2016 Allen (through 5 weeks)

3-2 (0.600), 498.13 points

8th place

2.25 expected wins (0.451)

33-32 all-play record (0.508)

-10.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 72.19 85.25 Richie -13.06 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 106.42 91.85 Dave 14.57
3 W 136.95 98.49 Mike R. 38.46 Team Blangums
4 W 105.54 93.80 Pulley 11.74
5 L 77.03 129.47 Schertz -52.44
6 Babel
7 Pat
8 Ed
9 Matt
10 Rob
11 Kevin
12 Rabbit
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%0123450.0%53.25641025641026141.2307692307692300.0%139.15384615384616141.2307692307692310.0%225.05128205128204141.23076923076923233.3%310.9487179487179686.6148186311498230.0%396.84615384615387141.2307692307692340.0%482.7435897435898141.2307692307692351.4%53.25641025641026138.8866493968672017.2%139.15384615384616113.07326731597294142.2%225.0512820512820472.020.0%310.9487179487179631.99886803153040735.7%396.84615384615387131.861536879333140.3%482.7435897435898140.808344903980925Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345Rank by WeekWeek14th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613112th158.5730769230769253.1834319526627229th305.4185.727810650887637th452.226923076923140.7573964497041549th599.053846153846185.7278106508876514th11.746153846153845298.1538461538461319th158.5730769230769185.727810650887626th305.4118.2721893491124132nd452.22692307692328.33136094674557648th599.053846153846163.24260355029585514th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613112th158.5730769230769253.1834319526627228th305.4163.2426035502958537th452.226923076923140.7573964497041549th599.053846153846185.72781065088765Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Ezekiel Elliott RB
2.13 27 Russell Wilson K QB
3.02 30 Eric Decker WR
4.13 55 Rashad Jennings RB
5.02 58 Tyler Lockett WR
6.13 83 Isaiah Crowell RB
7.02 86 Marvin Jones, Jr. WR
8.13 111 DeAndre Washington RB
9.02 114 Jordan Reed K TE
10.13 139 Mohamed Sanu WR
11.02 142 Kansas City DEF
12.13 167 Wendell Smallwood RB
13.02 170 Jaelen Strong WR
14.13 195 Paul Perkins RB
15.02 198 Brock Osweiler QB
16.13 223 Josh Brown K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123450.00050.58461538461538141.2307692307692310.589134.8923076923077100.4457548361028420.900219.278.910576291731930.574303.50769230769225101.5026263952724940.000387.8153846153846141.2307692307692350.06950.58461538461538136.4362088994393510.000134.892307692307759.66074044143644520.000219.216.59038335269458730.000303.5076923076922561.77448355977574640.122387.8153846153846132.776933178443365Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345052.661538461538456141.2307692307692319140.4307692307692293.30177514792899213228.2000000000000272.038315.969230769230798.6272189349112440403.7384615384615141.230769230769235052.661538461538456141.2307692307692310140.4307692307692245.37278106508874520228.200000000000022.769230769230773630315.969230769230756.0236686390532443403.7384615384615125.254437869822485All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Allen 3-2 8th 99.63 0.451 23.40 4-9 13th
1 980 2018 Babel 2-3 11th 100.68 0.448 18.74 4-9 12th
2 977 2011 Matt 2-3 9th 100.26 0.453 15.73 7-6 6th 2nd place
3 976 2018 Richie 2-3 10th 102.87 0.455 21.98 5-8 11th
4 975 2013 Richie 4-1 2nd 98.23 0.445 19.35 6-7 10th
5 969 2018 Rabbit 2-3 9th 102.95 0.444 21.52 7-6 7th
6 964 2023 Ed 3-2 7th 97.13 0.446 15.74 11-3 1st 2nd place
7 962 2019 Rob 3-2 8th 97.80 0.446 13.14 5-8 13th
8 957 2021 Pat 1-4 10th 100.30 0.466 18.35 3-11 12th
9 955 2015 Schertz 3-2 5th 93.20 0.454 16.95 9-4 2nd 2nd place
10 952 2009 Pat 2-3 11th 93.31 0.454 14.72 6-7 8th