307692307692300.0%95.81065088757397141.2307692307692317.6%150.24852071005915122.6942957037835520.0%204.68639053254438141.2307692307692330.0%259.1242603550296141.2307692307692340.0%313.56213017751486141.2307692307692350.0%368.0141.2307692307692360.0%422.4378698224852141.2307692307692370.0%476.87573964497045141.2307692307692380.0%531.3136094674556141.2307692307692390.0%585.7514792899409141.23076923076923100.0%640.189349112426141.23076923076923110.0%694.6272189349113141.23076923076923120.1%41.37278106508876140.947406214294201.5%95.81065088757397137.5820791293699610.0%150.24852071005915104.1578221767979219.8%204.6863905325443893.29566510906085328.5%259.124260355029672.0424.4%313.5621301775148681.96514998741972512.8%368.0110.0957529657405664.2%422.4378698224852131.0447946038313570.9%476.87573964497045139.156159682906280.1%531.3136094674556140.9711508767121390.0%585.7514792899409141.21157729286506100.0%640.189349112426141.2300088122514110.0%694.6272189349113141.2307569359977312Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek6th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124112nd65.1377622377622328.33136094674557628th118.52937062937062163.24260355029585312th171.92097902097902253.1834319526627249th225.3125874125874185.7278106508876511th278.7041958041958230.698224852071613th332.09580419580413275.6686390532544713th385.4874125874125275.6686390532544812th438.87902097902094253.18343195266272913th492.27062937062936275.66863905325441013th545.6622377622377275.66863905325441112th599.053846153846253.18343195266272126th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124112nd65.1377622377622328.33136094674557627th118.52937062937062140.75739644970415310th171.92097902097902208.2130177514793410th225.3125874125874208.2130177514793512th278.7041958041958253.18343195266272614th332.09580419580413298.15384615384613714th385.4874125874125298.15384615384613814th438.87902097902094298.15384615384613914th492.27062937062936298.153846153846131014th545.6622377622377298.153846153846131114th599.053846153846298.15384615384613126th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124113rd65.1377622377622350.81656804733728429th118.52937062937062185.7278106508876312th171.92097902097902253.18343195266272410th225.3125874125874208.2130177514793512th278.7041958041958253.18343195266272613th332.09580419580413275.6686390532544713th385.4874125874125275.6686390532544813th438.87902097902094275.6686390532544912th492.27062937062936253.183431952662721012th545.6622377622377253.183431952662721111th599.053846153846230.69822485207112Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
1
1
10

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Lamar Jackson QB
2.06 20 Davante Adams WR
3.09 37 George Kittle K TE
4.06 48 Calvin Ridley WR
5.09 65 Matthew Golden WR
6.06 76 Jaylen Warren RB
7.09 93 Zach Charbonnet RB
8.06 104 Christian Kirk WR
9.09 121 Bucky Irving K RB
10.06 132 J.J. McCarthy QB
11.09 149 Wan'Dale Robinson WR
12.06 160 Najee Harris RB
13.09 177 Kyle Williams WR
14.06 188 Green Bay DEF
15.09 205 Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB
16.03 213 Jake Elliott K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.47737.853846153846156108.1887476857591710.72289.0076923076923191.2495065893794220.000140.16153846153844141.2307692307692330.000191.3153846153846141.2307692307692340.000242.46923076923073141.2307692307692350.000293.62307692307695141.2307692307692360.000344.7769230769231141.2307692307692370.000395.9307692307692141.2307692307692380.000447.0846153846154141.2307692307692390.000498.23846153846154141.23076923076923100.000549.3923076923077141.23076923076923110.000600.5461538461539141.23076923076923120.00037.85384615384615675.1467261407491110.00089.0076923076923141.268243947989620.334140.16153846153844118.1285102712375630.134191.3153846153846131.942038724566140.777242.4692307692307387.4307076315334750.077293.62307692307695135.9171745071090560.100344.7769230769231134.3315691112953270.125395.9307692307692132.598551499016280.293447.0846153846154120.945948353035690.388498.23846153846154114.36184218122443100.049549.3923076923077137.81948573989698110.791600.546153846153986.4601490491737612Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112838.9211538461538498.6272189349112411191.517307692307782.650887573964520144.1134615384615141.2307692307692330196.7096153846154141.2307692307692340249.30576923076924141.2307692307692350301.901923076923141.2307692307692360354.4980769230769141.2307692307692370407.09423076923076141.2307692307692380459.6903846153845141.2307692307692390512.2865384615385141.23076923076923100564.8826923076923141.23076923076923110617.4788461538461141.2307692307692312038.9211538461538456.023668639053241091.517307692307724.07100591715975223144.1134615384615125.2544378698224832196.7096153846154130.5798816568047347249.30576923076924103.9526627218934953301.901923076923125.2544378698224864354.4980769230769119.9289940828402370407.09423076923076141.2307692307692382459.6903846153845130.5798816568047393512.2865384615385125.25443786982248101564.8826923076923135.905325443786981110617.478846153846187.9763313609467412All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % StDev Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2025 Matt 2-10 14th 88.09 0.356 18.99 4-10 11th
1 983 2022 Pat 6-6 10th 88.96 0.359 15.85 8-6 6th 6th place
2 982 2009 Pulley 4-8 12th 88.76 0.362 19.83 4-9 12th
3 980 2017 Matt 4-8 13th 84.82 0.356 15.52 5-8 11th
4 970 2016 Derrek 2-10 14th 88.77 0.345 15.58 3-10 14th
5 968 2023 Richie 3-9 13th 89.84 0.350 12.62 4-10 13th
6 967 2019 Richie 4-8 13th 90.95 0.365 19.87 5-8 12th
7 962 2008 Matt 2-10 12th 83.04 0.363 20.13 3-10 12th
8 962 2010 Pat 3-9 12th 84.74 0.365 21.61 3-10 12th
9 961 2016 Pat 7-5 5th 89.61 0.370 16.58 7-6 7th
10 958 2014 Derrek 5-7 12th 87.76 0.370 24.99 5-8 12th