2009 Derrek (through 7 weeks)

3-4 (0.429), 688.20 points (98.31 average)

9th place

3.62 expected wins (0.518)

38-39 all-play record (0.494)

-14.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 98.07 103.78 Ed -5.71
2 W 113.43 96.95 Allen 16.48
3 L 79.29 93.31 Matt -14.02
4 W 119.18 87.02 Rabbit 32.16 Team Blangums
5 W 108.29 96.73 Kevin 11.56
6 L 96.12 96.50 Dave -0.38
7 L 73.82 81.24 Pat -7.42
8 Mike R.
9 Pulley
10 Babel
11 Rob
12 Ed
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012345670.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692300.0%106.9423076923077141.2307692307692310.0%171.3653846153846141.23076923076923229.8%235.7884615384615279.5972319692886130.0%300.2115384615385141.2307692307692340.0%364.6346153846155141.2307692307692350.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.2307692307692370.2%42.519230769230774140.879555261157402.5%106.9423076923077136.1389430182968112.7%171.3653846153846114.9511110471598120.0%235.7884615384615217.963694707808003333.5%300.211538461538572.0417.5%364.6346153846155105.0497494565019653.7%429.0576923076924133.650920757820760.3%493.4807692307693140.708348843812167Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845191.860139860139912nd109.630769230769232.4195804195804328th207.5153846153846191.860139860139933rd305.458.99300699300701542nd403.2846153846153432.4195804195804353rd501.1692307692307558.99300699300701567th599.053846153846165.286713286713378th11.746153846153845191.860139860139913rd109.630769230769258.99300699300701529th207.5153846153846218.4335664335664535th305.4112.1398601398601643rd403.2846153846153458.99300699300701556th501.16923076923075138.7132867132867569th599.053846153846218.4335664335664578th11.746153846153845191.860139860139912nd109.630769230769232.4195804195804328th207.5153846153846191.860139860139933rd305.458.99300699300701542nd403.2846153846153432.4195804195804354th501.1692307692307585.5664335664335768th599.053846153846191.86013986013997Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Frank Gore RB
2.07 19 Marion Barber III K RB
3.06 30 Brandon Marshall WR
4.07 43 Antonio Gates TE
5.06 54 Roddy White K WR
6.07 67 Matt Cassel QB
7.06 78 Devin Hester WR
8.07 91 Tennessee DEF
9.06 102 Steve Breaston WR
10.07 115 David Garrard QB
11.06 126 Rashard Mendenhall RB
12.07 139 Ladell Betts RB
13.06 150 Sidney Rice WR
14.07 163 David Akers K
15.06 174 Brent Celek TE
16.07 187 Robert Meachem WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.00038.54065934065934141.2307692307692310.78098.7604395604395587.2196887894603620.000158.98021978021976141.2307692307692330.865219.1999999999999681.367326291738340.695279.419780219780293.131512035723250.000339.6395604395604141.2307692307692360.000399.8593406593406141.2307692307692370.50738.54065934065934106.1326188246959710.00098.7604395604395533.208608348151520.180158.98021978021976128.7654397180109530.000219.1999999999999621.50388335270737640.000279.419780219780245.032254840677250.471339.6395604395604108.6089866243954760.125399.8593406593406132.558405646032847Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234567040.12307692307692141.23076923076923110102.815384615384678.293706293706320165.50769230769228141.23076923076923311228.1999999999999672.049290.892307692307784.5874125874125950353.5846153846154141.2307692307692360416.2769230769231141.230769230769237440.12307692307692116.0559440559440510102.815384615384615.3566433566433621165.50769230769228134.9370629370629330228.199999999999962.769230769230773640290.892307692307727.94405594405594752353.5846153846154128.6433566433566461416.2769230769231134.937062937062937All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Derrek 3-4 9th 98.31 0.518 15.72 7-6 5th 3rd place
1 977 2008 Ed 4-3 6th 92.75 0.518 15.63 6-7 6th 3rd place
2 976 2022 Kevin 4-3 5th 98.78 0.512 21.37 6-8 12th
3 971 2023 Pat 3-4 9th 98.80 0.510 21.65 5-9 11th
4 966 2010 Babel 3-4 7th 98.69 0.526 23.36 8-5 3rd 6th place
5 966 2017 Kevin 5-2 4th 92.55 0.517 20.45 10-3 2nd 4th place
6 956 2021 Ed 2-5 9th 103.85 0.509 13.83 6-8 8th
7 956 2011 Mike R. 4-3 4th 104.65 0.513 21.01 6-7 9th
8 953 2012 Derrek 5-2 5th 98.50 0.538 18.24 8-5 5th 5th place
9 953 2017 Schertz 3-4 7th 93.61 0.505 17.68 5-8 10th
10 952 2014 Mike R. 3-4 8th 98.36 0.503 25.31 6-7 7th