2008 Matt (through 5 weeks)

1-4 (0.200), 459.02 points

11th place

2.36 expected wins (0.472)

28-27 all-play record (0.509)

+17.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 84.10 106.97 Ed -22.87
2 L 80.30 107.26 Derrek -26.96
3 L 82.07 91.49 Dave -9.42
4 W 125.27 69.67 Katie 55.60 Team Blangums
5 L 87.28 110.69 Pulley -23.41
6 Rob
7 Mike R.
8 Rabbit
9 Kevin
10 Babel
11 Allen
12 Ed
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123450.0%53.25641025641026141.23076923076923018.7%139.15384615384616107.7080236951410810.0%225.05128205128204141.2307692307692320.0%310.94871794871796141.2307692307692330.0%396.84615384615387141.2307692307692340.0%482.7435897435898141.2307692307692350.6%53.25641025641026140.234496976547700.0%139.1538461538461674.18527815951293138.5%225.0512820512820472.0230.3%310.9487179487179686.725008648559310.6%396.84615384615387122.2177861087809341.4%482.7435897435898138.760571286648145Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345Rank by WeekWeek6th11.746153846153845138.71328671328675111th158.5730769230769271.5804195804196212th305.4298.1538461538461336th452.226923076923138.7132867132867547th599.053846153846165.286713286713359th11.746153846153845218.43356643356645111th158.5730769230769271.5804195804196212th305.4298.15384615384613311th452.226923076923271.5804195804196411th599.053846153846271.580419580419656th11.746153846153845138.71328671328675110th158.5730769230769245.006993006993211th305.4271.580419580419636th452.226923076923138.7132867132867547th599.053846153846165.28671328671335Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Tom Brady QB
2.07 19 Larry Johnson RB
3.06 30 Chad Ochocinco WR
4.07 43 Reggie Bush RB
5.06 54 Roy Williams WR
6.07 67 Jerricho Cotchery WR
7.06 78 Kevin Smith RB
8.07 91 Nate Burleson WR
9.06 102 Owen Daniels TE
10.07 115 Ricky Williams RB
11.06 126 Nick Folk K
12.07 139 Aaron Rodgers QB
13.06 150 Dallas DEF
14.07 163 Kevin Walter WR
15.06 174 Buffalo DEF
16.07 187 Robert Meachem WR
Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123450.00050.58461538461538141.2307692307692310.000134.8923076923077141.2307692307692320.000219.2141.2307692307692330.969303.5076923076922574.1304106267993340.000387.8153846153846141.2307692307692350.35750.58461538461538116.5075508864084110.299134.8923076923077120.5191171271276320.327219.2118.6099297944340730.000303.507692307692257.03005202282943740.406387.8153846153846113.109652002626395Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345052.661538461538456141.2307692307692310140.43076923076922141.2307692307692320228.20000000000002141.23076923076923311315.969230769230772.040403.7384615384615141.230769230769235652.661538461538456103.4685314685314712140.43076923076922128.6433566433566424228.20000000000002116.0559440559440530315.96923076923072.769230769230773645403.7384615384615109.762237762237765All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2008 Matt 1-4 11th 91.80 0.472 16.89 3-10 12th
1 983 2017 Ed 1-4 12th 90.15 0.474 14.18 4-9 13th
2 980 2008 Rob 2-3 8th 90.42 0.467 14.71 9-4 2nd 2nd place
3 967 2024 Pat 3-2 7th 98.23 0.474 17.87 6-8 10th
4 962 2008 Dave 3-2 6th 90.87 0.464 6.96 5-8 11th
5 959 2015 Schertz 3-2 5th 93.20 0.454 16.95 9-4 2nd 2nd place
6 959 2009 Allen 2-3 10th 94.47 0.485 15.04 6-7 7th
7 956 2022 Rabbit 3-2 7th 96.24 0.469 27.08 8-6 5th 5th place
8 955 2023 Pat 2-3 9th 98.04 0.474 24.79 5-9 11th
9 953 2009 Pat 2-3 11th 93.31 0.454 14.72 6-7 8th
10 952 2021 Pat 1-4 10th 100.30 0.466 18.35 3-11 12th