2018 Babel (through 12 weeks)

4-8 (0.333), 1,278.23 points (106.52 average)

12th place

5.85 expected wins (0.488)

74-82 all-play record (0.474)

+10.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 99.69 103.70 Rob -4.01
2 L 91.45 109.71 Schertz -18.26
3 W 116.13 87.17 Pulley 28.96
4 L 124.69 135.93 Richie -11.24
5 W 71.44 46.68 Pat 24.76
6 L 83.98 115.97 Scott -31.99 Slapped Heartbeat
7 L 104.27 149.12 Mike R. -44.85
8 W 119.28 86.90 Dave 32.38
9 L 96.25 96.36 Rabbit -0.11
10 L 103.04 143.91 Matt -40.87
11 W 152.01 116.90 Kevin 35.11 Team Blangums
12 L 116.00 145.84 Derrek -29.84
13 Ed

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.23076923076923312.5%188.71005917159763108.1658846609963440.0%228.35502958579883141.2307692307692350.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.2188217661014800.1%69.77514792899409140.9520936294434810.9%109.42011834319527138.7480218518785824.4%149.06508875739644129.52778375362930.0%188.7100591715976375.10100009122347422.5%228.3550295857988381.92231379606058526.2%268.072.0620.0%307.6449704142011788.4675670160788279.8%347.28994082840245115.428773803055482.9%386.93491124260356133.4921368496703790.5%426.5798816568048139.93510069575984100.0%466.2248520710059141.1328592636478110.0%505.8698224852071141.2291924856964712Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415110th65.13776223776223208.213017751479329th118.52937062937062185.727810650887637th171.92097902097902140.75739644970415410th225.3125874125874208.2130177514793512th278.7041958041958253.18343195266272611th332.09580419580413230.698224852071710th385.4874125874125208.213017751479389th438.87902097902094185.727810650887699th492.27062937062936185.7278106508876108th545.6622377622377163.24260355029585118th599.053846153846163.24260355029585128th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585110th65.13776223776223208.2130177514793210th118.52937062937062208.2130177514793311th171.92097902097902230.698224852071411th225.3125874125874230.698224852071512th278.7041958041958253.18343195266272612th332.09580419580413253.18343195266272710th385.4874125874125208.2130177514793812th438.87902097902094253.18343195266272913th492.27062937062936275.66863905325441011th545.6622377622377230.6982248520711112th599.053846153846253.18343195266272127th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415110th65.13776223776223208.2130177514793210th118.52937062937062208.213017751479338th171.92097902097902163.24260355029585411th225.3125874125874230.698224852071512th278.7041958041958253.18343195266272611th332.09580419580413230.698224852071710th385.4874125874125208.2130177514793810th438.87902097902094208.2130177514793911th492.27062937062936230.698224852071108th545.6622377622377163.24260355029585118th599.053846153846163.2426035502958512Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.13 13 Mike Evans WR
2.02 16 Leonard Fournette K RB
3.13 41 Marshawn Lynch RB
4.02 44 Michael Crabtree WR
5.13 69 Delanie Walker TE
6.02 72 Kareem Hunt K RB
7.13 97 Jared Goff QB
8.02 100 D.J. Moore WR
9.13 125 Jacksonville DEF
10.02 128 Anthony Miller WR
11.13 153 Derek Carr QB
12.02 156 Charles Clay TE
13.13 181 Theo Riddick RB
14.02 184 Doug Martin RB
15.13 209 Chris Boswell K
16.02 212 Baker Mayfield QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.00025.994871794871795141.2307692307692310.00061.12307692307692141.2307692307692320.66896.2512820512820394.9815338446125830.000131.37948717948717141.2307692307692340.021166.5076923076923139.7749487734527650.000201.63589743589745141.2307692307692360.000236.76410256410256141.2307692307692370.707271.8923076923076792.2788363488992380.000307.0205128205128141.2307692307692390.000342.14871794871794141.23076923076923100.910377.276923076923178.25569805029491110.000412.4051282051282141.23076923076923120.40625.994871794871795113.0925918981551510.25961.12307692307692123.3239404808758820.00096.2512820512820348.7322984584559330.767131.3794871794871788.1543183394479540.000166.5076923076923138.3191283161362750.159201.63589743589745130.2446642166913860.483236.76410256410256107.7823771388545670.000271.8923076923076743.3269034670292480.353307.0205128205128116.7865385647484390.456342.14871794871794109.65539034697815100.000377.276923076923115.280626869820594110.665412.405128205128295.2052104864079412Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112027.062179487179485141.230769230769231063.6326923076923141.23076923076923212100.2032051282051177.3254437869822530136.77371794871794141.2307692307692341173.3442307692307135.9053254437869850209.91474358974358141.2307692307692360246.4852564102564141.23076923076923710283.055769230769287.9763313609467480319.62628205128203141.2307692307692390356.19679487179485141.230769230769231013392.767307692307772.0110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312727.062179487179485103.952662721893491263.6326923076923130.5798816568047320100.2032051282051113.4201183431952737136.77371794871794103.9526627218934940173.3442307692307130.5798816568047350209.91474358974358141.2307692307692367246.4852564102564103.9526627218934970283.055769230769234.7218934911242585319.62628205128203114.6035502958579993356.19679487179485125.25443786982248100392.76730769230772.7692307692307736117429.3378205128205103.9526627218934912All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2018 Babel 4-8 12th 106.52 0.488 20.17 4-9 12th
1 979 2018 Rob 8-4 5th 103.83 0.484 21.54 8-5 5th 5th place
2 972 2011 Kevin 5-7 9th 103.00 0.489 25.73 6-7 8th
3 971 2020 Rabbit 6-6 10th 100.95 0.489 22.33 6-7 10th
4 971 2024 Pat 6-6 7th 101.17 0.485 19.50 6-8 10th
5 968 2018 Ed 5-7 9th 106.91 0.502 18.82 6-7 9th
6 967 2018 Rabbit 7-5 6th 105.37 0.475 19.12 7-6 7th
7 966 2023 Ed 9-3 1st 99.91 0.490 18.41 11-3 1st 2nd place
8 957 2011 Ed 8-4 1st 101.41 0.497 18.33 9-4 1st 3rd place
9 957 2024 Ed 6-6 8th 100.05 0.484 15.64 6-8 9th
10 955 2014 Mike R. 6-6 7th 97.62 0.492 21.23 6-7 7th