2008 Matt (through 4 weeks)

1-3 (0.250), 371.74 points

11th place

1.96 expected wins (0.490)

23-21 all-play record (0.523)

+7.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 84.10 106.97 Ed -22.87
2 L 80.30 107.26 Derrek -26.96
3 L 82.07 91.49 Dave -9.42
4 W 125.27 69.67 Katie 55.60 Team Blangums
5 Pulley
6 Rob
7 Mike R.
8 Rabbit
9 Kevin
10 Babel
11 Allen
12 Ed
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%012340.0%61.846153846153854141.23076923076923030.4%164.9230769230769393.2042823892000510.0%268.00000000000006141.2307692307692320.0%371.0769230769231141.2307692307692330.0%474.1538461538462141.2307692307692340.9%61.846153846153854139.8804114679933300.0%164.9230769230769345.17779554763085143.9%268.0000000000000672.0221.4%371.0769230769231107.5307873699272133.5%474.1538461538462135.76772796624384Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234Rank by WeekWeek6th11.746153846153845138.71328671328675111th207.5153846153846271.5804195804196212th403.28461538461534298.1538461538461336th599.053846153846138.7132867132867549th11.746153846153845218.43356643356645111th207.5153846153846271.5804195804196212th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613311th599.053846153846271.580419580419646th11.746153846153845138.71328671328675110th207.5153846153846245.006993006993211th403.28461538461534271.580419580419636th599.053846153846138.713286713286754Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Tom Brady QB
2.07 19 Larry Johnson RB
3.06 30 Chad Ochocinco WR
4.07 43 Reggie Bush RB
5.06 54 Roy Williams WR
6.07 67 Jerricho Cotchery WR
7.06 78 Kevin Smith RB
8.07 91 Nate Burleson WR
9.06 102 Owen Daniels TE
10.07 115 Ricky Williams RB
11.06 126 Nick Folk K
12.07 139 Aaron Rodgers QB
13.06 150 Dallas DEF
14.07 163 Kevin Walter WR
15.06 174 Buffalo DEF
16.07 187 Robert Meachem WR
Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012340.00061.12307692307692141.2307692307692310.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692320.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692330.971377.27692307692373.973347770089440.35961.12307692307692116.3504880296984710.301166.5076923076923120.362054270417720.329271.89230769230767118.4528669377241230.000377.2769230769236.7159263094095824Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234063.6326923076923141.2307692307692310173.34423076923076141.2307692307692320283.0557692307692141.23076923076923311392.7673076923076772.04663.6326923076923103.4685314685314712173.34423076923076128.6433566433566424283.0557692307692116.0559440559440530392.767307692307672.76923076923077364All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2008 Matt 1-3 11th 92.94 0.490 18.72 3-10 12th
1 984 2015 Schertz 3-1 4th 95.26 0.493 18.38 9-4 2nd 2nd place
2 961 2008 Dave 2-2 7th 91.96 0.484 7.39 5-8 11th
3 953 2015 Richie 1-3 11th 95.84 0.500 10.47 7-6 6th 4th place
4 953 2014 Matt 1-3 11th 98.67 0.481 21.07 7-6 6th 4th place
5 951 2012 Kevin 2-2 6th 97.58 0.502 15.41 5-8 10th
6 946 2022 Derrek 2-2 7th 99.00 0.479 22.66 8-6 4th 4th place
7 945 2017 Rob 3-1 3rd 93.02 0.512 13.36 8-5 4th 5th place
8 940 2024 Babel 3-1 4th 98.24 0.509 19.79 9-5 4th
9 940 2021 Pat 1-3 10th 98.53 0.473 20.13 3-11 12th
10 936 2018 Rabbit 2-2 8th 107.29 0.490 22.02 7-6 7th