2019 Kevin (through 10 weeks)

5-5 (0.500), 1,042.02 points

7th place

4.65 expected wins (0.465)

63-67 all-play record (0.485)

+15.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 121.30 111.03 Derrek 10.27
2 L 75.97 87.25 Pat -11.28
3 W 181.71 119.30 Scott 62.41 Team Blangums
4 L 93.76 119.19 Matt -25.43
5 W 86.28 83.38 Rob 2.90
6 L 71.94 121.13 Rabbit -49.19
7 W 97.47 87.98 Ed 9.49
8 L 102.05 144.54 Mike R. -42.49
9 W 113.50 85.70 Richie 27.80
10 L 98.04 126.27 Schertz -28.23
11 Babel
12 Pulley
13 Dave

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.2307692307692330.0%221.14685314685315141.23076923076923428.6%268.072.050.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.0%33.73426573426574141.192528311182500.5%80.5874125874126140.029173852410114.0%127.44055944055944131.4642805426643214.4%174.29370629370626106.41210378162363326.8%221.1468531468531576.1974149205952840.0%268.02.7692307692307736517.8%314.853146853146897.9968175679718766.4%361.7062937062937125.6430692318174271.3%408.5594405594406138.1936009586961580.1%455.41258741258747140.9525977915310890.0%502.2657342657343141.2216691368708710Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek5th11.74615384615384595.786982248520719th77.0025641025641185.727810650887624th142.258974358974373.3017751479289934th207.515384615384673.3017751479289948th272.77179487179484163.24260355029585510th338.0282051282051208.213017751479368th403.28461538461534163.24260355029585710th468.5410256410256208.213017751479387th533.7974358974359140.7573964497041597th599.053846153846140.75739644970415105th11.74615384615384595.786982248520719th77.0025641025641185.727810650887623rd142.258974358974350.81656804733728435th207.515384615384695.786982248520744th272.7717948717948473.3017751479289957th338.0282051282051140.7573964497041565th403.2846153846153495.786982248520777th468.5410256410256140.7573964497041586th533.7974358974359118.2721893491124197th599.053846153846140.75739644970415105th11.74615384615384595.786982248520719th77.0025641025641185.727810650887623rd142.258974358974350.81656804733728434th207.515384615384673.3017751479289944th272.7717948717948473.3017751479289957th338.0282051282051140.7573964497041565th403.2846153846153495.786982248520775th468.541025641025695.786982248520785th533.797435897435995.786982248520795th599.05384615384695.786982248520710Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.12 12 Mike Evans WR
2.03 17 Keenan Allen WR
3.12 40 Matt Ryan QB
4.03 45 Hunter Henry TE
5.12 68 Marvin Jones, Jr. WR
6.03 73 Marquez Valdes-Scantling WR
7.12 96 Matt Breida RB
8.03 101 Marlon Mack K RB
9.12 124 Jamison Crowder WR
10.03 129 Kyle Rudolph TE
11.12 152 Josh Allen QB
12.03 157 Alvin Kamara K RB
13.12 180 Stephen Gostkowski K
14.03 185 Mike Davis RB
15.12 208 Marquise Goodwin WR
16.03 213 Houston DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.80229.50769230769230685.7140854877230510.00071.66153846153847141.2307692307692320.955113.815384615384675.1112772650855530.000155.96923076923073141.2307692307692340.254198.12307692307692123.647819514694150.000240.27692307692305141.2307692307692360.432282.4307692307692111.2949229037541670.000324.58461538461535141.2307692307692380.706366.7384615384615492.384876941836990.000408.89230769230767141.23076923076923100.00029.50769230769230630.19740174467686710.11071.66153846153847133.5915035391397820.000113.81538461538468.99178529940186930.372155.96923076923073115.4428596682372240.000198.12307692307692106.0648697986189950.068240.27692307692305136.5007413794347460.000282.430769230769281.3590765767390870.510324.58461538461535105.9423798460239580.000366.7384615384615443.53898465290454690.442408.89230769230767110.6130702849350210Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910930.71923076923076293.301775147928991074.60384615384615141.23076923076923213118.4884615384615472.030162.3730769230769141.2307692307692343206.2576923076923125.2544378698224850250.14230769230767141.2307692307692367294.026923076923103.9526627218934970337.9115384615384141.23076923076923810381.7961538461538687.9763313609467490425.6807692307692141.2307692307692310030.71923076923076245.3727810650887451374.60384615384615125.2544378698224820118.488461538461542.769230769230773636162.3730769230769109.2781065088757440206.2576923076923109.2781065088757452250.14230769230767130.5798816568047360294.02692307692366.6745562130177574337.9115384615384119.9289940828402380381.7961538461538634.7218934911242596425.6807692307692109.2781065088757410All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2019 Kevin 5-5 7th 104.20 0.465 29.57 6-7 8th
1 977 2018 Ed 3-7 12th 104.26 0.464 19.52 6-7 9th
2 977 2019 Rabbit 5-5 9th 99.36 0.466 30.37 6-7 7th
3 963 2013 Rob 6-4 5th 98.26 0.468 26.39 8-5 2nd 2nd place
4 961 2019 Ed 4-6 10th 100.79 0.472 23.23 5-8 11th
5 959 2010 Matt 3-7 10th 97.49 0.466 23.79 5-8 9th
6 954 2020 Rabbit 5-5 8th 100.10 0.473 22.61 6-7 10th
7 945 2015 Babel 4-6 10th 95.75 0.459 25.70 5-8 10th
8 945 2023 Dave 5-5 8th 98.41 0.456 22.79 6-8 10th
9 944 2011 Kevin 4-6 9th 102.45 0.487 26.40 6-7 8th
10 943 2020 Derrek 5-5 9th 95.97 0.471 23.09 8-5 5th 5th place