2010 Matt (through 11 weeks)

4-7 (0.364), 1,072.93 points

8th place

5.07 expected wins (0.461)

56-65 all-play record (0.463)

-4.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 82.53 88.82 Derrek -6.29
2 W 165.35 68.08 Kevin 97.27 Team Blangums
3 L 91.27 109.18 Rabbit -17.91
4 W 89.88 51.64 Rob 38.24
5 L 76.32 149.15 Ed -72.83
6 L 104.91 128.22 Pulley -23.31
7 L 93.55 94.54 Mike R. -0.99
8 W 84.54 47.94 Allen 36.60
9 L 90.61 90.77 Pat -0.16
10 L 95.96 115.89 Babel -19.93
11 W 98.01 87.74 Dave 10.27
12 Rabbit
13 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.23076923076923321.4%203.5769230769230784.1262637673212640.0%246.52564102564102141.2307692307692350.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.4%74.73076923076923140.0450539844245313.4%117.67948717948717132.19009611479066211.2%160.62820512820514111.2445678292088530.0%203.5769230769230727.021758303873284426.0%246.5256410256410272.00000000000001520.9%289.47435897435985.37278771828684611.4%332.42307692307696110.8606888377058874.1%375.3717948717949130.2521046260367380.9%418.3205128205129138.7089260100892790.1%461.26923076923083140.89907992581436100.0%504.21794871794873141.2118570296286711Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845191.860139860139912nd70.4769230769230932.4195804195804325th129.2076923076923112.1398601398601637th187.93846153846152165.286713286713347th246.66923076923075165.286713286713355th305.4112.1398601398601666th364.1307692307692138.7132867132867576th422.86153846153843138.7132867132867587th481.59230769230766165.286713286713398th540.3230769230769191.8601398601399107th599.053846153846165.2867132867133118th11.746153846153845191.860139860139915th70.47692307692309112.1398601398601627th129.2076923076923165.286713286713337th187.93846153846152165.286713286713348th246.66923076923075191.860139860139958th305.4191.860139860139969th364.1307692307692218.4335664335664578th422.86153846153843191.860139860139989th481.59230769230766218.43356643356645910th540.3230769230769245.006993006993108th599.053846153846191.8601398601399118th11.746153846153845191.860139860139912nd70.4769230769230932.4195804195804322nd129.207692307692332.4195804195804333rd187.9384615384615258.99300699300701544th246.6692307692307585.5664335664335754th305.485.5664335664335764th364.130769230769285.5664335664335774th422.8615384615384385.5664335664335784th481.5923076923076685.5664335664335795th540.3230769230769112.13986013986016105th599.053846153846112.1398601398601611Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.12 12 Calvin Johnson WR
2.01 13 Ryan Mathews RB
3.12 36 C.J. Spiller RB
4.01 37 Jahvid Best RB
5.12 60 Chris Cooley TE
6.01 61 Dez Bryant WR
7.12 84 Johnny Knox WR
8.01 85 Aaron Rodgers K QB
9.12 108 Tim Hightower RB
10.01 109 Zach Miller TE
11.12 132 Steve Smith K WR
12.01 133 Matthew Stafford QB
13.12 156 Mason Crosby K
14.01 157 Pittsburgh DEF
15.12 180 Leon Washington RB
16.01 181 Jacoby Jones WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.00027.59160839160839141.2307692307692311.02865.9132867132867172.020.000104.23496503496503141.2307692307692330.385142.55664335664335115.2806342321975440.000180.87832167832164141.2307692307692350.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692360.000257.5216783216783141.2307692307692370.304295.8433566433567120.754296456249180.000334.165034965035141.2307692307692390.000372.4867132867133141.23076923076923100.519410.8083916083916106.24632708664176110.27427.59160839160839122.766834890142810.00065.913286713286712.769230769230773620.404104.23496503496503114.0200332351432530.000142.5566433566433589.3304992336258640.192180.87832167832164128.3068445350919550.640219.1999999999999698.0966522197205560.446257.5216783216783111.2113257504784170.000295.8433566433567100.2778236817289680.394334.165034965035114.6613916371533390.488372.4867132867133108.35838665188184100.000410.808391608391671.2618849425142911Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234567891011028.724475524475523141.2307692307692311168.6195804195804272.020108.5146853146853141.2307692307692336148.40979020979017103.4685314685314740188.30489510489508141.2307692307692350228.2141.2307692307692360268.09510489510484141.2307692307692376307.9902097902098103.4685314685314780347.8853146853147141.2307692307692390387.7804195804196141.23076923076923105427.67552447552447109.7622377622377611428.724475524475523116.055944055944051068.619580419580422.769230769230773626108.5146853146853103.4685314685314730148.4097902097901765.7062937062937242188.30489510489508128.6433566433566459228.284.5874125874125963268.09510489510484122.3496503496503570307.990209790209865.7062937062937283347.8853146853147122.3496503496503591387.7804195804196134.93706293706293100427.6755244755244778.2937062937063111All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2010 Matt 4-7 8th 97.54 0.461 22.69 5-8 9th
1 989 2019 Scott 4-7 12th 96.19 0.460 21.65 4-9 14th
2 985 2016 Allen 4-7 11th 97.02 0.456 21.08 4-9 13th
3 982 2016 Matt 4-7 12th 96.99 0.462 30.27 5-8 10th
4 982 2012 Dave 6-5 6th 93.89 0.463 22.76 6-7 7th
5 981 2023 Ed 8-3 2nd 96.82 0.460 15.98 11-3 1st 2nd place
6 978 2011 Derrek 7-4 2nd 98.42 0.470 22.83 8-5 3rd 6th place
7 978 2020 Rabbit 5-6 9th 98.71 0.453 22.00 6-7 10th
8 977 2020 Richie 5-6 11th 96.56 0.467 18.35 7-6 7th
9 976 2016 Babel 6-5 5th 96.77 0.455 18.58 7-6 6th 6th place
10 974 2024 Ed 5-6 9th 98.69 0.465 15.64 6-8 9th