2018 Rob (through 12 weeks)

8-4 (0.667), 1,246.01 points (103.83 average)

5th place

5.81 expected wins (0.484)

78-78 all-play record (0.500)

-15.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 103.70 99.69 Babel 4.01
2 W 132.39 95.28 Ed 37.11
3 W 114.48 73.75 Richie 40.73
4 W 114.02 106.41 Matt 7.61
5 W 120.49 102.15 Scott 18.34
6 W 110.61 104.47 Pat 6.14
7 L 76.38 86.22 Dave -9.84 Slapped Heartbeat
8 W 115.68 113.73 Mike R. 1.95
9 L 70.66 140.11 Schertz -69.45
10 L 106.52 121.04 Rabbit -14.52
11 L 60.07 75.19 Derrek -15.12 Slapped Heartbeat
12 W 121.01 97.44 Kevin 23.57
13 Pulley

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.2307692307692340.0%228.35502958579883141.2307692307692350.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692379.9%347.28994082840245116.1346468857680680.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.216222083881300.1%69.77514792899409140.9554341330412510.9%109.42011834319527138.9906116434548324.1%149.06508875739644130.9035253833506311.8%188.71005917159763111.40157962284137422.2%228.3550295857988385.0661011821124527.3%268.072.00000000000001621.4%307.6449704142011786.9354899171789170.0%347.2899408284024591.038524540766982.2%386.93491124260356135.5456379838517590.1%426.5798816568048140.8899815944907100.0%466.2248520710059141.22719035782515110.0%505.8698224852071141.2307692307692312Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek5th11.74615384615384595.786982248520713rd65.1377622377622350.81656804733728422nd118.5293706293706228.33136094674557634th171.9209790209790273.3017751479289942nd225.312587412587428.33136094674557652nd278.704195804195828.33136094674557666th332.09580419580413118.2721893491124176th385.4874125874125118.2721893491124187th438.87902097902094140.7573964497041597th492.27062937062936140.75739644970415109th545.6622377622377185.7278106508876119th599.053846153846185.7278106508876125th11.74615384615384595.786982248520713rd65.1377622377622350.81656804733728422nd118.5293706293706228.33136094674557631st171.920979020979025.84615384615381141st225.31258741258745.84615384615381151st278.70419580419585.84615384615381162nd332.0958041958041328.33136094674557671st385.48741258741255.84615384615381183rd438.8790209790209450.81656804733728495th492.2706293706293695.7869822485207105th545.662237762237795.7869822485207115th599.05384615384695.7869822485207125th11.74615384615384595.786982248520713rd65.1377622377622350.81656804733728423rd118.5293706293706250.81656804733728435th171.9209790209790295.786982248520742nd225.312587412587428.33136094674557654th278.704195804195873.3017751479289967th332.09580419580413140.7573964497041576th385.4874125874125118.2721893491124188th438.87902097902094163.2426035502958597th492.27062937062936140.757396449704151011th545.6622377622377230.6982248520711110th599.053846153846208.213017751479312Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
6
10
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 A.J. Green WR
2.05 19 Tyreek Hill WR
3.10 38 Jay Ajayi RB
4.05 47 Mark Ingram II RB
5.10 66 Kelvin Benjamin WR
6.05 75 Zach Ertz K TE
7.10 94 C.J. Anderson RB
8.05 103 Calvin Ridley WR
9.10 122 Cameron Meredith WR
10.05 131 Deshaun Watson K QB
11.10 150 Matt Breida RB
12.05 159 Nyheim Hines RB
13.10 178 Blake Bortles QB
14.05 187 Stephen Gostkowski K
15.10 206 Dede Westbrook WR
16.05 215 New Orleans DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.47125.994871794871795103.1813630212411810.82661.1230769230769279.8712301132970920.64296.2512820512820391.973585623824530.631131.3794871794871792.6359141073068640.723166.507692307692386.6357208433222250.585201.6358974358974595.7069661142589960.000236.76410256410256134.1024608852270.656271.8923076923076791.0420026380112480.000307.0205128205128134.1024608852290.000342.14871794871794134.10246088522100.000377.2769230769231134.10246088522110.728412.405128205128286.28282358110494120.00025.99487179487179572.2602651572623510.00061.1230769230769225.6399993413741820.00096.2512820512820349.84471036242898430.000131.3794871794871751.1693673293937240.000166.507692307692339.1689808014244450.000201.6358974358974557.3114713432979760.064236.76410256410256129.8698645932480570.000271.8923076923076747.98154439080245580.013307.0205128205128133.2422419922065790.526342.1487179487179499.5720369611999810-0.054377.2769230769231137.66661505799462110.000412.405128205128238.4631862769898712Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112927.06217948717948593.3017751479289911263.632692307692377.32544378698225210100.2032051282051187.9763313609467435136.77371794871794114.60355029585799410173.344230769230787.9763313609467455209.91474358974358114.6035502958579960246.4852564102564141.2307692307692379283.055769230769293.3017751479289980319.62628205128203141.2307692307692390356.19679487179485141.23076923076923100392.7673076923077141.230769230769231110429.337820512820587.9763313609467412027.06217948717948545.3727810650887451063.632692307692313.4201183431952720100.2032051282051134.7218934911242530136.7737179487179487.9763313609467440173.344230769230734.7218934911242550209.9147435897435887.9763313609467460246.4852564102564141.2307692307692370283.055769230769245.37278106508874582319.62628205128203130.5798816568047396356.19679487179485109.27810650887574100392.7673076923077141.23076923076923110429.337820512820534.7218934911242512All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2018 Rob 8-4 5th 103.83 0.484 21.54 8-5 5th 5th place
1 985 2024 Pat 6-6 7th 101.17 0.485 19.50 6-8 10th
2 979 2018 Babel 4-8 12th 106.52 0.488 20.17 4-9 12th
3 979 2011 Kevin 5-7 9th 103.00 0.489 25.73 6-7 8th
4 977 2020 Rabbit 6-6 10th 100.95 0.489 22.33 6-7 10th
5 975 2024 Schertz 5-7 9th 98.37 0.482 21.46 7-7 7th
6 972 2024 Ed 6-6 8th 100.05 0.484 15.64 6-8 9th
7 970 2018 Rabbit 7-5 6th 105.37 0.475 19.12 7-6 7th
8 969 2019 Babel 7-5 5th 100.25 0.480 17.32 8-5 5th 5th place
9 967 2023 Ed 9-3 1st 99.91 0.490 18.41 11-3 1st 2nd place
10 964 2023 Pat 5-7 10th 98.40 0.480 18.41 5-9 11th