2024 Pat (through 5 weeks)

3-2 (0.600), 491.15 points (98.23 average)

7th place

2.35 expected wins (0.470)

31-34 all-play record (0.477)

-4.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 90.24 75.23 Derrek 15.01
2 W 82.85 72.58 Kevin 10.27
3 L 128.26 134.07 Ed -5.81
4 W 108.54 87.50 Pulley 21.04
5 L 81.26 126.18 Mike R. -44.92
6 Babel
7 Rabbit
8 Derrek
9 Matt
10 Dave
11 Rob
12 Richie
13 Scott
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%0123450.0%73.12820512820512141.2307692307692300.0%191.07692307692304141.2307692307692310.0%309.02564102564105141.23076923076923231.7%426.97435897435986.4622716018987630.0%544.9230769230769141.2307692307692340.0%662.8717948717949141.2307692307692351.4%73.12820512820512138.73076219967425016.2%191.07692307692304113.27685206554334140.0%309.0256410256410572.020.0%426.97435897435931.693773973028339.7%544.9230769230769124.4701384658623341.0%662.8717948717949139.482573741980335Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415111th158.5730769230769230.69822485207128th305.4163.2426035502958536th452.226923076923118.2721893491124149th599.053846153846185.727810650887655th11.74615384615384595.786982248520714th158.573076923076973.3017751479289925th305.495.786982248520733rd452.22692307692350.81656804733728447th599.053846153846140.7573964497041557th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415111th158.5730769230769230.69822485207127th305.4140.7573964497041534th452.22692307692373.3017751479289948th599.053846153846163.242603550295855Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Derrick Henry RB
2.12 26 Kenneth Walker III RB
3.03 31 Malik Nabers WR
4.12 54 Aaron Jones RB
5.03 59 Chris Olave K WR
6.12 82 Courtland Sutton WR
7.03 87 Caleb Williams QB
8.12 110 Dalton Kincaid K TE
9.03 115 Jakobi Meyers WR
10.12 138 Tua Tagovailoa QB
11.03 143 Cole Kmet TE
12.12 166 Ray Davis RB
13.03 171 Braelon Allen RB
14.12 194 Jermaine Burton WR
15.03 199 Jake Elliott K
16.12 222 Houston DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123450.35773.66153846153847116.5008879796401410.230196.43076923076924125.291888271635220.000319.20000000000005141.2307692307692330.665441.9692307692307695.1623043446434940.000564.7384615384616141.2307692307692350.00073.6615384615384791.7710067285110510.000196.43076923076924109.3530073125011820.890319.2000000000000579.6280125225774830.000441.9692307692307649.0938394585177540.208564.7384615384616126.86095039244255Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345775.73846153846152103.9526627218934912201.96923076923076130.5798816568047320328.2141.2307692307692339454.4307692307691693.3017751479289940580.6615384615385141.230769230769235075.7384615384615266.6745562130177510201.96923076923076119.92899408284023212328.277.3254437869822530454.4307692307691645.37278106508874541580.6615384615385135.905325443786985All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2024 Pat 3-2 7th 98.23 0.470 17.87 6-8 10th
1 979 2021 Pat 1-4 10th 100.30 0.464 18.35 3-11 12th
2 976 2025 Matt 2-3 10th 97.60 0.461 16.16 4-10 11th
3 974 2025 Schertz 3-2 6th 98.55 0.462 13.26 8-6 5th
4 969 2023 Pat 2-3 9th 98.04 0.478 24.79 5-9 11th
5 969 2023 Richie 0-5 13th 98.45 0.464 8.41 4-10 13th
6 967 2022 Rabbit 3-2 7th 96.24 0.467 27.08 8-6 5th 5th place
7 965 2008 Matt 1-4 11th 91.80 0.466 16.89 3-10 12th
8 965 2013 Richie 4-1 2nd 98.23 0.454 19.35 6-7 10th
9 962 2008 Rob 2-3 8th 90.42 0.470 14.71 9-4 2nd 2nd place
10 961 2016 Allen 3-2 8th 99.63 0.459 23.40 4-9 13th