2024 Pat (through 7 weeks)

5-2 (0.714), 750.20 points (107.17 average)

2nd place

4.04 expected wins (0.578)

54-37 all-play record (0.593)

-11.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 90.24 75.23 Derrek 15.01
2 W 82.85 72.58 Kevin 10.27
3 L 128.26 134.07 Ed -5.81
4 W 108.54 87.50 Pulley 21.04
5 L 81.26 126.18 Mike R. -44.92
6 W 145.60 81.08 Babel 64.52 Team Blangums
7 W 113.45 102.58 Rabbit 10.87
8 Derrek
9 Matt
10 Dave
11 Rob
12 Richie
13 Scott
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012345670.0%58.38461538461538141.2307692307692300.0%146.84615384615384141.2307692307692310.0%235.30769230769232141.2307692307692320.0%323.7692307692308141.2307692307692330.0%412.2307692307692141.23076923076923425.0%500.692307692307795.4007568804076650.0%589.1538461538461141.2307692307692360.0%677.6153846153845141.2307692307692370.0%58.38461538461538141.2198636884917300.5%146.84615384615384140.3471322961042315.8%235.30769230769232130.58344277176786223.3%323.769230769230898.67503636070425337.8%412.230769230769272.040.0%500.692307692307749.57074453004608556.9%589.1538461538461128.6151064056138660.7%677.6153846153845140.016285327740557Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415111th109.6307692307692230.69822485207128th207.5153846153846163.2426035502958536th305.4118.2721893491124149th403.28461538461534185.727810650887655th501.1692307692307595.786982248520764th599.05384615384673.3017751479289975th11.74615384615384595.786982248520714th109.630769230769273.3017751479289925th207.515384615384695.786982248520733rd305.450.81656804733728447th403.28461538461534140.7573964497041554th501.1692307692307573.3017751479289962nd599.05384615384628.33136094674557677th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415111th109.6307692307692230.69822485207127th207.5153846153846140.7573964497041534th305.473.3017751479289948th403.28461538461534163.2426035502958554th501.1692307692307573.3017751479289964th599.05384615384673.301775147928997Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Derrick Henry RB
2.12 26 Kenneth Walker III RB
3.03 31 Malik Nabers WR
4.12 54 Aaron Jones RB
5.03 59 Chris Olave K WR
6.12 82 Courtland Sutton WR
7.03 87 Caleb Williams QB
8.12 110 Dalton Kincaid K TE
9.03 115 Jakobi Meyers WR
10.12 138 Tua Tagovailoa QB
11.03 143 Cole Kmet TE
12.12 166 Ray Davis RB
13.03 171 Braelon Allen RB
14.12 194 Jermaine Burton WR
15.03 199 Jake Elliott K
16.12 222 Houston DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.35656.12307692307693116.5848739887453410.221143.81538461538463125.9019831232807720.000231.5076923076923141.2307692307692330.660319.295.507815937338740.000406.89230769230767141.2307692307692350.985494.584615384615473.0125228228449960.737582.27692307692390.2389546387443370.00056.1230769230769391.9389787467214610.000143.81538461538463110.5731970157923220.887231.507692307692379.8431634601192930.000319.249.784862643908240.198406.89230769230767127.5158376998247450.000494.58461538461544.79427641492074560.000582.27692307692339.247140046719457Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567757.7054945054945103.9526627218934912147.87032967032965130.5798816568047320238.0351648351648141.2307692307692339328.1999999999999393.3017751479289940418.36483516483514141.23076923076923513508.5296703296703572.0610598.694505494505487.976331360946747057.705494505494566.6745562130177510147.87032967032965119.92899408284023212238.035164835164877.3254437869822530328.1999999999999345.37278106508874541418.36483516483514135.9053254437869850508.529670329670352.769230769230773660598.694505494505434.721893491124257All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2024 Pat 5-2 2nd 107.17 0.578 22.40 6-8 10th
1 987 2013 Dave 3-4 9th 104.25 0.578 22.07 7-6 5th 4th place
2 980 2011 Dave 3-4 9th 107.75 0.574 17.28 3-10 12th
3 979 2016 Matt 3-4 8th 108.60 0.580 27.54 5-8 10th
4 973 2014 Matt 4-3 6th 103.69 0.572 21.87 7-6 6th 4th place
5 971 2021 Kevin 5-2 4th 111.59 0.582 21.04 5-9 9th
6 970 2022 Dave 3-4 9th 102.90 0.581 19.11 8-6 3rd 3rd place
7 967 2012 Ed 5-2 4th 106.44 0.568 27.23 8-5 4th 4th place
8 960 2018 Rob 6-1 2nd 110.30 0.570 16.11 8-5 5th 5th place
9 954 2025 Mike R. 3-4 8th 109.74 0.590 28.24
10 954 2009 Rob 4-3 3rd 101.45 0.572 16.81 8-5 3rd 4th place