2018 Rob (through 12 weeks)

8-4 (0.667), 1,246.01 points

5th place

5.86 expected wins (0.488)

78-78 all-play record (0.500)

-15.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 103.70 99.69 Babel 4.01
2 W 132.39 95.28 Ed 37.11
3 W 114.48 73.75 Richie 40.73
4 W 114.02 106.41 Matt 7.61
5 W 120.49 102.15 Scott 18.34
6 W 110.61 104.47 Pat 6.14
7 L 76.38 86.22 Dave -9.84 Slapped Heartbeat
8 W 115.68 113.73 Mike R. 1.95
9 L 70.66 140.11 Schertz -69.45
10 L 106.52 121.04 Rabbit -14.52
11 L 60.07 75.19 Derrek -15.12 Slapped Heartbeat
12 W 121.01 97.44 Kevin 23.57
13 Pulley

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.2307692307692340.0%228.35502958579883141.2307692307692350.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.23076923076923710.6%347.28994082840245114.5135635330414680.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.2193245925817800.1%69.77514792899409141.0072310414318510.8%109.42011834319527139.3422653265821523.6%149.06508875739644132.15600667356983310.9%188.71005917159763113.85469668924361421.5%228.3550295857988387.37919087491048527.6%268.072.00000000000001622.5%307.6449704142011784.8765590503441770.0%347.2899408284024587.796357835313782.4%386.93491124260356135.249367762722490.1%426.5798816568048140.96869030212588100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.2307692307692312Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek5th11.74615384615384595.786982248520714th65.1377622377622373.3017751479289922nd118.5293706293706228.33136094674557632nd171.9209790209790228.33136094674557642nd225.312587412587428.33136094674557652nd278.704195804195828.33136094674557666th332.09580419580413118.2721893491124175th385.487412587412595.786982248520787th438.87902097902094140.7573964497041597th492.27062937062936140.75739644970415109th545.6622377622377185.7278106508876119th599.053846153846185.7278106508876125th11.74615384615384595.786982248520713rd65.1377622377622350.81656804733728422nd118.5293706293706228.33136094674557631st171.920979020979025.84615384615381141st225.31258741258745.84615384615381151st278.70419580419585.84615384615381162nd332.0958041958041328.33136094674557671st385.48741258741255.84615384615381183rd438.8790209790209450.81656804733728495th492.2706293706293695.7869822485207105th545.662237762237795.7869822485207115th599.05384615384695.7869822485207125th11.74615384615384595.786982248520713rd65.1377622377622350.81656804733728423rd118.5293706293706250.81656804733728435th171.9209790209790295.786982248520742nd225.312587412587428.33136094674557654th278.704195804195873.3017751479289967th332.09580419580413140.7573964497041576th385.4874125874125118.2721893491124188th438.87902097902094163.2426035502958597th492.27062937062936140.757396449704151011th545.6622377622377230.6982248520711110th599.053846153846208.213017751479312Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
6
10
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 A.J. Green WR
2.05 19 Tyreek Hill WR
3.10 38 Jay Ajayi RB
4.05 47 Mark Ingram II RB
5.10 66 Kelvin Benjamin WR
6.05 75 Zach Ertz K TE
7.10 94 C.J. Anderson RB
8.05 103 Calvin Ridley WR
9.10 122 Cameron Meredith WR
10.05 131 Deshaun Watson K QB
11.10 150 Matt Breida RB
12.05 159 Nyheim Hines RB
13.10 178 Blake Bortles QB
14.05 187 Stephen Gostkowski K
15.10 206 Dede Westbrook WR
16.05 215 New Orleans DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.47825.994871794871795100.963873952811110.81761.1230769230769279.0635846166453320.65996.2512820512820389.2724235528463930.653131.3794871794871789.6536665006713340.733166.507692307692384.506886705034750.599201.6358974358974593.1695736861679660.000236.76410256410256131.798788444203570.675271.8923076923076788.2769558557479480.000307.0205128205128131.798788444203590.000342.14871794871794131.7987884442035100.000377.2769230769231131.7987884442035110.738412.405128205128284.16800408474586120.00025.99487179487179570.1289594614186910.00061.1230769230769226.32838078908716320.00096.2512820512820346.74605866148928630.000131.3794871794871747.5085445571391640.000166.507692307692337.21498496586589550.000201.6358974358974554.54035892813243460.053236.76410256410256128.3498257049023270.000271.8923076923076744.755123267292398-0.002307.0205128205128131.9292733817031390.531342.1487179487179497.5326874223866610-0.073377.2769230769231136.51477883748635110.000412.405128205128236.53721972528822412Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112927.06217948717948593.3017751479289911263.632692307692377.32544378698225210100.2032051282051187.9763313609467435136.77371794871794114.60355029585799410173.344230769230787.9763313609467455209.91474358974358114.6035502958579960246.4852564102564141.2307692307692379283.055769230769293.3017751479289980319.62628205128203141.2307692307692390356.19679487179485141.23076923076923100392.7673076923077141.230769230769231110429.337820512820587.9763313609467412027.06217948717948545.3727810650887451063.632692307692313.4201183431952720100.2032051282051134.7218934911242530136.7737179487179487.9763313609467440173.344230769230734.7218934911242550209.9147435897435887.9763313609467460246.4852564102564141.2307692307692370283.055769230769245.37278106508874582319.62628205128203130.5798816568047396356.19679487179485109.27810650887574100392.7673076923077141.23076923076923110429.337820512820534.7218934911242512All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2018 Rob 8-4 5th 103.83 0.488 21.54 8-5 5th 5th place
1 986 2020 Rabbit 6-6 10th 100.95 0.488 22.33 6-7 10th
2 986 2018 Babel 4-8 12th 106.52 0.489 20.17 4-9 12th
3 985 2024 Pat 6-6 7th 101.17 0.488 19.50 6-8 10th
4 977 2023 Ed 9-3 1st 99.91 0.488 18.41 11-3 1st 2nd place
5 976 2011 Kevin 5-7 9th 103.00 0.495 25.73 6-7 8th
6 972 2014 Mike R. 6-6 7th 97.62 0.490 21.23 6-7 7th
7 970 2024 Ed 6-6 8th 100.05 0.487 15.64 6-8 9th
8 970 2019 Babel 7-5 5th 100.25 0.485 17.32 8-5 5th 5th place
9 967 2018 Rabbit 7-5 6th 105.37 0.477 19.12 7-6 7th
10 962 2011 Ed 8-4 1st 101.41 0.499 18.33 9-4 1st 3rd place