2016 Pat (through 9 weeks)

5-4 (0.556), 785.56 points (87.28 average)

7th place

3.05 expected wins (0.339)

40-77 all-play record (0.342)

-39.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 120.17 99.16 Ed 21.01
2 W 99.38 83.87 Mike R. 15.51
3 L 91.12 105.43 Babel -14.31
4 L 59.62 70.22 Kevin -10.60 Slapped Heartbeat
5 L 71.45 109.18 Matt -37.73
6 L 63.16 69.91 Dave -6.75 Slapped Heartbeat
7 W 89.78 70.14 Allen 19.64
8 W 96.60 74.36 Rob 22.24
9 W 94.28 86.16 Schertz 8.12
10 Derrek
11 Pulley
12 Richie
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567890.0%36.07692307692308141.2307692307692300.0%87.61538461538464141.2307692307692310.0%139.15384615384616141.2307692307692320.0%190.6923076923077141.2307692307692330.0%242.23076923076925141.2307692307692349.5%293.7692307692308120.5793019203249250.0%345.3076923076923141.2307692307692360.0%396.8461538461538141.2307692307692370.0%448.3846153846154141.2307692307692380.0%499.9230769230769141.2307692307692391.1%36.07692307692308138.9434545392927608.5%87.61538461538464122.69232691692454123.6%139.1538461538461689.97335961730707231.8%190.692307692307772.0323.4%242.2307692307692590.2737612936379940.0%293.769230769230899.9278346098806252.0%345.3076923076923136.949001121973560.2%396.8461538461538140.8605743089228270.0%448.3846153846154141.2207667140904480.0%499.9230769230769141.230702062086669Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789Rank by WeekWeek3rd11.74615384615384550.81656804733728414th85.1596153846153673.3017751479289929th158.5730769230769185.7278106508876310th231.98653846153846208.2130177514793412th305.4253.18343195266272513th378.8134615384615275.6686390532544614th452.226923076923298.15384615384613714th525.6403846153845298.15384615384613813th599.053846153846275.668639053254493rd11.74615384615384550.81656804733728414th85.1596153846153673.3017751479289927th158.5730769230769140.75739644970415310th231.98653846153846208.2130177514793411th305.4230.698224852071513th378.8134615384615275.6686390532544612th452.226923076923253.18343195266272710th525.6403846153845208.213017751479387th599.053846153846140.7573964497041593rd11.74615384615384550.81656804733728415th85.1596153846153695.786982248520729th158.5730769230769185.7278106508876311th231.98653846153846230.698224852071412th305.4253.18343195266272514th378.8134615384615298.15384615384613614th452.226923076923298.15384615384613714th525.6403846153845298.15384615384613814th599.053846153846298.153846153846139Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.08 8 Aaron Rodgers QB
2.07 21 Eddie Lacy RB
3.08 36 Michael Floyd WR
4.07 49 Duke Johnson, Jr. RB
5.08 64 Mike Wallace K WR
6.07 77 Julius Thomas TE
7.08 92 Matthew Stafford K QB
8.07 105 Willie Snead WR
9.08 120 Kenneth Dixon RB
10.07 133 Ted Ginn, Jr. WR
11.08 148 Sammie Coates WR
12.07 161 Devontae Booker RB
13.08 176 Victor Cruz WR
14.07 189 Graham Gano K
15.08 204 New England DEF
16.07 217 Charles Clay TE

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567890.80931.8495726495726585.2286360215284610.51178.68717948717948105.8250285396056520.000125.5247863247863141.2307692307692330.000172.36239316239318141.2307692307692340.000219.2141.2307692307692350.000266.03760683760686141.2307692307692360.347312.8752136752136117.2280769104487870.458359.7128205128205109.5149959211094680.418406.5504273504273112.2646953712800690.00031.8495726495726529.2265028122876910.00078.6871794871794870.4192878484420720.363125.5247863247863116.1247164981651330.010172.36239316239318140.5438376551051640.107219.2133.795389022606950.029266.03760683760686139.2192084805564660.000312.875213675213693.2253845901283370.000359.712820512820577.7992226114496880.000406.550427350427383.29862151179099Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891133.1572649572649682.65088757396451681.9179487179487109.2781065088757420130.67863247863247141.2307692307692330179.4393162393162141.2307692307692340228.2141.2307692307692350276.96068376068376141.2307692307692366325.7213675213675109.2781065088757477374.4820512820512103.9526627218934986423.242735042735109.278106508875749033.1572649572649624.0710059171597521081.917948717948777.3254437869822523130.67863247863247125.2544378698224830179.4393162393162141.2307692307692341228.2135.9053254437869850276.96068376068376141.2307692307692360325.721367521367577.3254437869822570374.482051282051266.6745562130177580423.24273504273577.325443786982259All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Pat 5-4 7th 87.28 0.339 18.20 7-6 7th
1 987 2024 Derrek 3-6 12th 88.44 0.336 19.28 4-10 14th
2 984 2011 Pat 3-6 12th 86.91 0.341 23.65 5-8 11th
3 984 2016 Derrek 2-7 14th 88.01 0.334 16.87 3-10 14th
4 981 2022 Pat 4-5 12th 87.01 0.333 15.30 8-6 6th 6th place
5 976 2023 Scott 4-5 11th 87.32 0.328 18.66 8-6 7th
6 973 2013 Derrek 5-4 7th 87.38 0.350 20.69 7-6 7th
7 973 2013 Allen 4-5 12th 85.73 0.333 14.43 4-9 14th
8 969 2012 Kevin 3-6 10th 86.07 0.351 17.50 5-8 10th
9 968 2022 Richie 4-5 11th 87.23 0.329 12.62 6-8 13th
10 968 2011 Pulley 4-5 10th 90.27 0.348 16.76 5-8 10th