2016 Matt (through 10 weeks)

4-6 (0.400), 997.18 points

10th place

4.94 expected wins (0.494)

65-65 all-play record (0.500)

+13.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 76.63 119.84 Pulley -43.21
2 W 139.75 75.70 Richie 64.05 Team Blangums
3 L 69.92 135.90 Dave -65.98
4 W 142.08 109.53 Schertz 32.55 Team Blangums
5 W 109.18 71.45 Pat 37.73
6 L 92.83 94.89 Ed -2.06
7 L 129.83 133.02 Babel -3.19
8 L 45.78 86.58 Rabbit -40.80 Slapped Heartbeat
9 W 110.71 99.08 Allen 11.63
10 L 80.47 130.23 Kevin -49.76
11 Rob
12 Derrek
13 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.23076923076923324.7%221.1468531468531593.7236784039842540.0%268.0141.2307692307692350.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.0%33.73426573426574141.2284430094477400.1%80.5874125874126141.1161517314030811.0%127.44055944055944139.234698038971127.7%174.29370629370626126.4180302031176830.0%221.1468531468531546.21658757719928436.0%268.072.0523.1%314.853146853146896.8518430653719566.5%361.7062937062937128.766553161225670.8%408.5594405594406139.724640229396280.0%455.41258741258747141.168466758025290.0%502.2657342657343141.2307692307692310Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek13th11.746153846153845275.668639053254418th77.0025641025641163.24260355029585211th142.2589743589743230.69822485207139th207.5153846153846185.727810650887647th272.77179487179484140.7573964497041557th338.0282051282051140.7573964497041566th403.28461538461534118.2721893491124178th468.5410256410256163.2426035502958588th533.7974358974359163.2426035502958598th599.053846153846163.242603550295851013th11.746153846153845275.668639053254417th77.0025641025641140.75739644970415210th142.2589743589743208.213017751479338th207.5153846153846163.2426035502958547th272.77179487179484140.7573964497041557th338.0282051282051140.7573964497041568th403.28461538461534163.24260355029585711th468.5410256410256230.69822485207189th533.7974358974359185.7278106508876910th599.053846153846208.21301775147931013th11.746153846153845275.668639053254417th77.0025641025641140.75739644970415211th142.2589743589743230.69822485207136th207.5153846153846118.2721893491124147th272.77179487179484140.7573964497041557th338.0282051282051140.7573964497041565th403.2846153846153495.786982248520777th468.5410256410256140.7573964497041588th533.7974358974359163.2426035502958598th599.053846153846163.2426035502958510Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Julio Jones K WR
2.05 19 Mark Ingram II RB
3.10 38 Greg Olsen TE
4.05 47 Cam Newton K QB
5.10 66 Giovani Bernard RB
6.05 75 Torrey Smith WR
7.10 94 Tavon Austin WR
8.05 103 Michael Thomas WR
9.10 122 Derrick Henry RB
10.05 131 C.J. Prosise RB
11.10 150 Robert Woods WR
12.05 159 Marcus Mariota QB
13.10 178 Will Tye TE
14.05 187 Will Fuller V WR
15.10 206 Pittsburgh DEF
16.05 215 Chris Boswell K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.00029.507692307692306139.8634915571666410.94371.6615384615384775.218069483367520.000113.8153846153846139.8634915571666430.950155.9692307692307374.7679898353440840.667198.1230769230769294.155170673953250.000240.27692307692305139.8634915571666460.000282.4307692307692139.8634915571666470.000324.58461538461535139.8634915571666480.691366.7384615384615492.4673719938653490.000408.89230769230767139.86349155716664100.14729.507692307692306129.79022680620810.00071.6615384615384710.57264740956836120.081113.8153846153846134.3360312512446630.000155.969230769230739.67248811352152440.000198.1230769230769248.4468497907397550.385240.27692307692305113.4860915565593960.894282.430769230769278.548658878740877-0.010324.58461538461535140.5471303939679380.000366.7384615384615445.07125243056404490.193408.89230769230767126.6621732524452110Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910030.719230769230762141.2307692307692311374.6038461538461572.020118.48846153846154141.23076923076923313162.373076923076972.048206.257692307692398.6272189349112450250.14230769230767141.2307692307692360294.026923076923141.2307692307692370337.9115384615384141.23076923076923810381.7961538461538687.9763313609467490425.6807692307692141.2307692307692310130.719230769230762135.905325443786981074.603846153846152.769230769230773621118.48846153846154135.9053254437869830162.37307692307692.769230769230773640206.257692307692356.0236686390532456250.14230769230767109.27810650887574612294.02692307692377.3254437869822570337.9115384615384141.2307692307692380381.7961538461538634.7218934911242591425.6807692307692135.9053254437869810All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Matt 4-6 10th 99.72 0.494 30.43 5-8 10th
1 974 2024 Scott 4-6 10th 98.10 0.497 24.23 5-9 12th
2 970 2021 Matt 8-2 4th 103.38 0.492 25.25 11-3 2nd 4th place
3 969 2022 Kevin 5-5 8th 97.49 0.499 24.98 6-8 12th
4 969 2024 Kevin 3-7 12th 99.76 0.492 17.32 5-9 11th
5 968 2015 Schertz 7-3 2nd 100.31 0.503 24.70 9-4 2nd 2nd place
6 967 2014 Mike R. 5-5 7th 98.26 0.489 21.47 6-7 7th
7 966 2011 Kevin 4-6 9th 102.45 0.487 26.40 6-7 8th
8 965 2012 Allen 4-6 7th 98.85 0.487 21.97 6-7 8th
9 964 2011 Babel 5-5 8th 99.44 0.490 17.14 7-6 7th
10 963 2009 Ed 6-4 3rd 102.20 0.505 28.21 7-6 4th 6th place