2021 Pat (through 4 weeks)

1-3 (0.250), 394.11 points (98.53 average)

10th place

1.89 expected wins (0.472)

24-28 all-play record (0.462)

+34.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 111.39 108.98 Mike R. 2.41
2 L 70.04 103.20 Dave -33.16 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 90.18 107.27 Rabbit -17.09
4 L 122.50 133.41 Mike R. -10.91
5 Pulley
6 Ed
7 Babel
8 Rob
9 Matt
10 Derrek
11 Kevin
12 Scott
13 Richie
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%012340.0%61.846153846153854141.23076923076923026.3%164.92307692307693103.9426239729833110.0%268.00000000000006141.2307692307692320.0%371.0769230769231141.2307692307692330.0%474.1538461538462141.2307692307692343.6%61.846153846153854136.1052095360689700.0%164.9230769230769366.65447871519738148.9%268.0000000000000672.0220.0%371.0769230769231112.8497439066627231.1%474.1538461538462139.626359481717834Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234Rank by WeekWeek4th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th207.5153846153846208.2130177514793211th403.28461538461534230.69822485207138th599.053846153846163.2426035502958544th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289918th207.5153846153846163.24260355029585210th403.28461538461534208.2130177514793310th599.053846153846208.213017751479344th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th207.5153846153846208.2130177514793211th403.28461538461534230.69822485207138th599.053846153846163.242603550295854Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Tyreek Hill WR
2.09 23 Chris Carson RB
3.06 34 Miles Sanders RB
4.09 51 Kenny Golladay WR
5.06 62 Myles Gaskin RB
6.09 79 Michael Thomas WR
7.06 90 Dallas Goedert TE
8.09 107 Darrell Henderson, Jr. K RB
9.06 118 Justin Herbert K QB
10.09 135 Mike Gesicki TE
11.06 146 Washington DEF
12.09 163 Gabe Davis WR
13.06 174 Ryan Succop K
14.09 191 Jameis Winston QB
15.06 202 Dyami Brown WR
16.09 219 Mac Jones QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012340.68161.1230769230769294.0514754768299410.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692320.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692330.000377.276923076923141.2307692307692340.00061.1230769230769246.87218172289064510.063166.5076923076923136.8756676492682220.322271.89230769230767118.9545485429279130.821377.27692307692384.376156266018974Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312341063.632692307692387.9763313609467410173.34423076923076141.2307692307692320283.0557692307692141.2307692307692330392.76730769230767141.230769230769234063.632692307692334.7218934911242510173.34423076923076141.2307692307692324283.0557692307692119.92899408284023310392.7673076923076787.976331360946744All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Pat 1-3 10th 98.53 0.472 20.13 3-11 12th
1 975 2022 Derrek 2-2 7th 99.00 0.481 22.66 8-6 4th 4th place
2 969 2023 Richie 0-4 11th 97.55 0.469 9.19 4-10 13th
3 964 2015 Ed 2-2 7th 95.72 0.465 26.00 4-9 12th
4 961 2020 Derrek 2-2 8th 103.30 0.464 18.13 8-5 5th 5th place
5 960 2023 Pat 2-2 8th 95.71 0.464 27.22 5-9 11th
6 959 2018 Scott 2-2 9th 105.81 0.467 21.66 6-7 8th
7 958 2014 Matt 1-3 11th 98.67 0.491 21.07 7-6 6th 4th place
8 956 2019 Rabbit 2-2 8th 97.32 0.454 18.27 6-7 7th
9 956 2012 Dave 2-2 7th 96.07 0.456 19.33 6-7 7th
10 956 2014 Pat 2-2 8th 98.01 0.481 8.65 5-8 11th