2016 Matt (through 7 weeks)

3-4 (0.429), 760.22 points (108.60 average)

8th place

4.06 expected wins (0.580)

54-37 all-play record (0.593)

+13.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 76.63 119.84 Pulley -43.21
2 W 139.75 75.70 Richie 64.05 Team Blangums
3 L 69.92 135.90 Dave -65.98
4 W 142.08 109.53 Schertz 32.55 Team Blangums
5 W 109.18 71.45 Pat 37.73
6 L 92.83 94.89 Ed -2.06
7 L 129.83 133.02 Babel -3.19
8 Rabbit
9 Allen
10 Kevin
11 Rob
12 Derrek
13 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%012345670.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692300.0%106.9423076923077141.2307692307692310.0%171.3653846153846141.23076923076923222.0%235.78846153846152105.3814976602255230.0%300.2115384615385141.2307692307692340.0%364.6346153846155141.2307692307692350.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.2307692307692370.0%42.519230769230774141.22133495362100.3%106.9423076923077140.812583973917113.8%171.3653846153846134.975440856766820.0%235.7884615384615269.53222608968181342.6%300.211538461538572.0426.1%364.634615384615598.7530178552776554.9%429.0576923076924133.256569151815660.3%493.4807692307693140.820603864767587Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek13th11.746153846153845275.668639053254418th109.6307692307692163.24260355029585211th207.5153846153846230.69822485207139th305.4185.727810650887647th403.28461538461534140.7573964497041557th501.16923076923075140.7573964497041566th599.053846153846118.27218934911241713th11.746153846153845275.668639053254417th109.6307692307692140.75739644970415210th207.5153846153846208.213017751479338th305.4163.2426035502958547th403.28461538461534140.7573964497041557th501.16923076923075140.7573964497041568th599.053846153846163.24260355029585713th11.746153846153845275.668639053254417th109.6307692307692140.75739644970415211th207.5153846153846230.69822485207136th305.4118.2721893491124147th403.28461538461534140.7573964497041557th501.16923076923075140.7573964497041565th599.05384615384695.78698224852077Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Julio Jones K WR
2.05 19 Mark Ingram II RB
3.10 38 Greg Olsen TE
4.05 47 Cam Newton K QB
5.10 66 Giovani Bernard RB
6.05 75 Torrey Smith WR
7.10 94 Tavon Austin WR
8.05 103 Michael Thomas WR
9.10 122 Derrick Henry RB
10.05 131 C.J. Prosise RB
11.10 150 Robert Woods WR
12.05 159 Marcus Mariota QB
13.10 178 Will Tye TE
14.05 187 Will Fuller V WR
15.10 206 Pittsburgh DEF
16.05 215 Chris Boswell K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.00038.54065934065934141.2307692307692310.94198.7604395604395576.0966812853971420.000158.98021978021976141.2307692307692330.947219.1999999999999675.6347516670954140.668279.419780219780295.0069561116970150.000339.6395604395604141.2307692307692360.000399.8593406593406141.2307692307692370.16038.54065934065934130.14244662669810.00098.7604395604395510.96259334002505220.078158.98021978021976135.8452138950536330.000219.1999999999999610.03873410342160440.000279.419780219780248.7831429926247950.386339.6395604395604114.5318111406028360.882399.859340659340680.175485008679157Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567040.12307692307692141.23076923076923113102.815384615384672.020165.50769230769228141.23076923076923313228.1999999999999672.048290.892307692307798.6272189349112450353.5846153846154141.2307692307692360416.2769230769231141.230769230769237140.12307692307692135.9053254437869810102.81538461538462.769230769230773621165.50769230769228135.9053254437869830228.199999999999962.769230769230773640290.892307692307756.0236686390532456353.5846153846154109.27810650887574612416.276923076923177.325443786982257All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Matt 3-4 8th 108.60 0.580 27.54 5-8 10th
1 982 2024 Pat 5-2 2nd 107.17 0.579 22.40 6-8 10th
2 972 2021 Kevin 5-2 4th 111.59 0.582 21.04 5-9 9th
3 967 2013 Dave 3-4 9th 104.25 0.578 22.07 7-6 5th 4th place
4 966 2012 Ed 5-2 4th 106.44 0.568 27.23 8-5 4th 4th place
5 964 2011 Dave 3-4 9th 107.75 0.574 17.28 3-10 12th
6 961 2011 Rob 3-4 8th 111.00 0.567 28.72 7-6 4th 4th place
7 959 2022 Dave 3-4 9th 102.90 0.581 19.11 8-6 3rd 3rd place
8 952 2014 Matt 4-3 6th 103.69 0.572 21.87 7-6 6th 4th place
9 951 2018 Rob 6-1 2nd 110.30 0.570 16.11 8-5 5th 5th place
10 950 2021 Derrek 5-2 5th 107.92 0.600 24.06 12-2 1st 3rd place