2011 Dave (through 7 weeks)

3-4 (0.429), 754.26 points (107.75 average)

9th place

4.02 expected wins (0.574)

40-37 all-play record (0.519)

-8.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 95.82 71.61 Pulley 24.21
2 L 113.62 145.29 Mike R. -31.67
3 L 81.20 113.31 Kevin -32.11
4 L 114.74 119.40 Rabbit -4.66
5 L 92.26 108.41 Derrek -16.15
6 W 134.36 70.39 Pat 63.97 Team Blangums
7 W 122.26 70.65 Rob 51.61
8 Babel
9 Allen
10 Ed
11 Matt
12 Rob
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012345670.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692300.0%106.9423076923077141.2307692307692310.0%171.3653846153846141.23076923076923223.0%235.7884615384615296.4030955120703130.0%300.2115384615385141.2307692307692340.0%364.6346153846155141.2307692307692350.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.2307692307692370.1%42.519230769230774141.1258385393293201.0%106.9423076923077139.217351501340117.2%171.3653846153846127.2427499242455620.0%235.7884615384615251.57542179337139335.5%300.211538461538571.99999999999999425.0%364.634615384615592.4716940569915257.6%429.0576923076924126.457547539313660.8%493.4807692307693139.755928011425857Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845191.860139860139918th109.6307692307692191.8601398601399212th207.5153846153846298.1538461538461339th305.4218.43356643356645410th403.28461538461534245.00699300699356th501.16923076923075138.7132867132867563rd599.05384615384658.99300699300701576th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867517th109.6307692307692165.2867132867133210th207.5153846153846245.006993006993311th305.4271.5804195804196411th403.28461538461534271.5804195804196510th501.16923076923075245.00699300699369th599.053846153846218.4335664335664578th11.746153846153845191.860139860139918th109.6307692307692191.8601398601399210th207.5153846153846245.00699300699339th305.4218.43356643356645410th403.28461538461534245.00699300699356th501.16923076923075138.7132867132867564th599.05384615384685.566433566433577Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Michael Turner RB
2.07 19 Ahmad Bradshaw RB
3.06 30 Antonio Gates TE
4.07 43 Tim Hightower RB
5.06 54 Jeremy Maclin K WR
6.07 67 Josh Freeman QB
7.06 78 Plaxico Burress WR
8.07 91 Brandon Jacobs RB
9.06 102 Green Bay DEF
10.07 115 Mike Williams K WR
11.06 126 Devin Hester WR
12.07 139 Brent Celek TE
13.06 150 Ryan Torain RB
14.07 163 Stephen Gostkowski K
15.06 174 Darren Sproles RB
16.07 187 Cam Newton QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.38938.54065934065934114.3332593016147610.00098.76043956043955141.2307692307692320.000158.98021978021976141.2307692307692330.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692340.000279.4197802197802141.2307692307692350.890339.639560439560479.5867022394532960.824399.859340659340684.1798394854307370.00038.5406593406593487.435749372460310.70898.7604395604395592.206595854512520.162158.98021978021976130.0173875800156230.727219.1999999999999690.9283012146597740.318279.4197802197802119.2106480412186250.000339.639560439560417.9426352481373560.000399.859340659340627.1289097400922267Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234567440.12307692307692116.0559440559440510102.8153846153846141.2307692307692320165.50769230769228141.2307692307692330228.19999999999996141.2307692307692340290.8923076923077141.23076923076923511353.584615384615472.0610416.276923076923178.29370629370637040.1230769230769290.881118881118915102.8153846153846109.7622377622377621165.50769230769228134.9370629370629336228.19999999999996103.4685314685314743290.8923076923077122.3496503496503550353.58461538461542.769230769230773660416.276923076923115.356643356643367All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Dave 3-4 9th 107.75 0.574 17.28 3-10 12th
1 980 2018 Rob 6-1 2nd 110.30 0.570 16.11 8-5 5th 5th place
2 977 2024 Pat 5-2 2nd 107.17 0.579 22.40 6-8 10th
3 970 2014 Matt 4-3 6th 103.69 0.572 21.87 7-6 6th 4th place
4 970 2009 Rob 4-3 3rd 101.45 0.572 16.81 8-5 3rd 4th place
5 969 2013 Dave 3-4 9th 104.25 0.578 22.07 7-6 5th 4th place
6 968 2024 Ed 4-3 6th 104.53 0.565 16.93 6-8 9th
7 966 2011 Babel 4-3 3rd 105.72 0.566 12.10 7-6 7th
8 964 2016 Matt 3-4 8th 108.60 0.580 27.54 5-8 10th
9 963 2022 Dave 3-4 9th 102.90 0.581 19.11 8-6 3rd 3rd place
10 962 2012 Ed 5-2 4th 106.44 0.568 27.23 8-5 4th 4th place