2017 Kevin (through 5 weeks)

3-2 (0.600), 426.47 points

6th place

2.18 expected wins (0.436)

29-36 all-play record (0.446)

-4.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 95.74 77.11 Matt 18.63
2 L 80.24 85.15 Schertz -4.91
3 L 49.78 146.27 Pulley -96.49 Slapped Heartbeat
4 W 95.89 95.60 Rabbit 0.29
5 W 104.82 64.03 Ed 40.79
6 Mike R.
7 Derrek
8 Pat
9 Rob
10 Richie
11 Allen
12 Babel
13 Dave

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123450.0%53.25641025641026141.2307692307692300.0%139.15384615384616141.2307692307692310.0%225.05128205128204141.23076923076923228.6%310.9487179487179688.6802984345329730.0%396.84615384615387141.2307692307692340.0%482.7435897435898141.2307692307692354.0%53.25641025641026133.88865645631327020.8%139.15384615384616102.98271221450399137.7%225.0512820512820472.020.0%310.9487179487179636.129827638296738.3%396.84615384615387126.0487160529816340.6%482.7435897435898140.095756863375075Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345Rank by WeekWeek6th11.746153846153845118.27218934911241110th158.5730769230769208.2130177514793213th305.4275.6686390532544310th452.226923076923208.213017751479348th599.053846153846163.2426035502958555th11.74615384615384595.786982248520718th158.5730769230769163.24260355029585213th305.4275.6686390532544310th452.226923076923208.213017751479346th599.053846153846118.2721893491124156th11.746153846153845118.27218934911241110th158.5730769230769208.2130177514793214th305.4298.15384615384613314th452.226923076923298.1538461538461349th599.053846153846185.72781065088765Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.14 14 DeAndre Hopkins WR
2.01 15 Amari Cooper WR
3.14 42 Keenan Allen WR
4.01 43 Jimmy Graham TE
5.14 70 Andrew Luck QB
6.01 71 Jay Ajayi K RB
7.14 98 David Johnson K RB
8.01 99 Adam Thielen WR
9.14 126 Philip Rivers QB
10.01 127 Hunter Henry TE
11.14 154 Sterling Shepard WR
12.01 155 Giovani Bernard RB
13.14 182 Sebastian Janikowski K
14.01 183 New York DEF
15.14 210 Kenny Stills WR
16.01 211 Alvin Kamara RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123450.54250.58461538461538103.6873146551413110.000134.8923076923077141.2307692307692320.000219.2141.2307692307692330.545303.50769230769225103.4827588694955740.696387.815384615384693.0390495912491850.00050.5846153846153866.143860079513410.297134.8923076923077120.665444863737720.101219.2134.2343119782384530.000303.5076923076922565.7347485082219340.000387.815384615384644.847329951729155Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345852.66153846153845698.6272189349112410140.43076923076922141.2307692307692320228.20000000000002141.2307692307692338315.969230769230798.6272189349112449403.738461538461593.301775147928995052.66153846153845656.0236686390532414140.43076923076922119.9289940828402320228.20000000000002141.2307692307692330315.969230769230756.0236686390532440403.738461538461545.3727810650887455All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2017 Kevin 3-2 6th 85.29 0.436 19.44 10-3 2nd 4th place
1 982 2017 Matt 2-3 8th 88.34 0.436 16.79 5-8 11th
2 960 2024 Schertz 2-3 9th 92.43 0.442 20.14 7-7 7th
3 954 2008 Rabbit 2-3 9th 83.36 0.420 21.77 5-8 9th
4 938 2012 Pulley 1-4 11th 93.55 0.445 13.69 4-9 12th
5 933 2014 Pat 3-2 6th 94.12 0.429 10.97 5-8 11th
6 933 2014 Mike R. 2-3 11th 94.84 0.431 29.03 6-7 7th
7 930 2013 Richie 4-1 2nd 98.23 0.445 19.35 6-7 10th
8 928 2015 Schertz 3-2 5th 93.20 0.454 16.95 9-4 2nd 2nd place
9 927 2023 Ed 3-2 7th 97.13 0.446 15.74 11-3 1st 2nd place
10 924 2009 Pat 2-3 11th 93.31 0.454 14.72 6-7 8th