2011 Mike R. (through 7 weeks)

4-3 (0.571), 732.58 points

4th place

3.60 expected wins (0.515)

45-32 all-play record (0.584)

+7.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 103.67 117.88 Babel -14.21
2 W 145.29 113.62 Dave 31.67 Team Blangums
3 L 108.58 123.82 Ed -15.24
4 L 82.65 112.60 Matt -29.95
5 W 103.64 83.53 Pulley 20.11
6 W 113.43 109.16 Allen 4.27
7 W 75.32 56.28 Kevin 19.04
8 Rabbit
9 Derrek
10 Pat
11 Rob
12 Pat
13 Matt

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012345670.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692300.0%106.9423076923077141.2307692307692310.0%171.3653846153846141.2307692307692320.0%235.78846153846152141.23076923076923333.1%300.211538461538572.040.0%364.6346153846155141.2307692307692350.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.2307692307692370.1%42.519230769230774140.9427883210154802.6%106.9423076923077135.85595297353066113.2%171.3653846153846113.55036696435515229.9%235.7884615384615278.6572703817908530.0%300.21153846153852.7692307692307736417.3%364.6346153846155105.029520584986353.5%429.0576923076924133.864241103207360.2%493.4807692307693140.776504182931667Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek6th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867513rd109.630769230769258.99300699300701522nd207.515384615384632.4195804195804335th305.4112.1398601398601647th403.28461538461534165.286713286713354th501.1692307692307585.5664335664335767th599.053846153846165.286713286713377th11.746153846153845165.286713286713313rd109.630769230769258.99300699300701527th207.5153846153846165.2867132867133310th305.4245.00699300699348th403.28461538461534191.860139860139956th501.16923076923075138.7132867132867564th599.05384615384685.5664335664335776th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867511st109.63076923076925.84615384615386821st207.51538461538465.84615384615386833rd305.458.99300699300701545th403.28461538461534112.1398601398601653rd501.1692307692307558.99300699300701566th599.053846153846138.713286713286757Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.01 1 Adrian Peterson RB
2.12 24 Tony Romo QB
3.01 25 Ryan Grant RB
4.12 48 Hakeem Nicks K WR
5.01 49 Fred Jackson RB
6.12 72 Kellen Winslow II TE
7.01 73 Miles Austin K WR
8.12 96 Hines Ward WR
9.01 97 LaDainian Tomlinson RB
10.12 120 Dallas DEF
11.01 121 Jordy Nelson WR
12.12 144 Marion Barber III RB
13.01 145 Mark Sanchez QB
14.12 168 Aaron Hernandez TE
15.01 169 Eddie Royal WR
16.12 192 Billy Cundiff K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.00038.54065934065934141.2307692307692310.92398.7604395604395577.3035687228070720.000158.98021978021976141.2307692307692330.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692340.533279.4197802197802104.3503892692993150.699339.639560439560492.8384442215696360.098399.8593406593406134.4200897592230670.53438.54065934065934104.259475586790110.00098.7604395604395513.37636821484491620.623158.9802197802197698.0887093864769530.193219.19999999999996127.8743046185593840.000279.419780219780267.4700093078294150.000339.639560439560444.44611921237003660.000399.8593406593406127.609410287676877Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234567040.12307692307692141.23076923076923111102.815384615384672.020165.50769230769228141.2307692307692330228.19999999999996141.2307692307692346290.8923076923077103.46853146853147510353.584615384615478.293706293706365416.2769230769231109.762237762237767640.12307692307692103.4685314685314710102.81538461538462.769230769230773626165.50769230769228103.4685314685314731228.19999999999996134.9370629370629340290.892307692307765.7062937062937250353.584615384615415.3566433566433660416.276923076923178.293706293706317All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Mike R. 4-3 4th 104.65 0.515 21.01 6-7 9th
1 972 2021 Ed 2-5 9th 103.85 0.510 13.83 6-8 8th
2 962 2015 Babel 3-4 8th 102.03 0.523 25.91 5-8 10th
3 962 2009 Derrek 3-4 9th 98.31 0.516 15.72 7-6 5th 3rd place
4 961 2022 Kevin 4-3 5th 98.78 0.508 21.37 6-8 12th
5 960 2011 Ed 4-3 6th 101.91 0.503 18.12 9-4 1st 3rd place
6 959 2019 Pat 3-4 9th 102.21 0.504 16.50 6-7 9th
7 957 2023 Pat 3-4 9th 98.80 0.506 21.65 5-9 11th
8 955 2024 Babel 5-2 3rd 102.84 0.533 21.47 9-5 4th
9 954 2018 Ed 2-5 11th 108.86 0.528 20.17 6-7 9th
10 952 2021 Mike R. 1-6 11th 106.12 0.531 15.99 4-10 11th