2012 Dave (through 11 weeks)

6-5 (0.545), 1,032.82 points

6th place

5.09 expected wins (0.463)

67-76 all-play record (0.469)

-19.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 85.53 103.94 Babel -18.41
2 W 128.35 73.66 Richie 54.69
3 W 77.96 59.80 Schertz 18.16
4 L 92.45 98.01 Derrek -5.56
5 L 54.78 107.02 Pat -52.24 Slapped Heartbeat
6 W 92.97 76.81 Ed 16.16
7 L 116.95 138.63 Mike R. -21.68
8 W 74.62 67.22 Rabbit 7.40
9 W 134.35 84.07 Rob 50.28 Team Blangums
10 W 91.43 74.58 Pulley 16.85
11 L 83.43 101.69 Allen -18.26
12 Matt
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.2307692307692340.0%246.52564102564102141.23076923076923522.7%289.47435897435988.1169364389466860.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.2269664213589500.1%74.73076923076923141.012363132430511.6%117.67948717948717137.6077772011916229.1%160.62820512820514119.86341222027636322.6%203.5769230769230788.31875400621925429.6%246.5256410256410272.050.0%289.47435897435935.003103647124135610.6%332.42307692307696116.3845614954161673.0%375.3717948717949134.1748741604097680.5%418.3205128205129140.0737560487686790.0%461.26923076923083141.1344500264263100.0%504.21794871794873141.227919831797811Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek11th11.746153846153845230.69822485207117th70.47692307692309140.7573964497041526th129.2076923076923118.2721893491124137th187.93846153846152140.75739644970415412th246.66923076923075253.18343195266272512th305.4253.1834319526627269th364.1307692307692185.7278106508876710th422.86153846153843208.213017751479388th481.59230769230766163.2426035502958598th540.3230769230769163.24260355029585109th599.053846153846185.72781065088761111th11.746153846153845230.69822485207116th70.47692307692309118.2721893491124125th129.207692307692395.786982248520737th187.93846153846152140.75739644970415410th246.66923076923075208.213017751479359th305.4185.727810650887668th364.1307692307692163.2426035502958576th422.86153846153843118.2721893491124186th481.59230769230766118.2721893491124196th540.3230769230769118.27218934911241106th599.053846153846118.272189349112411111th11.746153846153845230.69822485207115th70.4769230769230995.786982248520726th129.2076923076923118.2721893491124137th187.93846153846152140.75739644970415412th246.66923076923075253.18343195266272512th305.4253.1834319526627269th364.1307692307692185.7278106508876710th422.86153846153843208.213017751479388th481.59230769230766163.2426035502958598th540.3230769230769163.24260355029585109th599.053846153846185.727810650887611Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
4
10

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.05 5 Matt Forte RB
2.10 24 Marques Colston WR
3.05 33 Vincent Jackson WR
4.10 52 DeSean Jackson WR
5.05 61 C.J. Spiller RB
6.10 80 Mark Ingram II RB
7.05 89 Nate Washington WR
8.10 108 James Starks RB
9.05 117 Mike Williams WR
10.10 136 Greg Olsen TE
11.05 145 New York DEF
12.10 164 Sam Bradford QB
13.05 173 Darren Sproles K RB
14.10 192 Cam Newton K QB
15.05 201 Jacoby Ford WR
16.10 220 Garrett Hartley K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.00027.59160839160839141.2307692307692310.93765.9132867132867176.3735237185663920.216104.23496503496503126.2851354161268830.000142.55664335664335141.2307692307692340.000180.87832167832164141.2307692307692350.441219.19999999999996110.6820746554824160.000257.5216783216783141.2307692307692370.179295.8433566433567128.8079901057576580.971334.16503496503573.9870395526994390.411372.4867132867133112.78445356350807100.000410.8083916083916141.23076923076923110.32527.59160839160839118.7392997678618110.00065.9132867132867111.51627820636355220.000104.23496503496503111.3395016014845330.431142.55664335664335111.3866556949288340.056180.87832167832164137.3311478409968350.000219.1999999999999680.1333800801955860.835257.521678321678383.3966056924034570.000295.8433566433567116.3852109807461180.000334.1650349650356.74330987462963190.000372.486713286713384.33813789624689100.290410.8083916083916121.1826049852970311Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011028.724475524475523141.2307692307692311268.6195804195804277.3254437869822525108.5146853146853114.6035502958579930148.40979020979017141.2307692307692340188.30489510489508141.2307692307692354228.2119.9289940828402360268.09510489510484141.2307692307692373307.9902097902098125.25443786982248813347.885314685314772.095387.7804195804196114.60355029585799100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311328.724475524475523125.254437869822481068.6195804195804213.4201183431952720108.514685314685387.9763313609467433148.40979020979017125.2544378698224840188.30489510489508141.2307692307692350228.298.62721893491124612268.0951048951048477.3254437869822570307.9902097902098109.2781065088757480347.88531468531472.769230769230773690387.780419580419687.97633136094674107427.67552447552447103.9526627218934911All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2012 Dave 6-5 6th 93.89 0.463 22.76 6-7 7th
1 982 2010 Matt 4-7 8th 97.54 0.461 22.69 5-8 9th
2 982 2019 Scott 4-7 12th 96.19 0.460 21.65 4-9 14th
3 973 2014 Mike R. 5-6 7th 96.12 0.471 21.56 6-7 7th
4 973 2020 Richie 5-6 11th 96.56 0.467 18.35 7-6 7th
5 971 2015 Babel 4-7 10th 93.96 0.451 25.15 5-8 10th
6 971 2016 Allen 4-7 11th 97.02 0.456 21.08 4-9 13th
7 970 2016 Matt 4-7 12th 96.99 0.462 30.27 5-8 10th
8 969 2023 Ed 8-3 2nd 96.82 0.460 15.98 11-3 1st 2nd place
9 967 2011 Derrek 7-4 2nd 98.42 0.470 22.83 8-5 3rd 6th place
10 966 2024 Scott 4-7 11th 95.08 0.451 25.00 5-9 12th