2019 Kevin (through 6 weeks)

3-3 (0.500), 630.96 points

7th place

2.56 expected wins (0.427)

36-42 all-play record (0.462)

+16.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 121.30 111.03 Derrek 10.27
2 L 75.97 87.25 Pat -11.28
3 W 181.71 119.30 Scott 62.41 Team Blangums
4 L 93.76 119.19 Matt -25.43
5 W 86.28 83.38 Rob 2.90
6 L 71.94 121.13 Rabbit -49.19
7 Ed
8 Mike R.
9 Richie
10 Schertz
11 Babel
12 Pulley
13 Dave

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%01234560.0%47.120879120879124141.2307692307692300.0%120.74725274725276141.2307692307692310.0%194.3736263736264141.23076923076923237.1%268.076.6657179206914630.0%341.6263736263736141.2307692307692340.0%415.2527472527472141.2307692307692350.0%488.8791208791208141.2307692307692360.3%47.120879120879124140.6267313072384609.1%120.74725274725276125.30733515754395139.8%194.373626373626472.020.0%268.012.1006666106137312.2%341.6263736263736120.0570694344571941.4%415.2527472527472138.7063079437456850.1%488.8791208791208141.136069671837336Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456Rank by WeekWeek5th11.74615384615384595.786982248520719th129.2076923076923185.727810650887624th246.6692307692307573.3017751479289934th364.130769230769273.3017751479289948th481.59230769230766163.24260355029585510th599.053846153846208.213017751479365th11.74615384615384595.786982248520719th129.2076923076923185.727810650887623rd246.6692307692307550.81656804733728435th364.130769230769295.786982248520744th481.5923076923076673.3017751479289957th599.053846153846140.7573964497041565th11.74615384615384595.786982248520719th129.2076923076923185.727810650887623rd246.6692307692307550.81656804733728434th364.130769230769273.3017751479289944th481.5923076923076673.3017751479289957th599.053846153846140.757396449704156Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.12 12 Mike Evans WR
2.03 17 Keenan Allen WR
3.12 40 Matt Ryan QB
4.03 45 Hunter Henry TE
5.12 68 Marvin Jones, Jr. WR
6.03 73 Marquez Valdes-Scantling WR
7.12 96 Matt Breida RB
8.03 101 Marlon Mack K RB
9.12 124 Jamison Crowder WR
10.03 129 Kyle Rudolph TE
11.12 152 Josh Allen QB
12.03 157 Alvin Kamara K RB
13.12 180 Stephen Gostkowski K
14.03 185 Mike Davis RB
15.12 208 Marquise Goodwin WR
16.03 213 Houston DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234560.80243.5589743589743685.7232309712611710.000113.8153846153846141.2307692307692320.955184.0717948717948575.1204227486236730.000254.32820512820513141.2307692307692340.254324.58461538461535123.6569649982322350.000394.8410256410256141.2307692307692360.00043.5589743589743630.2156927117531210.110113.8153846153846133.600649022677920.000184.071794871794859.01007626647810930.372254.32820512820513115.4520051517753440.000324.58461538461535106.0831607656952350.068394.8410256410256136.509886862972886Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456945.34743589743588693.3017751479289910118.48846153846152141.23076923076923213191.6294871794871472.030264.7705128205128141.2307692307692343337.9115384615384125.2544378698224850411.05256410256413141.230769230769236045.34743589743588645.37278106508874513118.48846153846152125.2544378698224820191.629487179487142.769230769230773636264.7705128205128109.2781065088757440337.9115384615384109.2781065088757452411.05256410256413130.579881656804736All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2019 Kevin 3-3 7th 105.16 0.427 37.78 6-7 8th
1 973 2021 Matt 4-2 6th 106.37 0.432 31.90 11-3 2nd 4th place
2 946 2023 Schertz 4-2 5th 97.13 0.429 28.59 6-8 9th
3 942 2018 Richie 2-4 10th 101.74 0.422 20.22 5-8 11th
4 937 2019 Ed 3-3 8th 97.11 0.427 22.90 5-8 11th
5 926 2020 Pat 3-3 10th 98.52 0.423 18.11 5-8 12th
6 926 2021 Pat 1-5 12th 98.80 0.430 17.09 3-11 12th
7 910 2020 Babel 4-2 4th 98.90 0.431 9.87 8-5 3rd 3rd place
8 909 2020 Matt 3-3 8th 101.14 0.447 20.15 8-5 2nd 2nd place
9 908 2014 Kevin 2-4 11th 93.32 0.432 20.46 4-9 14th
10 908 2016 Allen 3-3 9th 95.62 0.414 23.17 4-9 13th