2016 Matt (through 11 weeks)

4-7 (0.364), 1,066.92 points

12th place

5.08 expected wins (0.462)

66-77 all-play record (0.462)

+9.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 76.63 119.84 Pulley -43.21
2 W 139.75 75.70 Richie 64.05 Team Blangums
3 L 69.92 135.90 Dave -65.98
4 W 142.08 109.53 Schertz 32.55 Team Blangums
5 W 109.18 71.45 Pat 37.73
6 L 92.83 94.89 Ed -2.06
7 L 129.83 133.02 Babel -3.19
8 L 45.78 86.58 Rabbit -40.80 Slapped Heartbeat
9 W 110.71 99.08 Allen 11.63
10 L 80.47 130.23 Kevin -49.76
11 L 69.74 87.78 Rob -18.04
12 Derrek
13 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.23076923076923322.5%203.5769230769230796.8939153401841540.0%246.52564102564102141.2307692307692350.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.2291767869163600.0%74.73076923076923141.1446392028145210.8%117.67948717948717139.5983893834395526.6%160.62820512820514128.2206074481621830.0%203.5769230769230752.55706144959909435.1%246.5256410256410272.0525.0%289.47435897435991.8916910913397768.4%332.42307692307696124.5868424653875871.4%375.3717948717949138.4670519697310280.1%418.3205128205129141.0138820407534690.0%461.26923076923083141.22435165522387100.0%504.21794871794873141.2307692307692311Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek13th11.746153846153845275.668639053254418th70.47692307692309163.24260355029585211th129.2076923076923230.69822485207139th187.93846153846152185.727810650887647th246.66923076923075140.7573964497041557th305.4140.7573964497041566th364.1307692307692118.2721893491124178th422.86153846153843163.2426035502958588th481.59230769230766163.2426035502958598th540.3230769230769163.24260355029585108th599.053846153846163.242603550295851113th11.746153846153845275.668639053254417th70.47692307692309140.75739644970415210th129.2076923076923208.213017751479338th187.93846153846152163.2426035502958547th246.66923076923075140.7573964497041557th305.4140.7573964497041568th364.1307692307692163.24260355029585711th422.86153846153843230.69822485207189th481.59230769230766185.7278106508876910th540.3230769230769208.21301775147931012th599.053846153846253.183431952662721113th11.746153846153845275.668639053254417th70.47692307692309140.75739644970415211th129.2076923076923230.69822485207136th187.93846153846152118.2721893491124147th246.66923076923075140.7573964497041557th305.4140.7573964497041565th364.130769230769295.786982248520777th422.86153846153843140.7573964497041588th481.59230769230766163.2426035502958598th540.3230769230769163.24260355029585109th599.053846153846185.727810650887611Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Julio Jones K WR
2.05 19 Mark Ingram II RB
3.10 38 Greg Olsen TE
4.05 47 Cam Newton K QB
5.10 66 Giovani Bernard RB
6.05 75 Torrey Smith WR
7.10 94 Tavon Austin WR
8.05 103 Michael Thomas WR
9.10 122 Derrick Henry RB
10.05 131 C.J. Prosise RB
11.10 150 Robert Woods WR
12.05 159 Marcus Mariota QB
13.10 178 Will Tye TE
14.05 187 Will Fuller V WR
15.10 206 Pittsburgh DEF
16.05 215 Chris Boswell K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.00027.59160839160839140.578422719853610.94865.9132867132867175.2348513540609220.000104.23496503496503140.578422719853630.955142.5566433566433574.782424591255240.672180.8783216783216494.2707073991116650.000219.19999999999996140.578422719853660.000257.5216783216783140.578422719853670.000295.8433566433567140.578422719853680.697334.16503496503592.574107038590290.000372.4867132867133140.5784227198536100.000410.8083916083916140.5784227198536110.15227.59160839160839130.0915963442546710.00065.913286713286719.89127998826825220.086104.23496503496503134.6611066485924730.000142.556643356643358.98642646265679440.000180.8783216783216447.9629920783697250.390219.19999999999996113.702436861617460.900257.521678321678378.582809398823277-0.005295.8433566433567140.904595975311480.000334.16503496503544.5697913573268190.198372.4867132867133126.94723034275489100.085410.8083916083916134.751592001153611Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011028.724475524475523141.2307692307692311368.6195804195804272.020108.5146853146853141.23076923076923313148.4097902097901772.048188.3048951048950898.6272189349112450228.2141.2307692307692360268.09510489510484141.2307692307692370307.9902097902098141.23076923076923810347.885314685314787.9763313609467490387.7804195804196141.23076923076923100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311128.724475524475523135.905325443786981068.619580419580422.769230769230773621108.5146853146853135.9053254437869830148.409790209790172.769230769230773640188.3048951048950856.0236686390532456228.2109.27810650887574612268.0951048951048477.3254437869822570307.9902097902098141.2307692307692380347.885314685314734.7218934911242591387.7804195804196135.90532544378698101427.67552447552447135.9053254437869811All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Matt 4-7 12th 96.99 0.462 30.27 5-8 10th
1 982 2010 Matt 4-7 8th 97.54 0.461 22.69 5-8 9th
2 975 2019 Scott 4-7 12th 96.19 0.460 21.65 4-9 14th
3 973 2019 Rabbit 5-6 9th 97.93 0.451 29.31 6-7 7th
4 971 2016 Allen 4-7 11th 97.02 0.456 21.08 4-9 13th
5 970 2012 Dave 6-5 6th 93.89 0.463 22.76 6-7 7th
6 967 2023 Ed 8-3 2nd 96.82 0.460 15.98 11-3 1st 2nd place
7 966 2011 Kevin 4-7 9th 100.76 0.467 25.73 6-7 8th
8 964 2020 Richie 5-6 11th 96.56 0.467 18.35 7-6 7th
9 963 2016 Babel 6-5 5th 96.77 0.455 18.58 7-6 6th 6th place
10 962 2011 Derrek 7-4 2nd 98.42 0.470 22.83 8-5 3rd 6th place