2017 Matt (through 10 weeks)

4-6 (0.400), 856.52 points

11th place

3.83 expected wins (0.383)

48-82 all-play record (0.369)

-11.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 77.11 95.74 Kevin -18.63
2 L 78.20 93.62 Rob -15.42
3 L 73.28 118.90 Richie -45.62
4 W 118.61 86.95 Pulley 31.66
5 W 94.49 68.41 Allen 26.08
6 W 92.25 89.55 Babel 2.70
7 L 65.24 85.16 Ed -19.92 Slapped Heartbeat
8 L 83.86 104.24 Derrek -20.38
9 L 66.68 92.41 Rabbit -25.73
10 W 106.80 65.23 Schertz 41.57
11 Dave
12 Pat
13 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.23076923076923328.9%221.1468531468531572.040.0%268.0141.2307692307692350.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.2%33.73426573426574140.7262769299432802.9%80.5874125874126134.35398776013153112.5%127.44055944055944111.18220209072288225.6%174.2937062937062679.8047200263939730.0%221.146853146853152.7692307692307736419.4%268.094.6802013500007658.1%314.8531468531468121.8798582408775262.1%361.7062937062937136.2394914247318870.3%408.5594405594406140.457093279108580.0%455.41258741258747141.1650970430382690.0%502.2657342657343141.2284332267820410Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek11th11.746153846153845230.698224852071112th77.0025641025641253.18343195266272214th142.2589743589743298.1538461538461339th207.5153846153846185.727810650887649th272.77179487179484185.727810650887659th338.0282051282051185.7278106508876611th403.28461538461534230.698224852071712th468.5410256410256253.18343195266272812th533.7974358974359253.18343195266272913th599.053846153846275.66863905325441012th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th77.0025641025641275.6686390532544214th142.2589743589743298.15384615384613312th207.5153846153846253.1834319526627248th272.77179487179484163.2426035502958558th338.0282051282051163.24260355029585610th403.28461538461534208.2130177514793711th468.5410256410256230.698224852071812th533.7974358974359253.18343195266272911th599.053846153846230.6982248520711011th11.746153846153845230.698224852071112th77.0025641025641253.18343195266272213th142.2589743589743275.668639053254439th207.5153846153846185.727810650887648th272.77179487179484163.2426035502958558th338.0282051282051163.24260355029585611th403.28461538461534230.698224852071712th468.5410256410256253.18343195266272812th533.7974358974359253.18343195266272913th599.053846153846275.668639053254410Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.05 5 Jordy Nelson WR
2.10 24 Marshawn Lynch RB
3.05 33 Allen Robinson II WR
4.10 52 Cam Newton QB
5.05 61 Tyler Eifert TE
6.10 80 Doug Martin RB
7.05 89 Michael Thomas K WR
8.10 108 Tevin Coleman K RB
9.05 117 Kenny Britt WR
10.10 136 Andy Dalton QB
11.05 145 Taylor Gabriel WR
12.10 164 Baltimore DEF
13.05 173 Evan Engram TE
14.10 192 Breshad Perriman WR
15.05 201 Devontae Booker RB
16.10 220 Adam Vinatieri K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.00029.507692307692306141.2307692307692310.00071.66153846153847141.2307692307692320.000113.8153846153846141.2307692307692330.884155.9692307692307380.015177534218940.499198.12307692307692106.6869791403606250.458240.27692307692305109.5507601394009860.000282.4307692307692141.2307692307692370.000324.58461538461535141.2307692307692380.000366.73846153846154141.2307692307692390.712408.8923076923076791.95896257386737100.23929.507692307692306124.6878882771857210.25171.66153846153847123.8469367139754520.194113.8153846153846127.8016819031264230.000155.9692307692307318.79958583766858740.000198.1230769230769272.1431890499520150.000240.2769230769230577.8707510480327360.128282.4307692307692132.3473660285873270.328324.58461538461535118.5398504974998780.138366.73846153846154131.6427849891408690.000408.8923076923076742.6871559169655110Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910030.719230769230762141.230769230769231074.60384615384615141.2307692307692320118.48846153846154141.23076923076923312162.373076923076977.3254437869822548206.257692307692398.6272189349112455250.14230769230767114.6035502958579960294.026923076923141.2307692307692370337.9115384615384141.2307692307692380381.79615384615386141.2307692307692399425.680769230769293.3017751479289910330.719230769230762125.254437869822481374.60384615384615125.2544378698224824118.48846153846154119.9289940828402330162.373076923076913.4201183431952740206.257692307692356.0236686390532450250.1423076923076787.9763313609467460294.026923076923141.2307692307692373337.9115384615384125.2544378698224881381.79615384615386135.9053254437869890425.680769230769245.37278106508874510All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2017 Matt 4-6 11th 85.65 0.383 16.48 5-8 11th
1 988 2017 Allen 4-6 10th 85.94 0.386 14.20 5-8 12th
2 980 2013 Pat 4-6 12th 88.48 0.387 16.62 5-8 12th
3 961 2008 Matt 1-9 12th 83.76 0.368 15.79 3-10 12th
4 956 2010 Kevin 2-8 12th 88.70 0.398 15.78 5-8 10th
5 954 2023 Scott 5-5 9th 90.92 0.375 20.74 8-6 7th
6 954 2014 Schertz 5-5 8th 91.76 0.392 14.69 5-8 13th
7 954 2014 Pat 4-6 10th 89.91 0.394 19.86 5-8 11th
8 952 2013 Richie 5-5 8th 87.15 0.367 21.82 6-7 10th
9 949 2015 Ed 3-7 11th 89.29 0.395 22.41 4-9 12th
10 949 2014 Allen 4-6 11th 88.69 0.364 16.03 6-7 10th