2023 Pat (through 7 weeks)

3-4 (0.429), 691.61 points (98.80 average)

9th place

3.57 expected wins (0.509)

46-45 all-play record (0.505)

+32.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 56.18 120.90 Rabbit -64.72 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 99.99 88.68 Derrek 11.31
3 W 132.84 125.95 Matt 6.89
4 L 93.83 103.39 Pulley -9.56
5 L 107.37 118.00 Scott -10.63
6 W 90.72 86.28 Babel 4.44
7 L 110.68 144.61 Dave -33.93
8 Rabbit
9 Kevin
10 Rob
11 Mike R.
12 Richie
13 Ed
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012345670.0%58.38461538461538141.2307692307692300.0%146.84615384615384141.2307692307692310.0%235.30769230769232141.23076923076923230.4%323.769230769230876.5408184110055230.0%412.2307692307692141.2307692307692340.0%500.6923076923077141.2307692307692350.0%589.1538461538461141.2307692307692360.0%677.6153846153845141.2307692307692370.1%58.38461538461538140.9213682666569402.8%146.84615384615384135.3038990652949113.9%235.30769230769232111.5360314565710420.0%323.769230769230811.850867591241808332.5%412.230769230769272.0416.8%500.6923076923077105.4657981424023853.4%589.1538461538461133.958862045287260.1%677.6153846153845141.122504173816427Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek14th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th109.6307692307692208.213017751479328th207.5153846153846163.2426035502958538th305.4163.2426035502958548th403.28461538461534163.2426035502958557th501.16923076923075140.7573964497041566th599.053846153846118.27218934911241714th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th109.6307692307692208.213017751479327th207.5153846153846140.7573964497041538th305.4163.2426035502958549th403.28461538461534185.727810650887658th501.16923076923075163.2426035502958569th599.053846153846185.7278106508876714th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613112th109.6307692307692253.1834319526627229th207.5153846153846185.727810650887639th305.4185.727810650887649th403.28461538461534185.727810650887658th501.16923076923075163.2426035502958567th599.053846153846140.757396449704157Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Davante Adams WR
2.06 20 Ja'Marr Chase K WR
3.09 37 Lamar Jackson QB
4.06 48 Alvin Kamara RB
5.09 65 D'Andre Swift RB
6.06 76 A.J. Dillon RB
7.09 93 Chris Olave K WR
8.06 104 Dalton Kincaid TE
9.09 121 Dalton Schultz TE
10.06 132 Kenneth Gainwell RB
11.09 149 Devin Singletary RB
12.06 160 K.J. Osborn WR
13.09 177 Matthew Stafford QB
14.06 188 New England DEF
15.09 205 Jason Myers K
16.06 216 Josh Downs WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.00056.12307692307693141.2307692307692310.512143.81538461538463105.7624351499235920.928231.507692307692376.9973800877807330.000319.2141.2307692307692340.000406.89230769230767141.2307692307692350.361494.5846153846154116.2144131330977660.000582.276923076923141.2307692307692370.01656.12307692307693140.1319312086941710.000143.8153846153846370.2941010690779420.000231.507692307692312.76399094479222630.429319.2111.501000046898540.631406.8923076923076797.5748366424231850.000494.584615384615491.1980570354262960.689582.27692307692393.564076709395957Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567057.7054945054945141.2307692307692315147.87032967032965114.60355029585799212238.035164835164877.3254437869822530328.19999999999993141.2307692307692340418.36483516483514141.2307692307692357508.52967032967035103.9526627218934960598.6945054945054141.230769230769237057.7054945054945141.2307692307692310147.8703296703296587.9763313609467420238.035164835164813.4201183431952735328.19999999999993114.6035502958579947418.36483516483514103.9526627218934950508.5296703296703566.67455621301775610598.694505494505487.976331360946747All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2023 Pat 3-4 9th 98.80 0.509 21.65 5-9 11th
1 995 2022 Kevin 4-3 5th 98.78 0.512 21.37 6-8 12th
2 979 2014 Mike R. 3-4 8th 98.36 0.503 25.31 6-7 7th
3 970 2009 Derrek 3-4 9th 98.31 0.518 15.72 7-6 5th 3rd place
4 967 2011 Mike R. 4-3 4th 104.65 0.513 21.01 6-7 9th
5 966 2024 Scott 3-4 9th 96.36 0.501 25.77 5-9 12th
6 966 2011 Ed 4-3 6th 101.91 0.502 18.12 9-4 1st 3rd place
7 963 2010 Babel 3-4 7th 98.69 0.526 23.36 8-5 3rd 6th place
8 963 2017 Schertz 3-4 7th 93.61 0.505 17.68 5-8 10th
9 963 2021 Ed 2-5 9th 103.85 0.509 13.83 6-8 8th
10 961 2019 Pat 3-4 9th 102.21 0.502 16.50 6-7 9th