2025 Matt (through 5 weeks)

2-3 (0.400), 488.02 points (97.60 average)

10th place

2.30 expected wins (0.460)

31-34 all-play record (0.477)

-1.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 96.51 93.14 Richie 3.37
2 W 112.82 88.30 Derrek 24.52
3 L 89.30 91.75 Babel -2.45
4 L 72.48 112.26 Rob -39.78
5 L 116.91 118.77 Pulley -1.86
6 Scott
7 Dave
8 Kevin
9 Ed
10 Richie
11 Schertz
12 Rabbit
13 Pat
14 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123450.0%73.12820512820512141.2307692307692300.0%191.07692307692304141.23076923076923138.1%309.0256410256410571.9999999999999920.0%426.974358974359141.2307692307692330.0%544.9230769230769141.2307692307692340.0%662.8717948717949141.2307692307692352.6%73.12820512820512136.43557550869178017.5%191.07692307692304109.5138777476105110.0%309.025641025641052.769230769230745231.5%426.97435897435984.039426978602539.5%544.9230769230769123.8987163719181140.7%662.8717948717949139.883120501782665Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345Rank by WeekWeek6th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124112nd158.573076923076928.33136094674557628th305.4163.24260355029585312th452.226923076923253.1834319526627249th599.053846153846185.727810650887656th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124112nd158.573076923076928.33136094674557627th305.4140.75739644970415310th452.226923076923208.2130177514793410th599.053846153846208.213017751479356th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124113rd158.573076923076950.81656804733728429th305.4185.7278106508876312th452.226923076923253.18343195266272410th599.053846153846208.21301775147935Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
1
1

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Lamar Jackson QB
2.06 20 Davante Adams WR
3.09 37 George Kittle K TE
4.06 48 Calvin Ridley WR
5.09 65 Matthew Golden WR
6.06 76 Jaylen Warren RB
7.09 93 Zach Charbonnet RB
8.06 104 Christian Kirk WR
9.09 121 Bucky Irving K RB
10.06 132 J.J. McCarthy QB
11.09 149 Wan'Dale Robinson WR
12.06 160 Najee Harris RB
13.09 177 Kyle Williams WR
14.06 188 Green Bay DEF
15.09 205 Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB
16.03 213 Jake Elliott K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123450.44973.66153846153847110.1361029825024510.694196.4307692307692493.1851416518582520.000319.20000000000005141.2307692307692330.000441.96923076923076141.2307692307692340.000564.7384615384616141.2307692307692350.00073.6615384615384779.0414367342356610.000196.4307692307692445.13951407294726420.304319.20000000000005120.1529359075803630.104441.96923076923076133.9989620630756240.749564.738461538461689.409166863690735Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345875.7384615384615298.62721893491124111201.9692307692307682.650887573964520328.2141.2307692307692330454.43076923076916141.2307692307692340580.6615384615385141.230769230769235075.7384615384615256.0236686390532410201.9692307692307624.07100591715975223328.2125.2544378698224832454.43076923076916130.5798816568047347580.6615384615385103.952662721893495All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % StDev Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2025 Matt 2-3 10th 97.60 0.460 16.16 4-10 11th
1 989 2025 Schertz 3-2 6th 98.55 0.461 13.26 8-6 5th 2nd place
2 979 2025 Ed 1-4 14th 98.55 0.457 10.65 6-8 9th
3 979 2013 Richie 4-1 2nd 98.23 0.454 19.35 6-7 10th
4 976 2021 Pat 1-4 10th 100.30 0.464 18.35 3-11 12th
5 975 2016 Allen 3-2 8th 99.63 0.459 23.40 4-9 13th
6 975 2023 Ed 3-2 7th 97.13 0.449 15.74 11-3 1st 2nd place
7 975 2024 Pat 3-2 7th 98.23 0.470 17.87 6-8 10th
8 973 2011 Matt 2-3 9th 100.26 0.453 15.73 7-6 6th 2nd place
9 973 2023 Richie 0-5 13th 98.45 0.464 8.41 4-10 13th
10 968 2015 Schertz 3-2 5th 93.20 0.454 16.95 9-4 2nd 2nd place