2019 Ed (through 10 weeks)

4-6 (0.400), 1,007.91 points (100.79 average)

10th place

4.74 expected wins (0.474)

64-66 all-play record (0.492)

+12.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 134.73 82.17 Scott 52.56
2 L 73.47 147.14 Pulley -73.67
3 W 102.86 79.62 Dave 23.24
4 L 66.53 106.19 Rob -39.66 Slapped Heartbeat
5 L 94.00 117.60 Pat -23.60
6 W 111.07 91.43 Richie 19.64
7 L 87.98 97.47 Kevin -9.49
8 L 127.73 129.62 Derrek -1.89
9 L 79.81 106.67 Mike R. -26.86
10 W 129.73 120.04 Rabbit 9.69 Team Blangums
11 Schertz
12 Matt
13 Babel

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.23076923076923327.3%221.1468531468531581.6367439899591740.0%268.0141.2307692307692350.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.0%33.73426573426574141.2086776323423600.3%80.5874125874126140.6530854829546812.6%127.44055944055944135.55627669927142212.0%174.29370629370626115.0178553567568830.0%221.1468531468531522.042718749149103431.7%268.072.0519.2%314.853146853146899.4383117124143665.9%361.7062937062937128.2923785230891370.9%408.5594405594406139.293563803562880.1%455.41258741258747141.1066500817041790.0%502.2657342657343141.2283159469638510Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557616th77.0025641025641118.2721893491124126th142.2589743589743118.27218934911241311th207.5153846153846230.698224852071411th272.77179487179484230.698224852071510th338.0282051282051208.2130177514793610th403.28461538461534208.213017751479378th468.5410256410256163.24260355029585810th533.7974358974359208.213017751479395th599.05384615384695.7869822485207102nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557615th77.002564102564195.786982248520725th142.258974358974395.7869822485207310th207.5153846153846208.2130177514793411th272.77179487179484230.69822485207158th338.0282051282051163.24260355029585610th403.28461538461534208.2130177514793710th468.5410256410256208.2130177514793811th533.7974358974359230.698224852071910th599.053846153846208.2130177514793102nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557615th77.002564102564195.786982248520726th142.2589743589743118.27218934911241311th207.5153846153846230.698224852071411th272.77179487179484230.69822485207159th338.0282051282051185.7278106508876610th403.28461538461534208.213017751479378th468.5410256410256163.2426035502958589th533.7974358974359185.727810650887696th599.053846153846118.2721893491124110Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
5
8
10

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Julio Jones WR
2.12 26 T.Y. Hilton K WR
3.03 31 Deshaun Watson QB
4.12 54 Royce Freeman RB
5.03 59 Tarik Cohen RB
6.12 82 DeSean Jackson WR
7.03 87 Adrian Peterson RB
8.12 110 Kalen Ballage RB
9.03 115 O.J. Howard K TE
10.12 138 Dion Lewis RB
11.03 143 Tre'Quan Smith WR
12.12 166 Zay Jones WR
13.03 171 Chris Herndon TE
14.12 194 A.J. Brown WR
15.03 199 Denver DEF
16.12 222 Mason Crosby K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.90129.50769230769230678.861293775152910.00071.66153846153847141.2307692307692320.518113.8153846153846105.3447711884802130.000155.96923076923073141.2307692307692340.000198.12307692307692141.2307692307692350.655240.2769230769230595.9128868827317560.000282.4307692307692141.2307692307692370.000324.58461538461535141.2307692307692380.000366.73846153846154141.2307692307692390.873408.8923076923076780.80167349105727100.00029.50769230769230616.49181831953657710.09071.66153846153847135.0343434178138320.000113.815384615384669.4587731461911930.033155.96923076923073138.9186280016163640.374198.12307692307692115.31229306297650.000240.2769230769230550.5950045346942760.280282.4307692307692121.8756313173207470.855324.5846153846153582.0099966429087280.158366.73846153846154130.325853559944190.000408.8923076923076720.37257775134530410Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101230.71923076923076277.325443786982251074.60384615384615141.2307692307692328118.4884615384615498.6272189349112430162.3730769230769141.2307692307692340206.2576923076923141.2307692307692359250.1423076923076793.3017751479289960294.026923076923141.2307692307692370337.9115384615384141.2307692307692380381.79615384615386141.23076923076923913425.680769230769272.010030.71923076923076213.420118343195271274.60384615384615130.5798816568047320118.4884615384615456.0236686390532430162.3730769230769141.2307692307692344206.2576923076923119.9289940828402350250.1423076923076745.37278106508874564294.026923076923119.92899408284023710337.911538461538487.9763313609467482381.79615384615386130.5798816568047390425.68076923076922.769230769230773610All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2019 Ed 4-6 10th 100.79 0.474 23.23 5-8 11th
1 994 2020 Rabbit 5-5 8th 100.10 0.475 22.61 6-7 10th
2 982 2024 Pat 5-5 7th 100.82 0.481 21.29 6-8 10th
3 982 2013 Rob 6-4 5th 98.26 0.475 26.39 8-5 2nd 2nd place
4 978 2011 Kevin 4-6 9th 102.45 0.478 26.40 6-7 8th
5 977 2011 Dave 3-7 11th 98.02 0.478 24.62 3-10 12th
6 976 2021 Mike R. 2-8 10th 97.81 0.477 21.05 4-10 11th
7 974 2011 Derrek 6-4 5th 99.34 0.483 23.75 8-5 3rd 6th place
8 974 2020 Derrek 5-5 9th 95.97 0.470 23.09 8-5 5th 5th place
9 973 2019 Rabbit 5-5 9th 99.36 0.470 30.37 6-7 7th
10 967 2012 Dave 6-4 6th 94.94 0.469 23.62 6-7 7th