2011 Kevin (through 10 weeks)

4-6 (0.400), 1,024.45 points

9th place

4.87 expected wins (0.487)

49-61 all-play record (0.445)

-0.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 92.47 120.97 Rob -28.50
2 W 106.90 102.41 Babel 4.49
3 W 113.31 81.20 Dave 32.11
4 L 90.08 115.80 Ed -25.72
5 W 154.68 98.46 Matt 56.22 Team Blangums
6 L 84.80 89.22 Pulley -4.42
7 L 56.28 75.32 Mike R. -19.04
8 W 137.99 92.68 Allen 45.31 Team Blangums
9 L 93.69 107.54 Rabbit -13.85
10 L 94.25 126.74 Derrek -32.49
11 Pat
12 Matt
13 Dave

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.23076923076923324.8%221.1468531468531584.0061789770428840.0%268.0141.2307692307692350.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.0%33.73426573426574141.2177505719752700.2%80.5874125874126140.744996355300612.5%127.44055944055944135.53366743581995211.2%174.29370629370626115.3822202428034730.0%221.1468531468531526.78158872331653430.1%268.071.99999999999999520.9%314.853146853146893.0500358277806268.3%361.7062937062937122.0008318857816271.8%408.5594405594406137.1503578484834280.2%455.41258741258747140.8753251961748390.0%502.2657342657343141.2307692307692310Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek10th11.746153846153845245.00699300699319th77.0025641025641218.4335664335664526th142.2589743589743138.71328671328675311th207.5153846153846271.580419580419645th272.77179487179484112.1398601398601659th338.0282051282051218.4335664335664569th403.28461538461534218.4335664335664577th468.5410256410256165.286713286713388th533.7974358974359191.860139860139998th599.053846153846191.86013986013991010th11.746153846153845245.00699300699319th77.0025641025641218.4335664335664524th142.258974358974385.5664335664335739th207.5153846153846218.4335664335664543rd272.7717948717948458.99300699300701557th338.0282051282051165.2867132867133610th403.28461538461534245.00699300699376th468.5410256410256138.7132867132867588th533.7974358974359191.860139860139999th599.053846153846218.433566433566451010th11.746153846153845245.006993006993110th77.0025641025641245.00699300699326th142.2589743589743138.71328671328675311th207.5153846153846271.580419580419642nd272.7717948717948432.4195804195804355th338.0282051282051112.1398601398601669th403.28461538461534218.4335664335664576th468.5410256410256138.7132867132867586th533.7974358974359138.7132867132867595th599.053846153846112.1398601398601610Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Chris Johnson RB
2.09 21 Dwayne Bowe WR
3.04 28 Stevie Johnson WR
4.09 45 Vernon Davis TE
5.04 52 Anquan Boldin WR
6.09 69 Roy Helu, Jr. RB
7.04 76 LeSean McCoy K RB
8.09 93 Eli Manning QB
9.04 100 Rashad Jennings RB
10.09 117 Donald Driver WR
11.04 124 Ben Tate RB
12.09 141 Brandon Pettigrew TE
13.04 148 Sam Bradford K QB
14.09 165 Josh Brown K
15.04 172 New Orleans DEF
16.09 189 Delone Carter RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.00029.507692307692306139.2712968604997710.61171.6615384615384797.5661289248420820.712113.815384615384690.6760459762102230.000155.96923076923073139.2712968604997740.952198.1230769230769274.3303044769356550.000240.27692307692305139.2712968604997760.000282.4307692307692139.2712968604997770.917324.5846153846153576.6830157276879980.000366.73846153846154139.2712968604997790.000408.89230769230767139.27129686049977100.35929.507692307692306114.7969379898758710.00071.6615384615384755.8609609891843920.000113.815384615384642.0807950919206830.319155.96923076923073117.5305643955119240.000198.123076923076929.3893120933715350.239240.27692307692305122.975410432967346-0.014282.4307692307692140.251033045634570.000324.5846153846153514.094734594876280.381366.73846153846154113.2732773703410290.391408.89230769230767112.5674639951153210Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910030.719230769230762141.230769230769231474.60384615384615116.0559440559440529118.4884615384615484.5874125874125930162.3730769230769141.23076923076923411206.257692307692372.050250.14230769230767141.2307692307692360294.026923076923141.23076923076923711337.911538461538472.080381.79615384615386141.2307692307692390425.6807692307692141.2307692307692310230.719230769230762128.643356643356641074.6038461538461590.881118881118920118.4884615384615427.94405594405594732162.3730769230769128.6433566433566440206.25769230769232.769230769230773652250.14230769230767128.6433566433566461294.026923076923134.9370629370629370337.91153846153842.769230769230773682381.79615384615386128.6433566433566495425.6807692307692109.7622377622377610All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Kevin 4-6 9th 102.45 0.487 26.40 6-7 8th
1 984 2021 Matt 8-2 4th 103.38 0.492 25.25 11-3 2nd 4th place
2 977 2024 Pat 5-5 7th 100.82 0.483 21.29 6-8 10th
3 976 2012 Allen 4-6 7th 98.85 0.487 21.97 6-7 8th
4 974 2011 Derrek 6-4 5th 99.34 0.482 23.75 8-5 3rd 6th place
5 973 2022 Rabbit 5-5 9th 97.08 0.484 26.36 8-6 5th 5th place
6 968 2014 Mike R. 5-5 7th 98.26 0.489 21.47 6-7 7th
7 968 2024 Ed 5-5 8th 99.72 0.486 16.05 6-8 9th
8 966 2016 Matt 4-6 10th 99.72 0.494 30.43 5-8 10th
9 963 2011 Babel 5-5 8th 99.44 0.490 17.14 7-6 7th
10 961 2011 Dave 3-7 11th 98.02 0.478 24.62 3-10 12th