2016 Pat (through 9 weeks)

5-4 (0.556), 785.56 points

7th place

3.04 expected wins (0.338)

40-77 all-play record (0.342)

-40.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 120.17 99.16 Ed 21.01
2 W 99.38 83.87 Mike R. 15.51
3 L 91.12 105.43 Babel -14.31
4 L 59.62 70.22 Kevin -10.60 Slapped Heartbeat
5 L 71.45 109.18 Matt -37.73
6 L 63.16 69.91 Dave -6.75 Slapped Heartbeat
7 W 89.78 70.14 Allen 19.64
8 W 96.60 74.36 Rob 22.24
9 W 94.28 86.16 Schertz 8.12
10 Derrek
11 Pulley
12 Richie
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567890.0%36.07692307692308141.2307692307692300.0%87.61538461538464141.2307692307692310.0%139.15384615384616141.2307692307692320.0%190.6923076923077141.2307692307692330.0%242.23076923076925141.2307692307692349.3%293.7692307692308120.9703329372071250.0%345.3076923076923141.2307692307692360.0%396.8461538461538141.2307692307692370.0%448.3846153846154141.2307692307692380.0%499.9230769230769141.2307692307692391.0%36.07692307692308139.0447405014373308.6%87.61538461538464122.62840348843805123.8%139.1538461538461689.58749172256982231.9%190.692307692307772.0323.2%242.2307692307692590.8085002459587540.0%293.7692307692308100.7098966436450151.9%345.3076923076923137.0206049440682260.2%396.8461538461538140.8495289653170670.0%448.3846153846154141.217883894915880.0%499.9230769230769141.230632885588229Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789Rank by WeekWeek3rd11.74615384615384550.81656804733728414th85.1596153846153673.3017751479289928th158.5730769230769163.24260355029585310th231.98653846153846208.2130177514793412th305.4253.18343195266272513th378.8134615384615275.6686390532544613th452.226923076923275.6686390532544714th525.6403846153845298.15384615384613813th599.053846153846275.668639053254493rd11.74615384615384550.81656804733728414th85.1596153846153673.3017751479289927th158.5730769230769140.75739644970415310th231.98653846153846208.2130177514793411th305.4230.698224852071513th378.8134615384615275.6686390532544612th452.226923076923253.18343195266272710th525.6403846153845208.213017751479387th599.053846153846140.7573964497041593rd11.74615384615384550.81656804733728415th85.1596153846153695.786982248520729th158.5730769230769185.7278106508876311th231.98653846153846230.698224852071412th305.4253.18343195266272514th378.8134615384615298.15384615384613614th452.226923076923298.15384615384613714th525.6403846153845298.15384615384613814th599.053846153846298.153846153846139Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.08 8 Aaron Rodgers QB
2.07 21 Eddie Lacy RB
3.08 36 Michael Floyd WR
4.07 49 Duke Johnson, Jr. RB
5.08 64 Mike Wallace K WR
6.07 77 Julius Thomas TE
7.08 92 Matthew Stafford K QB
8.07 105 Willie Snead WR
9.08 120 Kenneth Dixon RB
10.07 133 Ted Ginn, Jr. WR
11.08 148 Sammie Coates WR
12.07 161 Devontae Booker RB
13.08 176 Victor Cruz WR
14.07 189 Graham Gano K
15.08 204 New England DEF
16.07 217 Charles Clay TE

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567890.82631.8495726495726584.0801555634122910.49978.68717948717948106.6949340875801820.000125.5247863247863141.2307692307692330.000172.36239316239318141.2307692307692340.000219.2141.2307692307692350.000266.03760683760686141.2307692307692360.339312.8752136752136117.7409465124501270.454359.7128205128205109.7859992928935880.418406.5504273504273112.3202181928380190.00031.8495726495726526.92954189605535510.00078.6871794871794872.1590989443911520.357125.5247863247863116.4908833779483830.020172.36239316239318139.855699782817340.098219.2134.4236072528915450.034266.03760683760686138.8783776958432360.000312.875213675213694.2511237941310270.000359.712820512820578.3412293550179380.000406.550427350427383.409667154906819Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891133.1572649572649682.65088757396451681.9179487179487109.2781065088757420130.67863247863247141.2307692307692330179.4393162393162141.2307692307692340228.2141.2307692307692350276.96068376068376141.2307692307692366325.7213675213675109.2781065088757477374.4820512820512103.9526627218934986423.242735042735109.278106508875749033.1572649572649624.0710059171597521081.917948717948777.3254437869822523130.67863247863247125.2544378698224830179.4393162393162141.2307692307692341228.2135.9053254437869850276.96068376068376141.2307692307692360325.721367521367577.3254437869822570374.482051282051266.6745562130177580423.24273504273577.325443786982259All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Pat 5-4 7th 87.28 0.338 18.20 7-6 7th
1 989 2024 Derrek 3-6 12th 88.44 0.336 19.28 4-10 14th
2 987 2022 Pat 4-5 12th 87.01 0.335 15.30 8-6 6th 6th place
3 985 2023 Scott 4-5 11th 87.32 0.331 18.66 8-6 7th
4 982 2016 Derrek 2-7 14th 88.01 0.332 16.87 3-10 14th
5 979 2013 Derrek 5-4 7th 87.38 0.346 20.69 7-6 7th
6 976 2011 Pat 3-6 12th 86.91 0.344 23.65 5-8 11th
7 974 2022 Richie 4-5 11th 87.23 0.331 12.62 6-8 13th
8 973 2015 Pat 3-6 12th 84.08 0.343 20.32 6-7 9th
9 972 2012 Kevin 3-6 10th 86.07 0.349 17.50 5-8 10th
10 969 2024 Pulley 3-6 13th 88.43 0.328 15.19 4-10 13th