2021 Matt (through 10 weeks)

8-2 (0.800), 1,033.84 points (103.38 average)

4th place

4.91 expected wins (0.491)

66-64 all-play record (0.508)

-26.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 81.96 102.07 Kevin -20.11
2 W 114.85 106.49 Pulley 8.36
3 W 100.35 80.16 Ed 20.19
4 L 78.00 108.67 Babel -30.67
5 W 172.33 87.89 Rob 84.44 Team Blangums
6 W 90.72 46.10 Scott 44.62
7 W 89.05 52.19 Derrek 36.86
8 W 104.54 102.26 Kevin 2.28
9 W 101.27 91.70 Pat 9.57
10 W 100.77 98.77 Richie 2.00
11 Schertz
12 Dave
13 Rabbit
14 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.2307692307692330.0%221.14685314685315141.2307692307692340.0%268.0141.2307692307692350.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692372.6%408.5594405594406134.7384516365795380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.0%33.73426573426574141.2253950386743200.4%80.5874125874126140.3217635313649813.2%127.44055944055944133.27604844688793211.7%174.29370629370626112.16191555041287323.4%221.1468531468531583.34364923556787427.9%268.072.0520.8%314.853146853146889.758559484875369.6%361.7062937062937117.5252598119861370.0%408.5594405594406128.2461340423898380.4%455.41258741258747140.275853474068290.0%502.2657342657343141.1734511878912310Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek13th11.746153846153845275.668639053254418th77.0025641025641163.2426035502958528th142.2589743589743163.24260355029585311th207.5153846153846230.69822485207148th272.77179487179484163.24260355029585510th338.0282051282051208.2130177514793610th403.28461538461534208.2130177514793710th468.5410256410256208.213017751479389th533.7974358974359185.727810650887699th599.053846153846185.72781065088761013th11.746153846153845275.668639053254417th77.0025641025641140.7573964497041527th142.2589743589743140.7573964497041537th207.5153846153846140.7573964497041547th272.77179487179484140.7573964497041556th338.0282051282051118.2721893491124167th403.28461538461534140.7573964497041576th468.5410256410256118.2721893491124185th533.797435897435995.786982248520794th599.05384615384673.301775147928991013th11.746153846153845275.668639053254418th77.0025641025641163.2426035502958528th142.2589743589743163.24260355029585311th207.5153846153846230.69822485207148th272.77179487179484163.2426035502958558th338.0282051282051163.2426035502958569th403.28461538461534185.727810650887679th468.5410256410256185.727810650887688th533.7974358974359163.2426035502958597th599.053846153846140.7573964497041510Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
2

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.13 13 Dalvin Cook K RB
2.02 16 DeAndre Hopkins WR
3.13 41 Mark Andrews TE
4.02 44 Lamar Jackson K QB
5.13 69 Mike Williams WR
6.02 72 Michael Gallup WR
7.13 97 Michael Pittman, Jr. WR
8.02 100 Leonard Fournette RB
9.13 125 Irv Smith, Jr. TE
10.02 128 Marquez Callaway WR
11.13 153 Matt Ryan QB
12.02 156 Amon-Ra St. Brown WR
13.13 181 James White RB
14.02 184 San Francisco DEF
15.13 209 Jason Myers K
16.02 212 Joshua Palmer WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.00029.507692307692306141.2307692307692310.75171.6615384615384789.2699564968243920.504113.8153846153846106.3633547256630230.000155.96923076923073141.2307692307692340.994198.1230769230769272.4297212197409450.348240.27692307692305117.1426299103102560.328282.4307692307692118.5160531514044570.581324.58461538461535101.0286134560087180.519366.73846153846154105.281701824920290.515408.89230769230767105.60185090310429100.21329.507692307692306126.4706672009117310.00071.6615384615384737.3091437628795620.000113.815384615384671.495940220556830.163155.96923076923073129.9416560128699440.000198.123076923076923.62867320871265550.000240.2769230769230593.0544905898512760.000282.430769230769295.8013370720396770.000324.5846153846153560.82645768124818680.000366.7384615384615469.3326344190711890.000408.8923076923076769.9729325754393410Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910030.719230769230762141.2307692307692311074.6038461538461587.9763313609467426118.48846153846154109.2781065088757430162.3730769230769141.23076923076923413206.257692307692372.052250.14230769230767130.5798816568047364294.026923076923119.9289940828402379337.911538461538493.30177514792899810381.7961538461538687.9763313609467499425.680769230769293.3017751479289910130.719230769230762135.905325443786981074.6038461538461534.7218934911242520118.4884615384615477.3254437869822532162.3730769230769130.5798816568047340206.25769230769232.769230769230773650250.14230769230767119.9289940828402360294.02692307692398.6272189349112470337.911538461538445.37278106508874580381.7961538461538634.7218934911242590425.680769230769245.37278106508874510All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Matt 8-2 4th 103.38 0.491 25.25 11-3 2nd 4th place
1 973 2009 Ed 6-4 3rd 102.20 0.500 28.21 7-6 4th 6th place
2 970 2016 Matt 4-6 10th 99.72 0.494 30.43 5-8 10th
3 969 2014 Mike R. 5-5 7th 98.26 0.490 21.47 6-7 7th
4 967 2011 Babel 5-5 8th 99.44 0.492 17.14 7-6 7th
5 967 2011 Kevin 4-6 9th 102.45 0.478 26.40 6-7 8th
6 966 2012 Allen 4-6 7th 98.85 0.487 21.97 6-7 8th
7 964 2011 Derrek 6-4 5th 99.34 0.483 23.75 8-5 3rd 6th place
8 960 2024 Pat 5-5 7th 100.82 0.481 21.29 6-8 10th
9 959 2024 Scott 4-6 10th 98.10 0.501 24.23 5-9 12th
10 959 2024 Kevin 3-7 12th 99.76 0.486 17.32 5-9 11th