2023 Pat (through 7 weeks)

3-4 (0.429), 691.61 points

9th place

3.54 expected wins (0.506)

46-45 all-play record (0.505)

+32.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 56.18 120.90 Rabbit -64.72 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 99.99 88.68 Derrek 11.31
3 W 132.84 125.95 Matt 6.89
4 L 93.83 103.39 Pulley -9.56
5 L 107.37 118.00 Scott -10.63
6 W 90.72 86.28 Babel 4.44
7 L 110.68 144.61 Dave -33.93
8 Rabbit
9 Kevin
10 Rob
11 Mike R.
12 Richie
13 Ed
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012345670.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692300.0%106.9423076923077141.2307692307692310.0%171.3653846153846141.23076923076923230.8%235.7884615384615275.4551758927307530.0%300.2115384615385141.2307692307692340.0%364.6346153846155141.2307692307692350.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.2307692307692370.2%42.519230769230774140.8740988796295702.9%106.9423076923077135.03449288547563114.3%171.3653846153846110.738094936449320.0%235.788461538461529.679582554692274332.4%300.211538461538572.0416.3%364.6346153846155106.432841245459353.2%429.0576923076924134.4540584766784860.0%493.4807692307693141.16046592837467Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek14th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th109.6307692307692208.213017751479328th207.5153846153846163.2426035502958538th305.4163.2426035502958548th403.28461538461534163.2426035502958557th501.16923076923075140.7573964497041566th599.053846153846118.27218934911241714th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th109.6307692307692208.213017751479327th207.5153846153846140.7573964497041538th305.4163.2426035502958549th403.28461538461534185.727810650887658th501.16923076923075163.2426035502958569th599.053846153846185.7278106508876714th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613112th109.6307692307692253.1834319526627229th207.5153846153846185.727810650887639th305.4185.727810650887649th403.28461538461534185.727810650887658th501.16923076923075163.2426035502958567th599.053846153846140.757396449704157Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Davante Adams WR
2.06 20 Ja'Marr Chase K WR
3.09 37 Lamar Jackson QB
4.06 48 Alvin Kamara RB
5.09 65 D'Andre Swift RB
6.06 76 A.J. Dillon RB
7.09 93 Chris Olave K WR
8.06 104 Dalton Kincaid TE
9.09 121 Dalton Schultz TE
10.06 132 Kenneth Gainwell RB
11.09 149 Devin Singletary RB
12.06 160 K.J. Osborn WR
13.09 177 Matthew Stafford QB
14.06 188 New England DEF
15.09 205 Jason Myers K
16.06 216 Josh Downs WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.00038.54065934065934141.2307692307692310.50898.76043956043955106.068047139053620.916158.9802197802197677.7825276683732830.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692340.000279.4197802197802141.2307692307692350.353339.6395604395604116.8072258854549460.000399.8593406593406141.2307692307692370.01138.54065934065934140.4788759687924710.00098.7604395604395570.9053250473379820.000158.9802197802197614.33428610597732730.410219.19999999999996112.8411164859903340.646279.419780219780296.488017844644850.000339.639560439560492.3836825401406560.696399.859340659340693.044662119608187Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567040.12307692307692141.2307692307692315102.8153846153846114.60355029585799212165.5076923076922877.3254437869822530228.19999999999996141.2307692307692340290.8923076923077141.2307692307692357353.5846153846154103.9526627218934960416.2769230769231141.230769230769237040.12307692307692141.2307692307692310102.815384615384687.9763313609467420165.5076923076922813.4201183431952735228.19999999999996114.6035502958579947290.8923076923077103.9526627218934950353.584615384615466.67455621301775610416.276923076923187.976331360946747All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2023 Pat 3-4 9th 98.80 0.506 21.65 5-9 11th
1 996 2022 Kevin 4-3 5th 98.78 0.508 21.37 6-8 12th
2 983 2014 Mike R. 3-4 8th 98.36 0.502 25.31 6-7 7th
3 976 2011 Ed 4-3 6th 101.91 0.503 18.12 9-4 1st 3rd place
4 973 2024 Scott 3-4 9th 96.36 0.501 25.77 5-9 12th
5 972 2019 Pat 3-4 9th 102.21 0.504 16.50 6-7 9th
6 971 2010 Matt 2-5 9th 100.54 0.501 27.72 5-8 9th
7 967 2017 Schertz 3-4 7th 93.61 0.508 17.68 5-8 10th
8 966 2009 Derrek 3-4 9th 98.31 0.516 15.72 7-6 5th 3rd place
9 966 2012 Allen 3-4 6th 101.08 0.497 25.07 6-7 8th
10 962 2023 Dave 4-3 6th 100.91 0.493 23.95 6-8 10th