2017 Kevin (through 5 weeks)

3-2 (0.600), 426.47 points (85.29 average)

6th place

2.19 expected wins (0.439)

29-36 all-play record (0.446)

-4.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 95.74 77.11 Matt 18.63
2 L 80.24 85.15 Schertz -4.91
3 L 49.78 146.27 Pulley -96.49 Slapped Heartbeat
4 W 95.89 95.60 Rabbit 0.29
5 W 104.82 64.03 Ed 40.79
6 Mike R.
7 Derrek
8 Pat
9 Rob
10 Richie
11 Allen
12 Babel
13 Dave

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123450.0%53.25641025641026141.2307692307692300.0%139.15384615384616141.2307692307692310.0%225.05128205128204141.23076923076923228.9%310.9487179487179688.0203580547552630.0%396.84615384615387141.2307692307692340.0%482.7435897435898141.2307692307692353.9%53.25641025641026134.08254257280223020.5%139.15384615384616103.48989307960005137.6%225.0512820512820471.9999999999999920.0%310.9487179487179634.80994687874128638.4%396.84615384615387125.7329207694650340.6%482.7435897435898140.097939326223185Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345Rank by WeekWeek6th11.746153846153845118.27218934911241110th158.5730769230769208.2130177514793213th305.4275.6686390532544310th452.226923076923208.213017751479348th599.053846153846163.2426035502958555th11.74615384615384595.786982248520718th158.5730769230769163.24260355029585213th305.4275.6686390532544310th452.226923076923208.213017751479346th599.053846153846118.2721893491124156th11.746153846153845118.27218934911241110th158.5730769230769208.2130177514793214th305.4298.15384615384613314th452.226923076923298.1538461538461349th599.053846153846185.72781065088765Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.14 14 DeAndre Hopkins WR
2.01 15 Amari Cooper WR
3.14 42 Keenan Allen WR
4.01 43 Jimmy Graham TE
5.14 70 Andrew Luck QB
6.01 71 Jay Ajayi K RB
7.14 98 David Johnson K RB
8.01 99 Adam Thielen WR
9.14 126 Philip Rivers QB
10.01 127 Hunter Henry TE
11.14 154 Sterling Shepard WR
12.01 155 Giovani Bernard RB
13.14 182 Sebastian Janikowski K
14.01 183 New York DEF
15.14 210 Kenny Stills WR
16.01 211 Alvin Kamara RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123450.54650.58461538461538103.4635685534708110.000134.8923076923077141.2307692307692320.000219.2141.2307692307692330.549303.50769230769225103.2239453357615140.699387.815384615384692.8519312549345650.00050.5846153846153865.6963678761723910.303134.8923076923077120.2627436807241320.097219.2134.5049455904335230.000303.5076923076922565.217121440753840.000387.815384615384644.47309327909995Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345852.66153846153845698.6272189349112410140.43076923076922141.2307692307692320228.20000000000002141.2307692307692338315.969230769230798.6272189349112449403.738461538461593.301775147928995052.66153846153845656.0236686390532414140.43076923076922119.9289940828402320228.20000000000002141.2307692307692330315.969230769230756.0236686390532440403.738461538461545.3727810650887455All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2017 Kevin 3-2 6th 85.29 0.439 19.44 10-3 2nd 4th place
1 982 2017 Matt 2-3 8th 88.34 0.438 16.79 5-8 11th
2 965 2024 Schertz 2-3 9th 92.43 0.441 20.14 7-7 7th
3 950 2012 Pulley 1-4 11th 93.55 0.442 13.69 4-9 12th
4 944 2008 Rabbit 2-3 9th 83.36 0.417 21.77 5-8 9th
5 944 2009 Pat 2-3 11th 93.31 0.446 14.72 6-7 8th
6 942 2014 Pat 3-2 6th 94.12 0.436 10.97 5-8 11th
7 936 2019 Rob 3-2 8th 97.80 0.439 13.14 5-8 13th
8 933 2015 Schertz 3-2 5th 93.20 0.454 16.95 9-4 2nd 2nd place
9 933 2014 Mike R. 2-3 11th 94.84 0.434 29.03 6-7 7th
10 926 2023 Ed 3-2 7th 97.13 0.448 15.74 11-3 1st 2nd place