2013 Dave (through 7 weeks)

3-4 (0.429), 729.78 points

9th place

4.05 expected wins (0.578)

51-40 all-play record (0.560)

+17.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 97.74 135.65 Rabbit -37.91
2 L 70.28 91.19 Pat -20.91
3 W 141.62 105.11 Ed 36.51
4 W 118.62 112.11 Babel 6.51
5 L 108.89 167.43 Rob -58.54
6 W 111.53 67.52 Schertz 44.01
7 L 81.10 86.96 Allen -5.86
8 Derrek
9 Pulley
10 Matt
11 Richie
12 Mike R.
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012345670.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692300.0%106.9423076923077141.2307692307692310.0%171.3653846153846141.23076923076923222.4%235.7884615384615299.4547700681181430.0%300.2115384615385141.2307692307692340.0%364.6346153846155141.2307692307692350.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.2307692307692370.0%42.519230769230774141.2065454166207700.6%106.9423076923077140.03671018217716.1%171.3653846153846129.9401568982187320.0%235.7884615384615257.67877090546706337.2%300.211538461538572.0426.4%364.634615384615592.083124961765456.8%429.0576923076924128.6133376120503760.5%493.4807692307693140.299700531424587Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek10th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793113th109.6307692307692275.668639053254428th207.5153846153846163.2426035502958535th305.495.786982248520744th403.2846153846153473.3017751479289954th501.1692307692307573.3017751479289964th599.05384615384673.30177514792899710th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793114th109.6307692307692298.1538461538461329th207.5153846153846185.727810650887635th305.495.7869822485207410th403.28461538461534208.213017751479357th501.16923076923075140.7573964497041569th599.053846153846185.7278106508876710th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793114th109.6307692307692298.1538461538461326th207.5153846153846118.2721893491124135th305.495.786982248520744th403.2846153846153473.3017751479289954th501.1692307692307573.3017751479289964th599.05384615384673.301775147928997Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
2

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.08 8 Steven Jackson RB
2.07 21 Roddy White WR
3.08 36 Torrey Smith WR
4.07 49 Jason Witten TE
5.08 64 Mike Williams WR
6.07 77 Fred Jackson RB
7.08 92 Josh Gordon WR
8.07 105 Jacquizz Rodgers RB
9.08 120 Cincinnati DEF
10.07 133 Cordarrelle Patterson WR
11.08 148 Darren Sproles K RB
12.07 161 Cam Newton K QB
13.08 176 Matt Prater K
14.07 189 Knowshon Moreno RB
15.08 204 Brandon LaFell WR
16.07 217 E.J. Manuel QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.00038.54065934065934141.2307692307692310.00098.76043956043955141.2307692307692320.975158.9802197802197673.7646995158485630.827219.1999999999999683.9697603775082440.000279.4197802197802141.2307692307692350.728339.639560439560490.8110149863268860.000399.8593406593406141.2307692307692370.49338.54065934065934107.0845641554768310.11098.76043956043955133.5972668172274220.000158.980219780219766.29862980092789830.000219.1999999999999626.70875152424726240.688279.419780219780293.5952465131716650.000339.639560439560440.3912607418845260.228399.8593406593406125.47185644296617Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567040.12307692307692141.2307692307692310102.8153846153846141.23076923076923212165.5076923076922877.32544378698225310228.1999999999999687.9763313609467440290.8923076923077141.23076923076923511353.584615384615482.650887573964560416.2769230769231141.230769230769237440.12307692307692119.9289940828402311102.8153846153846135.9053254437869820165.5076923076922813.4201183431952730228.1999999999999634.7218934911242549290.892307692307793.3017751479289950353.584615384615424.07100591715975264416.2769230769231119.928994082840237All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2013 Dave 3-4 9th 104.25 0.578 22.07 7-6 5th 4th place
1 986 2024 Pat 5-2 2nd 107.17 0.579 22.40 6-8 10th
2 972 2014 Matt 4-3 6th 103.69 0.566 21.87 7-6 6th 4th place
3 970 2022 Dave 3-4 9th 102.90 0.588 19.11 8-6 3rd 3rd place
4 969 2011 Dave 3-4 9th 107.75 0.575 17.28 3-10 12th
5 968 2016 Matt 3-4 8th 108.60 0.580 27.54 5-8 10th
6 965 2024 Ed 4-3 6th 104.53 0.567 16.93 6-8 9th
7 962 2021 Kevin 5-2 4th 111.59 0.582 21.04 5-9 9th
8 961 2018 Rob 6-1 2nd 110.30 0.577 16.11 8-5 5th 5th place
9 959 2009 Rabbit 6-1 2nd 103.24 0.588 13.61 10-3 1st 2nd place
10 959 2012 Ed 5-2 4th 106.44 0.568 27.23 8-5 4th 4th place