2024 Pat (through 12 weeks)

6-6 (0.500), 1,214.07 points

7th place

5.86 expected wins (0.488)

75-81 all-play record (0.481)

-8.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 90.24 75.23 Derrek 15.01
2 W 82.85 72.58 Kevin 10.27
3 L 128.26 134.07 Ed -5.81
4 W 108.54 87.50 Pulley 21.04
5 L 81.26 126.18 Mike R. -44.92
6 W 145.60 81.08 Babel 64.52 Team Blangums
7 W 113.45 102.58 Rabbit 10.87
8 L 89.72 93.48 Derrek -3.76
9 L 78.82 79.14 Matt -0.32 Slapped Heartbeat
10 L 89.43 144.70 Dave -55.27
11 L 106.44 135.76 Rob -29.32
12 W 99.46 66.82 Richie 32.64
13 Scott
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.2307692307692340.0%228.35502958579883141.23076923076923526.4%268.072.060.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.225880682090400.1%69.77514792899409141.0558597008944210.8%109.42011834319527139.1967286180361624.2%149.06508875739644130.18970895668124312.7%188.71005917159763108.04990501352992423.0%228.3550295857988380.9949974014575250.0%268.02.7692307692307736619.7%307.6449704142011789.6154574230679279.6%347.28994082840245116.0998175526997683.0%386.93491124260356133.343557954920890.6%426.5798816568048139.70102243504851100.1%466.2248520710059141.06474782771818110.0%505.8698224852071141.2230889365135612Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415111th65.13776223776223230.69822485207128th118.52937062937062163.2426035502958536th171.92097902097902118.2721893491124149th225.3125874125874185.727810650887655th278.704195804195895.786982248520764th332.0958041958041373.3017751479289975th385.487412587412595.786982248520789th438.87902097902094185.7278106508876910th492.27062937062936208.2130177514793108th545.6622377622377163.24260355029585118th599.053846153846163.24260355029585125th11.74615384615384595.786982248520714th65.1377622377622373.3017751479289925th118.5293706293706295.786982248520733rd171.9209790209790250.81656804733728447th225.3125874125874140.7573964497041554th278.704195804195873.3017751479289962nd332.0958041958041328.33136094674557673rd385.487412587412550.81656804733728486th438.87902097902094118.2721893491124197th492.27062937062936140.75739644970415107th545.6622377622377140.75739644970415117th599.053846153846140.75739644970415127th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415111th65.13776223776223230.69822485207127th118.52937062937062140.7573964497041534th171.9209790209790273.3017751479289948th225.3125874125874163.2426035502958554th278.704195804195873.3017751479289964th332.0958041958041373.3017751479289975th385.487412587412595.786982248520787th438.87902097902094140.7573964497041597th492.27062937062936140.75739644970415106th545.6622377622377118.27218934911241117th599.053846153846140.7573964497041512Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Derrick Henry RB
2.12 26 Kenneth Walker III RB
3.03 31 Malik Nabers WR
4.12 54 Aaron Jones RB
5.03 59 Chris Olave K WR
6.12 82 Courtland Sutton WR
7.03 87 Caleb Williams QB
8.12 110 Dalton Kincaid K TE
9.03 115 Jakobi Meyers WR
10.12 138 Tua Tagovailoa QB
11.03 143 Cole Kmet TE
12.12 166 Ray Davis RB
13.03 171 Braelon Allen RB
14.12 194 Jermaine Burton WR
15.03 199 Jake Elliott K
16.12 222 Houston DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.33325.994871794871795118.1780627448716710.22161.12307692307692125.9398183890961320.00096.25128205128203141.2307692307692330.648131.3794871794871796.3587789426594640.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692350.951201.6358974358974575.3577182830301760.726236.7641025641025690.9721432539882970.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692380.000307.0205128205128141.2307692307692390.000342.14871794871794141.23076923076923100.000377.2769230769231141.23076923076923110.487412.4051282051282107.52979768097956120.00025.99487179487179595.1253562589741110.00061.12307692307692110.6488675474230420.87496.2512820512820380.6988971304467130.000131.3794871794871751.4867886545496740.196166.5076923076923127.6330857258303150.000201.635897435897459.48466733529110760.000236.7641025641025640.7135172772073770.324271.89230769230767118.7803658914952480.167307.0205128205128129.678643582287790.321342.14871794871794119.01901430808194100.613377.276923076923198.80208416009467110.000412.405128205128273.8288261311898912Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112727.062179487179485103.952662721893491263.6326923076923130.5798816568047320100.20320512820511141.2307692307692339136.7737179487179493.3017751479289940173.3442307692307141.23076923076923513209.9147435897435872.0610246.485256410256487.9763313609467470283.0557692307692141.2307692307692380319.62628205128203141.2307692307692390356.19679487179485141.23076923076923100392.7673076923077141.23076923076923116429.3378205128205109.2781065088757412027.06217948717948566.674556213017751063.6326923076923119.92899408284023212100.2032051282051177.3254437869822530136.7737179487179445.37278106508874541173.3442307692307135.9053254437869850209.914743589743582.769230769230773660246.485256410256434.7218934911242571283.0557692307692135.9053254437869880319.62628205128203141.2307692307692396356.19679487179485109.27810650887574108392.767307692307798.62721893491124110429.337820512820577.3254437869822512All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2024 Pat 6-6 7th 101.17 0.488 19.50 6-8 10th
1 992 2020 Rabbit 6-6 10th 100.95 0.488 22.33 6-7 10th
2 992 2023 Ed 9-3 1st 99.91 0.488 18.41 11-3 1st 2nd place
3 985 2018 Rob 8-4 5th 103.83 0.488 21.54 8-5 5th 5th place
4 985 2024 Ed 6-6 8th 100.05 0.487 15.64 6-8 9th
5 984 2019 Babel 7-5 5th 100.25 0.485 17.32 8-5 5th 5th place
6 980 2014 Mike R. 6-6 7th 97.62 0.490 21.23 6-7 7th
7 977 2010 Derrek 7-5 5th 96.01 0.488 18.54 7-6 5th 3rd place
8 976 2018 Babel 4-8 12th 106.52 0.489 20.17 4-9 12th
9 975 2011 Ed 8-4 1st 101.41 0.499 18.33 9-4 1st 3rd place
10 972 2020 Scott 7-5 7th 98.63 0.492 13.90 7-6 8th