2021 Matt (through 6 weeks)

4-2 (0.667), 638.21 points

6th place

2.59 expected wins (0.432)

34-44 all-play record (0.436)

-35.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 81.96 102.07 Kevin -20.11
2 W 114.85 106.49 Pulley 8.36
3 W 100.35 80.16 Ed 20.19
4 L 78.00 108.67 Babel -30.67
5 W 172.33 87.89 Rob 84.44 Team Blangums
6 W 90.72 46.10 Scott 44.62
7 Derrek
8 Kevin
9 Pat
10 Richie
11 Schertz
12 Dave
13 Rabbit
14 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%01234560.0%47.120879120879124141.2307692307692300.0%120.74725274725276141.2307692307692310.0%194.3736263736264141.2307692307692320.0%268.0141.23076923076923314.4%341.6263736263736113.3741916997564440.0%415.2527472527472141.2307692307692350.0%488.8791208791208141.2307692307692360.8%47.120879120879124139.76793150645665011.4%120.74725274725276119.10967156632934135.1%194.373626373626473.3710554093859235.8%268.072.030.0%341.626373626373685.5176141687436642.3%415.2527472527472136.776472686792450.1%488.8791208791208140.994593394524836Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456Rank by WeekWeek13th11.746153846153845275.668639053254418th129.2076923076923163.2426035502958527th246.66923076923075140.75739644970415311th364.1307692307692230.69822485207148th481.59230769230766163.24260355029585510th599.053846153846208.2130177514793613th11.746153846153845275.668639053254417th129.2076923076923140.7573964497041527th246.66923076923075140.7573964497041537th364.1307692307692140.7573964497041547th481.59230769230766140.7573964497041556th599.053846153846118.27218934911241613th11.746153846153845275.668639053254418th129.2076923076923163.2426035502958528th246.66923076923075163.24260355029585311th364.1307692307692230.69822485207148th481.59230769230766163.2426035502958558th599.053846153846163.242603550295856Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
2

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.13 13 Dalvin Cook K RB
2.02 16 DeAndre Hopkins WR
3.13 41 Mark Andrews TE
4.02 44 Lamar Jackson K QB
5.13 69 Mike Williams WR
6.02 72 Michael Gallup WR
7.13 97 Michael Pittman, Jr. WR
8.02 100 Leonard Fournette RB
9.13 125 Irv Smith, Jr. TE
10.02 128 Marquez Callaway WR
11.13 153 Matt Ryan QB
12.02 156 Amon-Ra St. Brown WR
13.13 181 James White RB
14.02 184 San Francisco DEF
15.13 209 Jason Myers K
16.02 212 Joshua Palmer WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234560.00043.55897435897436141.2307692307692310.690113.815384615384693.4675344353610920.446184.07179487179485110.3774793820755630.000254.32820512820513141.2307692307692340.919324.5846153846153577.5803684168753250.284394.8410256410256121.57122654102360.15243.55897435897436130.7194158435130210.000113.815384615384645.7042996399529520.000184.0717948717948579.5241895333819130.100254.32820512820513134.287777881999840.000324.5846153846153513.92996760298140750.000394.8410256410256101.911683851276766Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456045.347435897435886141.23076923076923110118.4884615384615287.9763313609467426191.62948717948714109.2781065088757430264.7705128205128141.23076923076923413337.911538461538472.052411.05256410256413130.579881656804736145.347435897435886135.9053254437869810118.4884615384615234.7218934911242520191.6294871794871477.3254437869822532264.7705128205128130.5798816568047340337.91153846153842.769230769230773650411.05256410256413119.928994082840236All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Matt 4-2 6th 106.37 0.432 31.90 11-3 2nd 4th place
1 973 2019 Kevin 3-3 7th 105.16 0.427 37.78 6-7 8th
2 950 2023 Schertz 4-2 5th 97.13 0.429 28.59 6-8 9th
3 939 2018 Richie 2-4 10th 101.74 0.422 20.22 5-8 11th
4 937 2021 Pat 1-5 12th 98.80 0.430 17.09 3-11 12th
5 936 2019 Ed 3-3 8th 97.11 0.427 22.90 5-8 11th
6 926 2020 Matt 3-3 8th 101.14 0.447 20.15 8-5 2nd 2nd place
7 925 2020 Babel 4-2 4th 98.90 0.431 9.87 8-5 3rd 3rd place
8 925 2014 Kevin 2-4 11th 93.32 0.432 20.46 4-9 14th
9 924 2014 Mike R. 2-4 10th 96.03 0.444 26.63 6-7 7th
10 923 2020 Pat 3-3 10th 98.52 0.423 18.11 5-8 12th