2008 Matt (through 4 weeks)

1-3 (0.250), 371.74 points (92.94 average)

11th place

1.94 expected wins (0.484)

23-21 all-play record (0.523)

+8.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 84.10 106.97 Ed -22.87
2 L 80.30 107.26 Derrek -26.96
3 L 82.07 91.49 Dave -9.42
4 W 125.27 69.67 Katie 55.60 Team Blangums
5 Pulley
6 Rob
7 Mike R.
8 Rabbit
9 Kevin
10 Babel
11 Allen
12 Ed
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%012340.0%61.846153846153854141.23076923076923032.2%164.9230769230769390.8368986708348410.0%268.00000000000006141.2307692307692320.0%371.0769230769231141.2307692307692330.0%474.1538461538462141.2307692307692340.3%61.846153846153854140.724376033447700.0%164.9230769230769340.44302811090044144.2%268.0000000000000671.99999999999999220.2%371.0769230769231109.5596965958516833.1%474.1538461538462136.428413613685684Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234Rank by WeekWeek6th11.746153846153845138.71328671328675111th207.5153846153846271.5804195804196212th403.28461538461534298.1538461538461337th599.053846153846165.286713286713349th11.746153846153845218.43356643356645111th207.5153846153846271.5804195804196212th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613311th599.053846153846271.580419580419646th11.746153846153845138.71328671328675110th207.5153846153846245.006993006993211th403.28461538461534271.580419580419636th599.053846153846138.713286713286754Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Tom Brady QB
2.07 19 Larry Johnson RB
3.06 30 Chad Ochocinco WR
4.07 43 Reggie Bush RB
5.06 54 Roy Williams WR
6.07 67 Jerricho Cotchery WR
7.06 78 Kevin Smith RB
8.07 91 Nate Burleson WR
9.06 102 Owen Daniels TE
10.07 115 Ricky Williams RB
11.06 126 Nick Folk K
12.07 139 Aaron Rodgers QB
13.06 150 Dallas DEF
14.07 163 Kevin Walter WR
15.06 174 Buffalo DEF
16.07 187 Robert Meachem WR
Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012340.00061.12307692307692141.2307692307692310.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692320.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692330.990377.27692307692372.6983936566847140.34761.12307692307692117.1817836053574710.284166.5076923076923121.5803568061698620.314271.89230769230767119.4796005401691430.000377.2769230769234.1660180826002034Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234063.6326923076923141.2307692307692310173.34423076923076141.2307692307692320283.0557692307692141.23076923076923311392.7673076923076772.04663.6326923076923103.4685314685314712173.34423076923076128.6433566433566424283.0557692307692116.0559440559440530392.767307692307672.76923076923077364All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2008 Matt 1-3 11th 92.94 0.484 18.72 3-10 12th
1 980 2015 Schertz 3-1 4th 95.26 0.489 18.38 9-4 2nd 2nd place
2 965 2008 Dave 2-2 7th 91.96 0.488 7.39 5-8 11th
3 962 2022 Derrek 2-2 7th 99.00 0.481 22.66 8-6 4th 4th place
4 957 2014 Matt 1-3 11th 98.67 0.491 21.07 7-6 6th 4th place
5 955 2014 Pat 2-2 8th 98.01 0.481 8.65 5-8 11th
6 951 2021 Pat 1-3 10th 98.53 0.472 20.13 3-11 12th
7 937 2015 Ed 2-2 7th 95.72 0.465 26.00 4-9 12th
8 936 2016 Ed 2-2 9th 101.14 0.497 20.69 6-7 9th
9 936 2012 Kevin 2-2 6th 97.58 0.503 15.41 5-8 10th
10 933 2023 Richie 0-4 11th 97.55 0.469 9.19 4-10 13th