2012 Allen (through 10 weeks)

4-6 (0.400), 988.51 points

7th place

4.87 expected wins (0.487)

57-73 all-play record (0.438)

+0.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 81.76 87.05 Ed -5.29
2 W 147.72 108.53 Pat 39.19 Team Blangums
3 L 86.43 100.96 Pulley -14.53
4 W 131.94 101.92 Rob 30.02
5 L 90.10 101.09 Rabbit -10.99
6 W 89.04 81.48 Kevin 7.56
7 L 80.58 95.14 Matt -14.56
8 L 106.44 119.41 Mike R. -12.97
9 L 81.67 87.43 Babel -5.76
10 W 92.83 88.85 Schertz 3.98
11 Dave
12 Richie
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.23076923076923325.4%221.1468531468531580.4342462185221340.0%268.0141.2307692307692350.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.1%80.5874125874126140.967791176920312.6%127.44055944055944134.92265658425688212.3%174.29370629370626111.7620405993363230.0%221.1468531468531519.637723206275027428.9%268.072.0519.8%314.853146853146893.7196623350831468.4%361.7062937062937121.0522451335810172.2%408.5594405594406136.035665248669580.3%455.41258741258747140.4874739658003590.0%502.2657342657343141.1854125389747310Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek13th11.746153846153845275.668639053254414th77.002564102564173.3017751479289924th142.258974358974373.3017751479289934th207.515384615384673.3017751479289945th272.7717948717948495.786982248520756th338.0282051282051118.2721893491124166th403.28461538461534118.2721893491124177th468.5410256410256140.7573964497041587th533.7974358974359140.7573964497041597th599.053846153846140.757396449704151013th11.746153846153845275.668639053254414th77.002564102564173.3017751479289928th142.2589743589743163.2426035502958535th207.515384615384695.786982248520747th272.77179487179484140.7573964497041556th338.0282051282051118.2721893491124166th403.28461538461534118.2721893491124177th468.5410256410256140.7573964497041589th533.7974358974359185.727810650887697th599.053846153846140.757396449704151013th11.746153846153845275.668639053254411st77.00256410256415.84615384615381124th142.258974358974373.3017751479289934th207.515384615384673.3017751479289945th272.7717948717948495.786982248520755th338.028205128205195.786982248520765th403.2846153846153495.786982248520775th468.541025641025695.786982248520785th533.797435897435995.786982248520796th599.053846153846118.2721893491124110Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Drew Brees K QB
2.05 19 Wes Welker WR
3.10 38 Brandon Lloyd WR
4.05 47 Willis McGahee RB
5.10 66 DeAngelo Williams RB
6.05 75 Santonio Holmes WR
7.10 94 Green Bay DEF
8.05 103 Felix Jones RB
9.10 122 Brent Celek TE
10.05 131 LeGarrette Blount RB
11.10 150 Jake Locker QB
12.05 159 Marshawn Lynch K RB
13.10 178 David Akers K
14.05 187 Jerome Simpson WR
15.10 206 Mike Tolbert RB
16.05 215 Jonathan Dwyer RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.00029.507692307692306141.2307692307692311.00671.6615384615384772.020.000113.8153846153846141.2307692307692330.949155.9692307692307375.9095554355877640.000198.12307692307692141.2307692307692350.367240.27692307692305115.9881482969454360.000282.4307692307692141.2307692307692370.000324.58461538461535141.2307692307692380.000366.73846153846154141.2307692307692390.428408.89230769230767111.78481123903028100.25529.507692307692306123.6716676501236710.00071.661538461538472.769230769230773620.328113.8153846153846118.6208836047256230.000155.9692307692307310.58834164040629840.382198.12307692307692114.9486133256330850.000240.2769230769230590.7455273631216260.237282.4307692307692124.8919913120990470.664324.5846153846153595.5364276656915880.252366.73846153846154123.8750549271195690.000408.8923076923076782.3388532472913310Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910030.719230769230762141.2307692307692311374.6038461538461572.020118.48846153846154141.23076923076923311162.373076923076982.650887573964540206.2576923076923141.2307692307692353250.14230769230767125.2544378698224860294.026923076923141.2307692307692370337.9115384615384141.2307692307692380381.79615384615386141.2307692307692396425.6807692307692109.2781065088757410130.719230769230762135.905325443786981074.603846153846152.769230769230773627118.48846153846154103.9526627218934930162.373076923076924.07100591715975242206.2576923076923130.5798816568047350250.14230769230767109.2781065088757464294.026923076923119.9289940828402378337.911538461538498.6272189349112482381.79615384615386130.5798816568047390425.680769230769277.3254437869822510All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2012 Allen 4-6 7th 98.85 0.487 21.97 6-7 8th
1 992 2014 Mike R. 5-5 7th 98.26 0.489 21.47 6-7 7th
2 985 2011 Derrek 6-4 5th 99.34 0.482 23.75 8-5 3rd 6th place
3 984 2024 Pat 5-5 7th 100.82 0.483 21.29 6-8 10th
4 983 2024 Ed 5-5 8th 99.72 0.486 16.05 6-8 9th
5 982 2011 Babel 5-5 8th 99.44 0.490 17.14 7-6 7th
6 979 2022 Rabbit 5-5 9th 97.08 0.484 26.36 8-6 5th 5th place
7 978 2024 Kevin 3-7 12th 99.76 0.492 17.32 5-9 11th
8 977 2021 Mike R. 2-8 10th 97.81 0.478 21.05 4-10 11th
9 976 2011 Kevin 4-6 9th 102.45 0.487 26.40 6-7 8th
10 975 2020 Babel 6-4 6th 98.82 0.491 13.87 8-5 3rd 3rd place