2016 Allen (through 11 weeks)

4-7 (0.364), 1,067.17 points

11th place

5.02 expected wins (0.456)

69-74 all-play record (0.483)

+3.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 72.19 85.25 Richie -13.06 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 106.42 91.85 Dave 14.57
3 W 136.95 98.49 Mike R. 38.46 Team Blangums
4 W 105.54 93.80 Pulley 11.74
5 L 77.03 129.47 Schertz -52.44
6 L 75.57 76.61 Babel -1.04
7 L 70.14 89.78 Pat -19.64
8 W 104.28 86.50 Ed 17.78
9 L 99.08 110.71 Matt -11.63
10 L 126.44 135.15 Rob -8.71
11 L 93.53 123.97 Kevin -30.44
12 Rabbit
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.23076923076923322.5%203.5769230769230788.1798829051553440.0%246.52564102564102141.2307692307692350.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.210449565571500.2%74.73076923076923140.6488774362951212.3%117.67948717948717135.7068187676537729.9%160.62820512820514117.7932174898469730.0%203.5769230769230735.12899657954145429.3%246.5256410256410272.0522.6%289.47435897435987.92291585276823610.1%332.42307692307696117.2752324785822472.6%375.3717948717949135.132311336841280.4%418.3205128205129140.374009010210690.0%461.26923076923083141.16918242861504100.0%504.21794871794873141.2290073421659111Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek14th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613112th70.47692307692309253.1834319526627229th129.2076923076923185.727810650887637th187.93846153846152140.7573964497041549th246.66923076923075185.7278106508876510th305.4208.2130177514793610th364.1307692307692208.213017751479379th422.86153846153843185.7278106508876810th481.59230769230766208.213017751479399th540.3230769230769185.7278106508876109th599.053846153846185.72781065088761114th11.746153846153845298.1538461538461319th70.47692307692309185.727810650887626th129.2076923076923118.2721893491124132nd187.9384615384615228.33136094674557648th246.66923076923075163.2426035502958559th305.4185.7278106508876610th364.1307692307692208.213017751479379th422.86153846153843185.7278106508876811th481.59230769230766230.698224852071911th540.3230769230769230.6982248520711011th599.053846153846230.6982248520711114th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613112th70.47692307692309253.1834319526627228th129.2076923076923163.2426035502958537th187.93846153846152140.7573964497041549th246.66923076923075185.7278106508876510th305.4208.2130177514793610th364.1307692307692208.2130177514793711th422.86153846153843230.698224852071810th481.59230769230766208.213017751479399th540.3230769230769185.7278106508876108th599.053846153846163.2426035502958511Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Ezekiel Elliott RB
2.13 27 Russell Wilson K QB
3.02 30 Eric Decker WR
4.13 55 Rashad Jennings RB
5.02 58 Tyler Lockett WR
6.13 83 Isaiah Crowell RB
7.02 86 Marvin Jones, Jr. WR
8.13 111 DeAndre Washington RB
9.02 114 Jordan Reed K TE
10.13 139 Mohamed Sanu WR
11.02 142 Kansas City DEF
12.13 167 Wendell Smallwood RB
13.02 170 Jaelen Strong WR
14.13 195 Paul Perkins RB
15.02 198 Brock Osweiler QB
16.13 223 Josh Brown K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.00027.59160839160839141.2307692307692310.62665.9132867132867197.9199188861040620.937104.2349650349650376.384740341733130.610142.5566433566433598.976790445273740.000180.87832167832164141.2307692307692350.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692360.000257.5216783216783141.2307692307692370.584295.8433566433567100.7950640954580680.000334.165034965035141.2307692307692390.000372.4867132867133141.23076923076923100.000410.8083916083916141.23076923076923110.10627.59160839160839133.9103729494405910.00065.9132867132867154.6090685414388720.000104.2349650349650311.53871145269698730.000142.5566433566433556.7228116597781740.159180.87832167832164130.2510972284445650.139219.19999999999996131.5807098351418760.088257.5216783216783135.1263434530013770.000295.843356643356760.3593589601468880.493334.165034965035107.0794723989077190.875372.486713286713380.65768341966634100.402410.8083916083916113.432065964239311Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011028.724475524475523141.230769230769231968.6195804195804293.30177514792899213108.514685314685372.038148.4097902097901798.6272189349112440188.30489510489508141.2307692307692350228.2141.2307692307692360268.09510489510484141.2307692307692378307.990209790209898.6272189349112480347.8853146853147141.2307692307692390387.7804195804196141.23076923076923100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311028.724475524475523141.230769230769231068.6195804195804245.37278106508874520108.51468531468532.769230769230773630148.4097902097901756.0236686390532443188.30489510489508125.2544378698224853228.2125.2544378698224861268.09510489510484135.9053254437869870307.990209790209856.0236686390532487347.8853146853147103.95266272189349910387.780419580419687.97633136094674107427.67552447552447103.9526627218934911All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Allen 4-7 11th 97.02 0.456 21.08 4-9 13th
1 992 2016 Babel 6-5 5th 96.77 0.455 18.58 7-6 6th 6th place
2 989 2019 Scott 4-7 12th 96.19 0.460 21.65 4-9 14th
3 986 2020 Rabbit 5-6 9th 98.71 0.453 22.00 6-7 10th
4 985 2010 Matt 4-7 8th 97.54 0.461 22.69 5-8 9th
5 982 2023 Ed 8-3 2nd 96.82 0.460 15.98 11-3 1st 2nd place
6 981 2019 Pat 5-6 8th 98.76 0.457 15.76 6-7 9th
7 980 2023 Dave 6-5 7th 97.19 0.447 22.06 6-8 10th
8 977 2019 Babel 6-5 7th 98.82 0.452 17.40 8-5 5th 5th place
9 973 2024 Scott 4-7 11th 95.08 0.451 25.00 5-9 12th
10 972 2020 Richie 5-6 11th 96.56 0.467 18.35 7-6 7th