2016 Allen (through 5 weeks)

3-2 (0.600), 498.13 points (99.63 average)

8th place

2.29 expected wins (0.459)

33-32 all-play record (0.508)

-10.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 72.19 85.25 Richie -13.06 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 106.42 91.85 Dave 14.57
3 W 136.95 98.49 Mike R. 38.46 Team Blangums
4 W 105.54 93.80 Pulley 11.74
5 L 77.03 129.47 Schertz -52.44
6 Babel
7 Pat
8 Ed
9 Matt
10 Rob
11 Kevin
12 Rabbit
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%0123450.0%73.12820512820512141.2307692307692300.0%191.07692307692304141.2307692307692310.0%309.02564102564105141.23076923076923234.2%426.97435897435983.8339761891000730.0%544.9230769230769141.2307692307692340.0%662.8717948717949141.2307692307692351.3%73.12820512820512138.97324271823123016.2%191.07692307692304114.04671117925528141.3%309.0256410256410572.020.0%426.97435897435926.43718314743091536.6%544.9230769230769130.227527438085440.3%662.8717948717949140.670471754513765Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345Rank by WeekWeek14th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613112th158.5730769230769253.1834319526627228th305.4163.2426035502958537th452.226923076923140.7573964497041549th599.053846153846185.7278106508876514th11.746153846153845298.1538461538461319th158.5730769230769185.727810650887626th305.4118.2721893491124132nd452.22692307692328.33136094674557648th599.053846153846163.24260355029585514th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613112th158.5730769230769253.1834319526627228th305.4163.2426035502958537th452.226923076923140.7573964497041549th599.053846153846185.72781065088765Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Ezekiel Elliott RB
2.13 27 Russell Wilson K QB
3.02 30 Eric Decker WR
4.13 55 Rashad Jennings RB
5.02 58 Tyler Lockett WR
6.13 83 Isaiah Crowell RB
7.02 86 Marvin Jones, Jr. WR
8.13 111 DeAndre Washington RB
9.02 114 Jordan Reed K TE
10.13 139 Mohamed Sanu WR
11.02 142 Kansas City DEF
12.13 167 Wendell Smallwood RB
13.02 170 Jaelen Strong WR
14.13 195 Paul Perkins RB
15.02 198 Brock Osweiler QB
16.13 223 Josh Brown K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123450.00073.66153846153847141.2307692307692310.599196.4307692307692499.7574459533072420.899319.2000000000000578.9827480929279230.582441.96923076923076100.9711401882872540.000564.7384615384616141.2307692307692350.07873.66153846153847135.837513988219310.000196.4307692307692458.2841226758452720.000319.2000000000000516.7347269550866330.000441.9692307692307660.7115111458052640.137564.7384615384616131.747881304954435Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345075.73846153846152141.2307692307692319201.9692307692307693.30177514792899213328.272.038454.4307692307691698.6272189349112440580.6615384615385141.230769230769235075.73846153846152141.2307692307692310201.9692307692307645.37278106508874520328.22.769230769230773630454.4307692307691656.0236686390532443580.6615384615385125.254437869822485All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Allen 3-2 8th 99.63 0.459 23.40 4-9 13th
1 976 2013 Richie 4-1 2nd 98.23 0.454 19.35 6-7 10th
2 976 2018 Richie 2-3 10th 102.87 0.455 21.98 5-8 11th
3 976 2021 Pat 1-4 10th 100.30 0.465 18.35 3-11 12th
4 973 2025 Matt 2-3 10th 97.60 0.461 16.16
5 972 2025 Schertz 3-2 6th 98.55 0.457 13.26
6 969 2011 Matt 2-3 9th 100.26 0.453 15.73 7-6 6th 2nd place
7 965 2025 Ed 1-4 14th 98.55 0.456 10.65
8 964 2022 Rabbit 3-2 7th 96.24 0.467 27.08 8-6 5th 5th place
9 963 2024 Pat 3-2 7th 98.23 0.469 17.87 6-8 10th
10 961 2018 Babel 2-3 11th 100.68 0.446 18.74 4-9 12th