2011 Derrek (through 10 weeks)

6-4 (0.600), 993.35 points

5th place

4.82 expected wins (0.482)

55-55 all-play record (0.500)

+5.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 62.28 120.32 Allen -58.04 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 138.17 104.84 Pat 33.33
3 W 111.02 109.31 Rob 1.71
4 L 96.21 121.00 Babel -24.79
5 W 108.41 92.26 Dave 16.15
6 W 99.76 69.43 Ed 30.33
7 L 59.96 110.89 Matt -50.93
8 L 85.45 106.08 Pulley -20.63
9 W 105.35 94.19 Mike R. 11.16
10 W 126.74 94.25 Kevin 32.49
11 Rabbit
12 Pulley
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.2307692307692330.0%221.14685314685315141.2307692307692340.0%268.0141.23076923076923521.3%314.853146853146893.3365186644959460.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.0%33.73426573426574141.200980598241200.3%80.5874125874126140.50843404205112.8%127.44055944055944135.01029972918332211.3%174.29370629370626115.86245905268866324.8%221.1468531468531585.46507502314645430.8%268.072.050.0%314.853146853146845.4422680982226767.5%361.7062937062937124.3134204011602471.0%408.5594405594406138.892802128561580.0%455.41258741258747141.2151451305627590.0%502.2657342657343141.2307692307692310Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th77.0025641025641245.00699300699328th142.2589743589743191.8601398601399310th207.5153846153846245.00699300699348th272.77179487179484191.8601398601399510th338.0282051282051245.006993006993610th403.28461538461534245.006993006993710th468.5410256410256245.006993006993810th533.7974358974359245.00699300699399th599.053846153846218.433566433566451012th11.746153846153845298.1538461538461318th77.0025641025641191.860139860139925th142.2589743589743112.1398601398601637th207.5153846153846165.286713286713347th272.77179487179484165.286713286713353rd338.028205128205158.99300699300701567th403.28461538461534165.286713286713378th468.5410256410256191.860139860139986th533.7974358974359138.7132867132867595th599.053846153846112.139860139860161012th11.746153846153845298.1538461538461319th77.0025641025641218.4335664335664527th142.2589743589743165.286713286713338th207.5153846153846191.860139860139948th272.77179487179484191.860139860139959th338.0282051282051218.43356643356645610th403.28461538461534245.006993006993710th468.5410256410256245.006993006993810th533.7974358974359245.00699300699399th599.053846153846218.4335664335664510Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Philip Rivers QB
2.03 15 Larry Fitzgerald WR
3.10 34 Pittsburgh DEF
4.03 39 BenJarvus Green-Ellis RB
5.10 58 Mario Manningham WR
6.03 63 Sidney Rice WR
7.10 82 Rashard Mendenhall K RB
8.03 87 Owen Daniels TE
9.10 106 Darren McFadden K RB
10.03 111 Joe Flacco QB
11.10 130 Michael Bush RB
12.03 135 Marcedes Lewis TE
13.10 154 Jerome Harrison RB
14.03 159 Jacoby Ford WR
15.10 178 Jerome Simpson WR
16.03 183 Garrett Hartley K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.00029.507692307692306140.8805034456656510.91871.6615384615384777.4863637537257320.675113.815384615384694.2401770347312230.000155.96923076923073140.8805034456656540.634198.1230769230769297.0967135346049650.479240.27692307692305107.774719022228260.000282.4307692307692140.8805034456656570.000324.58461538461535140.8805034456656580.581366.73846153846154100.7353969332536490.854408.8923076923076781.90719405114936100.00729.507692307692306140.3981795247544310.00071.6615384615384714.092224061785820.000113.815384615384647.5998506237967830.424155.96923076923073111.572098893092140.000198.1230769230769253.31292362354426550.000240.2769230769230574.668934598790766-0.003282.4307692307692141.0556363382174370.251324.58461538461535123.5536825453402780.000366.7384615384615460.5902904208416190.000408.8923076923076722.93388465663308310Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910030.719230769230762141.2307692307692311074.6038461538461578.293706293706328118.4884615384615490.8811188811188830162.3730769230769141.2307692307692349206.257692307692384.5874125874125955250.14230769230767109.7622377622377660294.026923076923141.2307692307692370337.9115384615384141.2307692307692385381.79615384615386109.76223776223776910425.680769230769278.293706293706310030.719230769230762141.230769230769231074.6038461538461515.3566433566433620118.4884615384615440.5314685314685333162.3730769230769122.3496503496503540206.257692307692327.94405594405594750250.1423076923076778.2937062937063162294.026923076923128.6433566433566473337.9115384615384122.3496503496503580381.7961538461538678.2937062937063190425.680769230769215.3566433566433610All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Derrek 6-4 5th 99.34 0.482 23.75 8-5 3rd 6th place
1 987 2024 Pat 5-5 7th 100.82 0.483 21.29 6-8 10th
2 985 2012 Allen 4-6 7th 98.85 0.487 21.97 6-7 8th
3 984 2011 Dave 3-7 11th 98.02 0.478 24.62 3-10 12th
4 982 2022 Rabbit 5-5 9th 97.08 0.484 26.36 8-6 5th 5th place
5 980 2021 Mike R. 2-8 10th 97.81 0.478 21.05 4-10 11th
6 977 2014 Mike R. 5-5 7th 98.26 0.489 21.47 6-7 7th
7 977 2020 Rabbit 5-5 8th 100.10 0.473 22.61 6-7 10th
8 975 2024 Ed 5-5 8th 99.72 0.486 16.05 6-8 9th
9 974 2011 Kevin 4-6 9th 102.45 0.487 26.40 6-7 8th
10 972 2019 Ed 4-6 10th 100.79 0.472 23.23 5-8 11th