2017 Kevin (through 7 weeks)

5-2 (0.714), 647.86 points (92.55 average)

4th place

3.62 expected wins (0.517)

50-41 all-play record (0.549)

-22.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 95.74 77.11 Matt 18.63
2 L 80.24 85.15 Schertz -4.91
3 L 49.78 146.27 Pulley -96.49 Slapped Heartbeat
4 W 95.89 95.60 Rabbit 0.29
5 W 104.82 64.03 Ed 40.79
6 W 103.06 64.55 Mike R. 38.51
7 W 118.33 81.05 Derrek 37.28
8 Pat
9 Rob
10 Richie
11 Allen
12 Babel
13 Dave

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012345670.0%58.38461538461538141.2307692307692300.0%146.84615384615384141.2307692307692310.0%235.30769230769232141.2307692307692320.0%323.7692307692308141.2307692307692330.0%412.2307692307692141.23076923076923417.9%500.6923076923077102.9309574721782250.0%589.1538461538461141.2307692307692360.0%677.6153846153845141.2307692307692370.2%58.38461538461538140.764765670345102.9%146.84615384615384135.0532726124446113.3%235.30769230769232112.79291611251766229.0%323.769230769230879.23189045064728332.4%412.230769230769272.040.0%500.692307692307764.6311457135872254.1%589.1538461538461132.3908790791796860.2%677.6153846153845140.711478936090697Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek6th11.746153846153845118.27218934911241110th109.6307692307692208.2130177514793213th207.5153846153846275.6686390532544310th305.4208.213017751479348th403.28461538461534163.2426035502958557th501.16923076923075140.7573964497041566th599.053846153846118.2721893491124175th11.74615384615384595.786982248520718th109.6307692307692163.24260355029585213th207.5153846153846275.6686390532544310th305.4208.213017751479346th403.28461538461534118.2721893491124155th501.1692307692307595.786982248520764th599.05384615384673.3017751479289976th11.746153846153845118.27218934911241110th109.6307692307692208.2130177514793214th207.5153846153846298.15384615384613314th305.4298.1538461538461349th403.28461538461534185.727810650887659th501.16923076923075185.727810650887667th599.053846153846140.757396449704157Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.14 14 DeAndre Hopkins WR
2.01 15 Amari Cooper WR
3.14 42 Keenan Allen WR
4.01 43 Jimmy Graham TE
5.14 70 Andrew Luck QB
6.01 71 Jay Ajayi K RB
7.14 98 David Johnson K RB
8.01 99 Adam Thielen WR
9.14 126 Philip Rivers QB
10.01 127 Hunter Henry TE
11.14 154 Sterling Shepard WR
12.01 155 Giovani Bernard RB
13.14 182 Sebastian Janikowski K
14.01 183 New York DEF
15.14 210 Kenny Stills WR
16.01 211 Alvin Kamara RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.52856.12307692307693104.679968989693110.000143.81538461538463141.2307692307692320.000231.5076923076923141.2307692307692330.531319.2104.4403141059434740.681406.8923076923076794.0727000915713350.645494.584615384615496.589200287635160.868582.27692307692381.1499238730021270.00056.1230769230769368.1291687486169610.285143.81538461538463121.4820811910263220.080231.5076923076923135.7233310202966530.000319.267.6498589811177240.000406.8923076923076746.9146309523734650.000494.584615384615451.9476313445009560.000582.27692307692321.069078515235027Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567857.705494505494598.6272189349112410147.87032967032965141.2307692307692320238.0351648351648141.2307692307692338328.1999999999999398.6272189349112449418.3648351648351493.30177514792899510508.5296703296703587.97633136094674611598.694505494505482.65088757396457057.705494505494556.0236686390532414147.87032967032965119.9289940828402320238.0351648351648141.2307692307692330328.1999999999999356.0236686390532440418.3648351648351445.37278106508874550508.5296703296703534.7218934911242560598.694505494505424.0710059171597527All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2017 Kevin 5-2 4th 92.55 0.517 20.45 10-3 2nd 4th place
1 988 2008 Ed 4-3 6th 92.75 0.518 15.63 6-7 6th 3rd place
2 967 2017 Schertz 3-4 7th 93.61 0.505 17.68 5-8 10th
3 966 2009 Derrek 3-4 9th 98.31 0.518 15.72 7-6 5th 3rd place
4 963 2022 Kevin 4-3 5th 98.78 0.512 21.37 6-8 12th
5 958 2023 Pat 3-4 9th 98.80 0.510 21.65 5-9 11th
6 951 2010 Babel 3-4 7th 98.69 0.526 23.36 8-5 3rd 6th place
7 949 2010 Mike R. 4-3 6th 94.70 0.502 14.75 4-9 11th
8 948 2010 Pulley 5-2 4th 94.67 0.497 22.22 8-5 4th 5th place
9 947 2024 Scott 3-4 9th 96.36 0.503 25.77 5-9 12th
10 944 2011 Mike R. 4-3 4th 104.65 0.513 21.01 6-7 9th