2016 Matt (through 7 weeks)

3-4 (0.429), 760.22 points

8th place

4.06 expected wins (0.580)

54-37 all-play record (0.593)

+13.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 76.63 119.84 Pulley -43.21
2 W 139.75 75.70 Richie 64.05 Team Blangums
3 L 69.92 135.90 Dave -65.98
4 W 142.08 109.53 Schertz 32.55 Team Blangums
5 W 109.18 71.45 Pat 37.73
6 L 92.83 94.89 Ed -2.06
7 L 129.83 133.02 Babel -3.19
8 Rabbit
9 Allen
10 Kevin
11 Rob
12 Derrek
13 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%012345670.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692300.0%106.9423076923077141.2307692307692310.0%171.3653846153846141.23076923076923222.0%235.78846153846152105.8665829106513630.0%300.2115384615385141.2307692307692340.0%364.6346153846155141.2307692307692350.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.2307692307692370.0%42.519230769230774141.222709236873700.2%106.9423076923077140.8573298244737413.6%171.3653846153846135.3658743668994520.0%235.7884615384615270.5023965905335343.1%300.211538461538572.0426.1%364.634615384615599.2723580985210454.7%429.0576923076924133.649232110189360.2%493.4807692307693140.845115582881937Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek13th11.746153846153845275.668639053254418th109.6307692307692163.24260355029585211th207.5153846153846230.69822485207139th305.4185.727810650887647th403.28461538461534140.7573964497041557th501.16923076923075140.7573964497041566th599.053846153846118.27218934911241713th11.746153846153845275.668639053254417th109.6307692307692140.75739644970415210th207.5153846153846208.213017751479338th305.4163.2426035502958547th403.28461538461534140.7573964497041557th501.16923076923075140.7573964497041568th599.053846153846163.24260355029585713th11.746153846153845275.668639053254417th109.6307692307692140.75739644970415211th207.5153846153846230.69822485207136th305.4118.2721893491124147th403.28461538461534140.7573964497041557th501.16923076923075140.7573964497041565th599.05384615384695.78698224852077Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Julio Jones K WR
2.05 19 Mark Ingram II RB
3.10 38 Greg Olsen TE
4.05 47 Cam Newton K QB
5.10 66 Giovani Bernard RB
6.05 75 Torrey Smith WR
7.10 94 Tavon Austin WR
8.05 103 Michael Thomas WR
9.10 122 Derrick Henry RB
10.05 131 C.J. Prosise RB
11.10 150 Robert Woods WR
12.05 159 Marcus Mariota QB
13.10 178 Will Tye TE
14.05 187 Will Fuller V WR
15.10 206 Pittsburgh DEF
16.05 215 Chris Boswell K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.00038.54065934065934141.2307692307692310.94398.7604395604395575.9804886043512820.000158.98021978021976141.2307692307692330.949219.1999999999999675.525920191805240.666279.419780219780295.1064545622279450.000339.6395604395604141.2307692307692360.000399.8593406593406141.2307692307692370.14638.54065934065934131.0969086255644810.00098.7604395604395510.73020797793333320.080158.98021978021976135.6880495922799830.000219.199999999999969.8210711528411740.000279.419780219780248.9821398936866550.384339.6395604395604114.6301678810824360.894399.859340659340679.344294857192347Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567040.12307692307692141.23076923076923113102.815384615384672.020165.50769230769228141.23076923076923313228.1999999999999672.048290.892307692307798.6272189349112450353.5846153846154141.2307692307692360416.2769230769231141.230769230769237140.12307692307692135.9053254437869810102.81538461538462.769230769230773621165.50769230769228135.9053254437869830228.199999999999962.769230769230773640290.892307692307756.0236686390532456353.5846153846154109.27810650887574612416.276923076923177.325443786982257All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Matt 3-4 8th 108.60 0.580 27.54 5-8 10th
1 982 2024 Pat 5-2 2nd 107.17 0.579 22.40 6-8 10th
2 973 2021 Kevin 5-2 4th 111.59 0.582 21.04 5-9 9th
3 968 2013 Dave 3-4 9th 104.25 0.578 22.07 7-6 5th 4th place
4 965 2012 Ed 5-2 4th 106.44 0.568 27.23 8-5 4th 4th place
5 964 2011 Dave 3-4 9th 107.75 0.575 17.28 3-10 12th
6 964 2018 Rob 6-1 2nd 110.30 0.577 16.11 8-5 5th 5th place
7 954 2011 Rob 3-4 8th 111.00 0.564 28.72 7-6 4th 4th place
8 952 2021 Derrek 5-2 5th 107.92 0.600 24.06 12-2 1st 3rd place
9 945 2022 Dave 3-4 9th 102.90 0.588 19.11 8-6 3rd 3rd place
10 940 2014 Matt 4-3 6th 103.69 0.566 21.87 7-6 6th 4th place