2009 Derrek (through 7 weeks)

3-4 (0.429), 688.20 points

9th place

3.61 expected wins (0.516)

38-39 all-play record (0.494)

-13.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 98.07 103.78 Ed -5.71
2 W 113.43 96.95 Allen 16.48
3 L 79.29 93.31 Matt -14.02
4 W 119.18 87.02 Rabbit 32.16 Team Blangums
5 W 108.29 96.73 Kevin 11.56
6 L 96.12 96.50 Dave -0.38
7 L 73.82 81.24 Pat -7.42
8 Mike R.
9 Pulley
10 Babel
11 Rob
12 Ed
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012345670.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692300.0%106.9423076923077141.2307692307692310.0%171.3653846153846141.23076923076923229.5%235.7884615384615278.4385990519386830.0%300.2115384615385141.2307692307692340.0%364.6346153846155141.2307692307692350.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.2307692307692370.2%42.519230769230774140.7627246607912602.8%106.9423076923077135.24164246433793113.3%171.3653846153846112.942736591474720.0%235.7884615384615215.646428873108135332.5%300.211538461538572.0417.4%364.6346153846155104.1673860066747354.0%429.0576923076924132.6980805754063260.3%493.4807692307693140.558491776117687Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845191.860139860139912nd109.630769230769232.4195804195804328th207.5153846153846191.860139860139933rd305.458.99300699300701542nd403.2846153846153432.4195804195804353rd501.1692307692307558.99300699300701567th599.053846153846165.286713286713378th11.746153846153845191.860139860139913rd109.630769230769258.99300699300701529th207.5153846153846218.4335664335664535th305.4112.1398601398601643rd403.2846153846153458.99300699300701556th501.16923076923075138.7132867132867569th599.053846153846218.4335664335664578th11.746153846153845191.860139860139912nd109.630769230769232.4195804195804328th207.5153846153846191.860139860139933rd305.458.99300699300701542nd403.2846153846153432.4195804195804354th501.1692307692307585.5664335664335768th599.053846153846191.86013986013997Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Frank Gore RB
2.07 19 Marion Barber III K RB
3.06 30 Brandon Marshall WR
4.07 43 Antonio Gates TE
5.06 54 Roddy White K WR
6.07 67 Matt Cassel QB
7.06 78 Devin Hester WR
8.07 91 Tennessee DEF
9.06 102 Steve Breaston WR
10.07 115 David Garrard QB
11.06 126 Rashard Mendenhall RB
12.07 139 Ladell Betts RB
13.06 150 Sidney Rice WR
14.07 163 David Akers K
15.06 174 Brent Celek TE
16.07 187 Robert Meachem WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.00038.54065934065934141.2307692307692310.76398.7604395604395588.4168193920327820.000158.98021978021976141.2307692307692330.836219.1999999999999683.348381592143940.682279.419780219780294.0421034972906150.000339.6395604395604141.2307692307692360.000399.8593406593406141.2307692307692370.50238.54065934065934106.4745495804261310.00098.7604395604395535.60286955329634420.209158.98021978021976126.7483007799816830.000219.1999999999999625.46599395351856340.000279.419780219780246.8534377638120150.472339.6395604395604108.5655642781381460.146399.8593406593406131.089429119796827Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234567040.12307692307692141.23076923076923110102.815384615384678.293706293706320165.50769230769228141.23076923076923311228.1999999999999672.049290.892307692307784.5874125874125950353.5846153846154141.2307692307692360416.2769230769231141.230769230769237440.12307692307692116.0559440559440510102.815384615384615.3566433566433621165.50769230769228134.9370629370629330228.199999999999962.769230769230773640290.892307692307727.94405594405594752353.5846153846154128.6433566433566461416.2769230769231134.937062937062937All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Derrek 3-4 9th 98.31 0.516 15.72 7-6 5th 3rd place
1 974 2008 Ed 4-3 6th 92.75 0.518 15.63 6-7 6th 3rd place
2 971 2022 Kevin 4-3 5th 98.78 0.508 21.37 6-8 12th
3 966 2023 Pat 3-4 9th 98.80 0.506 21.65 5-9 11th
4 965 2017 Kevin 5-2 4th 92.55 0.517 20.45 10-3 2nd 4th place
5 962 2021 Ed 2-5 9th 103.85 0.510 13.83 6-8 8th
6 962 2011 Mike R. 4-3 4th 104.65 0.515 21.01 6-7 9th
7 962 2017 Schertz 3-4 7th 93.61 0.508 17.68 5-8 10th
8 961 2010 Babel 3-4 7th 98.69 0.527 23.36 8-5 3rd 6th place
9 959 2019 Pat 3-4 9th 102.21 0.504 16.50 6-7 9th
10 956 2011 Ed 4-3 6th 101.91 0.503 18.12 9-4 1st 3rd place