2021 Pat (through 4 weeks)

1-3 (0.250), 394.11 points

10th place

1.89 expected wins (0.473)

24-28 all-play record (0.462)

+35.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 111.39 108.98 Mike R. 2.41
2 L 70.04 103.20 Dave -33.16 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 90.18 107.27 Rabbit -17.09
4 L 122.50 133.41 Mike R. -10.91
5 Pulley
6 Ed
7 Babel
8 Rob
9 Matt
10 Derrek
11 Kevin
12 Scott
13 Richie
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%012340.0%61.846153846153854141.23076923076923026.2%164.92307692307693104.1971473978047410.0%268.00000000000006141.2307692307692320.0%371.0769230769231141.2307692307692330.0%474.1538461538462141.2307692307692343.6%61.846153846153854136.1822031154265500.0%164.9230769230769367.16352556484027148.9%268.0000000000000671.99999999999999220.2%371.0769230769231112.7195821313307831.2%474.1538461538462139.59458807959474Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234Rank by WeekWeek4th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th207.5153846153846208.2130177514793211th403.28461538461534230.69822485207138th599.053846153846163.2426035502958544th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289918th207.5153846153846163.24260355029585210th403.28461538461534208.2130177514793310th599.053846153846208.213017751479344th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th207.5153846153846208.2130177514793211th403.28461538461534230.69822485207138th599.053846153846163.242603550295854Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Tyreek Hill WR
2.09 23 Chris Carson RB
3.06 34 Miles Sanders RB
4.09 51 Kenny Golladay WR
5.06 62 Myles Gaskin RB
6.09 79 Michael Thomas WR
7.06 90 Dallas Goedert TE
8.09 107 Darrell Henderson, Jr. K RB
9.06 118 Justin Herbert K QB
10.09 135 Mike Gesicki TE
11.06 146 Washington DEF
12.09 163 Gabe Davis WR
13.06 174 Ryan Succop K
14.09 191 Jameis Winston QB
15.06 202 Dyami Brown WR
16.09 219 Mac Jones QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012340.68361.1230769230769293.949769288492210.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692320.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692330.000377.276923076923141.2307692307692340.00061.1230769230769246.6687693462151710.064166.5076923076923136.8042063812746720.322271.89230769230767118.939667768213430.823377.27692307692384.278826311574184Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312341063.632692307692387.9763313609467410173.34423076923076141.2307692307692320283.0557692307692141.2307692307692330392.76730769230767141.230769230769234063.632692307692334.7218934911242510173.34423076923076141.2307692307692324283.0557692307692119.92899408284023310392.7673076923076787.976331360946744All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Pat 1-3 10th 98.53 0.473 20.13 3-11 12th
1 982 2014 Matt 1-3 11th 98.67 0.481 21.07 7-6 6th 4th place
2 980 2022 Derrek 2-2 7th 99.00 0.479 22.66 8-6 4th 4th place
3 964 2014 Pat 2-2 8th 98.01 0.478 8.65 5-8 11th
4 963 2023 Richie 0-4 11th 97.55 0.467 9.19 4-10 13th
5 963 2020 Derrek 2-2 8th 103.30 0.466 18.13 8-5 5th 5th place
6 958 2019 Rabbit 2-2 8th 97.32 0.456 18.27 6-7 7th
7 957 2015 Ed 2-2 7th 95.72 0.463 26.00 4-9 12th
8 953 2012 Dave 2-2 7th 96.07 0.455 19.33 6-7 7th
9 952 2018 Scott 2-2 9th 105.81 0.465 21.66 6-7 8th
10 949 2019 Scott 1-3 12th 96.00 0.455 22.37 4-9 14th