2021 Pat (through 5 weeks)

1-4 (0.200), 501.51 points

10th place

2.33 expected wins (0.466)

28-37 all-play record (0.431)

+26.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 111.39 108.98 Mike R. 2.41
2 L 70.04 103.20 Dave -33.16 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 90.18 107.27 Rabbit -17.09
4 L 122.50 133.41 Mike R. -10.91
5 L 107.40 108.34 Pulley -0.94
6 Ed
7 Babel
8 Rob
9 Matt
10 Derrek
11 Kevin
12 Scott
13 Richie
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123450.0%53.25641025641026141.23076923076923016.0%139.15384615384616112.082951985212310.0%225.05128205128204141.2307692307692320.0%310.94871794871796141.2307692307692330.0%396.84615384615387141.2307692307692340.0%482.7435897435898141.2307692307692352.2%53.25641025641026137.2546741150599700.0%139.1538461538461682.93513473965538138.1%225.0512820512820472.0234.3%310.9487179487179678.7818639587451639.2%396.84615384615387124.556015282397940.2%482.7435897435898140.816467110831925Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345Rank by WeekWeek4th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th158.5730769230769208.2130177514793211th305.4230.69822485207138th452.226923076923163.2426035502958549th599.053846153846185.727810650887654th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289918th158.5730769230769163.24260355029585210th305.4208.2130177514793310th452.226923076923208.2130177514793410th599.053846153846208.213017751479354th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th158.5730769230769208.2130177514793211th305.4230.69822485207138th452.226923076923163.2426035502958549th599.053846153846185.72781065088765Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Tyreek Hill WR
2.09 23 Chris Carson RB
3.06 34 Miles Sanders RB
4.09 51 Kenny Golladay WR
5.06 62 Myles Gaskin RB
6.09 79 Michael Thomas WR
7.06 90 Dallas Goedert TE
8.09 107 Darrell Henderson, Jr. K RB
9.06 118 Justin Herbert K QB
10.09 135 Mike Gesicki TE
11.06 146 Washington DEF
12.09 163 Gabe Davis WR
13.06 174 Ryan Succop K
14.09 191 Jameis Winston QB
15.06 202 Dyami Brown WR
16.09 219 Mac Jones QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123450.64650.5846153846153896.5158485637802810.000134.8923076923077141.2307692307692320.000219.2141.2307692307692330.000303.50769230769225141.2307692307692340.000387.8153846153846141.2307692307692350.00050.5846153846153851.8009278967913210.027134.8923076923077139.3702856565627420.285219.2121.5057470435014730.786303.5076923076922586.8449055868622440.586387.8153846153846100.641056907636035Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123451052.66153846153845687.9763313609467410140.43076923076922141.2307692307692320228.20000000000002141.2307692307692330315.9692307692307141.2307692307692340403.7384615384615141.230769230769235052.66153846153845634.7218934911242510140.43076923076922141.2307692307692324228.20000000000002119.92899408284023310315.969230769230787.9763313609467444403.7384615384615119.928994082840235All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Pat 1-4 10th 100.30 0.466 18.35 3-11 12th
1 974 2024 Pat 3-2 7th 98.23 0.474 17.87 6-8 10th
2 970 2011 Matt 2-3 9th 100.26 0.453 15.73 7-6 6th 2nd place
3 967 2023 Richie 0-5 13th 98.45 0.463 8.41 4-10 13th
4 963 2023 Pat 2-3 9th 98.04 0.474 24.79 5-9 11th
5 961 2018 Babel 2-3 11th 100.68 0.448 18.74 4-9 12th
6 960 2018 Richie 2-3 10th 102.87 0.455 21.98 5-8 11th
7 960 2022 Rabbit 3-2 7th 96.24 0.469 27.08 8-6 5th 5th place
8 957 2016 Allen 3-2 8th 99.63 0.451 23.40 4-9 13th
9 955 2018 Scott 2-3 8th 105.08 0.478 19.43 6-7 8th
10 952 2008 Rob 2-3 8th 90.42 0.467 14.71 9-4 2nd 2nd place